2023 Nigerian presidential election in the Federal Capital Territory

2023 Nigerian presidential election in the Federal Capital Territory
← 2019 25 February 2023 2027 →
Opinion polls
Registered1,570,307
Turnout30.48%
 
Nominee Peter Obi Bola Tinubu Atiku Abubakar
Party LP APC PDP
Home state Anambra Lagos Adamawa
Running mate Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed Kashim Shettima Ifeanyi Okowa
Popular vote 281,717 90,902 74,199
Percentage 61.22% 19.76% 16.13%
Results

Tinubu:      30–40%      50–60%

Obi:      30–40%      40–50%      70–80%
President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

Elected President

TBD

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in the Federal Capital Territory was held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Polling

Polling organisation/client Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Others Undecided Undisclosed Not voting
Tinubu
APC 		Obi
LP 		Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Abubakar
PDP
BantuPage December 2022 N/A 11% 44% 3% 6% – 11% 10% 14%
Nextier
(FCT crosstabs of national poll) 		27 January 2023 N/A 8.6% 62.9% 2.9% 20.0% 5.7% – – –
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(FCT crosstabs of national poll) 		22 January-6 February 2023 N/A 6% 68% – 23% 2% 1% – –

Projections

Source Projection As of
Africa Elects[a][2] Likely Obi 24 February 2023
Dataphyte[b][3]
Tinubu: 33.01% 11 February 2023
Obi: 28.90%
Abubakar: 20.68%
Others: 17.41%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence[c][4] 		Obi 17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[d][5] Abubakar 15 December 2022
The Nation[e][6][7] Battleground 12-19 February 2023

General election

Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in the Federal Capital Territory
Party Candidate Votes %
A Christopher Imumolen
AA Hamza al-Mustapha
ADP Yabagi Sani
APP Osita Nnadi
AAC Omoyele Sowore
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu
APC Bola Tinubu
APGA Peter Umeadi
APM Princess Chichi Ojei
BP Sunday Adenuga
LP Peter Obi
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe
New Nigeria Peoples Party Rabiu Kwankwaso
PRP Kola Abiola
PDP Atiku Abubakar
SDP Adewole Adebayo
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes 100.00%
Invalid or blank votes N/A
Turnout

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal constituency Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Abaji/Gwagwalada/Kwali/Kuje Federal Constituency[f] 48,150 36.21% 36,957 27.80% 44,127 33.19% 1,177 0.89% 2,549 1.92% 132,960
AMAC/Bwari Federal Constituency[g] 42,752 13.07% 37,242 11.38% 237,590 72.63% 3,340 1.02% 6,194 1.89% 327,118
Totals 90,902 19.76% 74,194 16.13% 281,717 61.23% 4,517 0.98% 8,741 1.90% 460,071

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

Local government area Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes Turnout (%)
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Abaji[8] 10,370 50.70% 6,888 33.68% 2,874 14.05% 104 0.51% 216 1.06% 20,452 31.60%
Abuja[9][10] 29,596 12.70% 26,407 11.33% 170,392 73.12% 2,463 1.06% 4,161 1.79% 233,019 31.47%
Bwari[11][12] 13,156 13.98% 10,835 11.52% 67,198 71.41% 877 0.93% 2,033 2.16% 94,099 34.29%
Gwagwalada[13][14] 15,890 32.98% 10,987 22.81% 19,694 40.87% 483 1.00% 1,128 2.34% 48,182 28.54%
Kuje[15][16][note 1] 10,648 29.69% 10,028 27.96% 14,257 39.76% 266 0.74% 663 1.85% 35,862 27.79%
Kwali[17][18][note 2] 11,242 39.50% 9,054 31.81% 7,302 25.65% 324 1.14% 542 1.90% 28,464 32.10%
Totals 90,902 19.76% 74,194 16.13% 281,717 61.23% 4,517 0.98% 8,741 1.90% 460,071 30.48%
  1. ^ Kuje: Voting in thirteen polling units were disrupted by hoodlums who destroyed BVAS machines. Additionally, one polling unit was affected by a non-functional BVAS machine.
  2. ^ Kwali: Results in two polling units were cancelled due to overvoting.

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. ^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. ^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ^ The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  6. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Abaji, Gwagwalada, Kwali, and Kuje.
  7. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Abuja and Bwari.

References

  1. ^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. ^ Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  3. ^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  4. ^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  5. ^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  6. ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (12 February 2023). "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  7. ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  8. ^ Dataphyte [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "LGA result updates from Abaji, FCT" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  9. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (28 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION RESULT AMAC Area Council" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  10. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (28 February 2023). "Total valid votes: 233019" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  11. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (27 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION Bwari Area Council, FCT" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  12. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (27 February 2023). "Total valid votes: 94,099" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  13. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (27 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION Gwagwalada Area Council, FCT" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  14. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (27 February 2023). "Total valid votes: 48182" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  15. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION Kuje Area Council, FCT" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  16. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "YPP---19" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  17. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION Kwali Area Council, FCT" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  18. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "Total valid votes: 28,464" (Tweet) – via Twitter.