2023 Nigerian presidential election in Oyo State

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Oyo State

25 February 2023
Registered	3,276,675
Nominee Bola Tinubu Peter Obi Party APC LP Home state Lagos Anambra Running mate Kashim Shettima Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed   Nominee Rabiu Kwankwaso Atiku Abubakar Party New Nigeria Peoples Party PDP Home state Kano Adamawa Running mate Isaac Idahosa Ifeanyi Okowa
President before election Muhammadu Buhari APC Elected President TBD

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Oyo State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Background

Oyo State is a large, Yoruba-majority southwestern state; the state has vast agricultural and service sectors but it faces large security issues from both inter-ethnic violence and conflict between herders and farmers along with a large number of out-of-school children.[2]

Politically, the 2019 elections in the state were categorized as a large swing towards the PDP as the party's presidential nominee Atiku Abubakar narrowly won the state after Buhari had won it in 2015, PDP nominee Seyi Makinde won the gubernatorial race by 17%, and the PDP gained a majority in the House of Assembly.^[citation needed] For the Senate, the APC won back two Senate seats it lost through defections while the PDP gained a APC-held seat; in the House of Representatives, the APC won the majority of the seats.^[citation needed]

Polling

Polling organisation/client	Fieldwork date	Sample size					Others	Undecided	Undisclosed	Not voting
			Tinubu APC	Obi LP	Kwankwaso NNPP	Abubakar PDP
BantuPage	December 2022	N/A	37%	11%	0%	18%	–	21%	3%	10%
Nextier (Oyo crosstabs of national poll)	27 January 2023	N/A	14.6%	36.9%	7.8%	27.2%	2.9%	10.7%	–	–
SBM Intelligence for EiE (Oyo crosstabs of national poll)	22 January-6 February 2023	N/A	39%	38%	–	13%	1%	10%	–	–

Projections

Source	Projection		As of
Africa Elects[a][3]	Lean Tinubu		24 February 2023
Dataphyte[b][4]
	Tinubu:	37.84%	11 February 2023
	Obi:	19.95%
	Abubakar:	25.11%
	Others:	17.10%
Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence[c][5]	Tinubu		17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[d][6]	Tinubu		15 December 2022
ThisDay[e][7]
	Tinubu:	40%	27 December 2022
	Obi:	15%
	Kwankwaso:	10%
	Abubakar:	20%
	Others/Undecided:	15%
The Nation[f][8][9]	Tinubu		12-19 February 2023

General election

Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Oyo State

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	A	Christopher Imumolen
	AA	Hamza al-Mustapha
	ADP	Yabagi Sani
	APP	Osita Nnadi
	AAC	Omoyele Sowore
	ADC	Dumebi Kachikwu
	APC	Bola Tinubu
	APGA	Peter Umeadi
	APM	Princess Chichi Ojei
	BP	Sunday Adenuga
	LP	Peter Obi
	NRM	Felix Johnson Osakwe
	New Nigeria Peoples Party	Rabiu Kwankwaso
	PRP	Kola Abiola
	PDP	Atiku Abubakar
	SDP	Adewole Adebayo
	YPP	Malik Ado-Ibrahim
	ZLP	Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes				100.00%
Invalid or blank votes				N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Oyo Central Senatorial District[g]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Oyo North Senatorial District[h]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Oyo South Senatorial District[i]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Afijio/Atiba/Oyo East/Oyo West Federal Constituency[j]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Akinyele/Lagelu Federal Constituency[k]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Atisbo/Saki East/Saki West Federal Constituency[l]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Egbeda/Ona-Ara Federal Constituency[m]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Ibadan North East/Ibadan South East Federal Constituency[n]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Ibadan North Federal Constituency[o]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Ibadan North West/Ibadan South West Federal Constituency[p]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Ibarapa Central/Ibarapa North Federal Constituency[q]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Ibarapa East/Ido Federal Constituency[r]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Irepo/Olorunsogo/Orelope Federal Constituency[s]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Iseyin/Kajola/Iwajowa/Itesiwaju Federal Constituency[t]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Ogbomosho North/Ogbomosho South/Orire Federal Constituency[u]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Ogo-Oluwa/Surulere Federal Constituency[v]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Oluyole Federal Constituency[w]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

Local government area	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes	Turnout (%)
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Afijio	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Akinyele	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Atiba	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Atisbo	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Egbeda	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ibadan North	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ibadan North-East	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ibadan North-West	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ibadan South-East	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ibadan South-West	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ibarapa Central	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ibarapa East	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ibarapa North	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ido	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Irepo	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Iseyin	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Itesiwaju	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Iwajowa	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kajola	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Lagelu	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ogbomosho North	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ogbomosho South	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ogo Oluwa	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Olorunsogo	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Oluyole	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ona Ara	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Orelope	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ori Ire	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Oyo East	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Oyo West	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Saki East	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Saki West	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Surulere	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%

See also

• 2023 Oyo State elections
• 2023 Nigerian presidential election

Notes

1. Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
2. Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
3. EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
4. SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
5. ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
6. The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
7. Comprising the local government areas of Afijio, Akinyele, Atiba, Egbeda, Lagelu, Ogo Oluwa, Oluyole, Ona Ara, Oyo East, Oyo West, and Surulere.
8. Comprising the local government areas of Atisbo, Irepo, Iseyin, Itesiwaju, Iwajowa, Kajola, Ogbomosho North, Ogbomosho South, Olorunsogo, Orelope, Ori Ire, Saki East, and Saki West.
9. Comprising the local government areas of Ibadan North, Ibadan North-East, Ibadan North-West, Ibadan South-East, Ibadan South-West, Ibarapa Central, Ibarapa East, Ibarapa North, and Ido.
10. Comprising the local government areas of Afijio, Atiba, Oyo East, and Oyo West.
11. Comprising the local government areas of Akinyele and Lagelu.
12. Comprising the local government areas of Atisbo, Saki East, and Saki West.
13. Comprising the local government areas of Egbeda and Ona Ara.
14. Comprising the local government areas of Ibadan North-East and Ibadan South-East.
15. Comprising the local government areas of Ibadan North.
16. Comprising the local government areas of Ibadan North-West and Ibadan South-West.
17. Comprising the local government areas of Ibarapa Central and Ibarapa North.
18. Comprising the local government areas of Ibarapa East and Ido.
19. Comprising the local government areas of Irepo, Olorunsogo, and Orelope.
20. Comprising the local government areas of Iseyin, Itesiwaju, Iwajowa, and Kajola.
21. Comprising the local government areas of Ogbomosho North, Ogbomosho South, and Ori Ire.
22. Comprising the local government areas of Ogo Oluwa and Surulere.
23. Comprising the local government area of Oluyole.

References

1. Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
2. Kabir, Adejumo. "INSIDE STORY: How artisans' fight led to ethnic violence in Oyo". Premium Times. Retrieved 17 May 2022.
3. Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
4. "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
5. "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
6. "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
7. "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
8. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (12 February 2023). "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
9. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.