2023 Nigerian presidential election in Cross River State

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Cross River State
← 2019 25 February 2023 2027 →
Registered1,766,466
 
Nominee Bola Tinubu Peter Obi
Party APC LP
Home state Lagos Anambra
Running mate Kashim Shettima Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed
 
Nominee Rabiu Kwankwaso Atiku Abubakar
Party New Nigeria Peoples Party PDP
Home state Kano Adamawa
Running mate Isaac Idahosa Ifeanyi Okowa
President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

Elected President

TBD

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Cross River State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Background

Cross River State is a diverse state in the South South with growing economy and vast natural areas but facing an underdeveloped yet vital agricultural sector, deforestation, and rising debt in large part due to years of systemic corruption. Politically, the state's 2019 elections were categorized as a continuation of the PDP's control as Ayade won with over 73% of the vote and the party won every seat in the House of Assembly along with all three senate seats. However, the PDP did lose one House of Representatives seat to the APC and although the state was easily won by PDP presidential nominee Atiku Abubakar, it still swung towards Buhari compared to 2015 and had lower turnout.

Polling

Polling organisation/client Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Others Undecided Undisclosed Not voting
Tinubu
APC 		Obi
LP 		Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Abubakar
PDP
BantuPage December 2022 N/A 12% 59% 0% 7% – 7% 5% 10%
BantuPage January 2023 N/A 7% 71% 6% 4% – 3% 4% 4%
Nextier
(Cross River crosstabs of national poll) 		27 January 2023 N/A 14.7% 63.2% – 20.6% 1.5% – – –
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Cross River crosstabs of national poll) 		22 January-6 February 2023 N/A 9% 74% 1% 10% 1% 4% – –

Projections

Source Projection As of
Africa Elects[a][2] Likely Obi 24 February 2023
Dataphyte[b][3]
Tinubu: 46.74% 11 February 2023
Obi: 38.97%
Abubakar: 7.62%
Others: 6.68%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence[c][4] 		Obi 17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[d][5] Obi 15 December 2022
ThisDay[e][6]
Tinubu: 25% 27 December 2022
Obi: 35%
Kwankwaso: –
Abubakar: 20%
Others/Undecided: 20%
The Nation[f][7][8] Battleground 12-19 February 2023

General election

Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Cross River State
Party Candidate Votes %
A Christopher Imumolen
AA Hamza al-Mustapha
ADP Yabagi Sani
APP Osita Nnadi
AAC Omoyele Sowore
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu
APC Bola Tinubu
APGA Peter Umeadi
APM Princess Chichi Ojei
BP Sunday Adenuga
LP Peter Obi
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe
New Nigeria Peoples Party Rabiu Kwankwaso
PRP Kola Abiola
PDP Atiku Abubakar
SDP Adewole Adebayo
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes 100.00%
Invalid or blank votes N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial district Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Cross River Central Senatorial District[g] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Cross River North Senatorial District[h] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Cross River South Senatorial District[i] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal constituency Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Abi/Yakurr Federal Constituency[j] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Akamkpa/Biase Federal Constituency[k] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Akpabuyo/Bakassi/Calabar South Federal Constituency[l] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Calabar Municipal/Odukpani Federal Constituency[m] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Ikom/Boki Federal Constituency[n] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Obanliku/Obudu/Bekwarra Federal Constituency[o] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Obubra/Etung Federal Constituency[p] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Ogoja/Yala Federal Constituency[q] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

Local government area Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes Turnout (%)
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Abi TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Akamkpa TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Akpabuyo TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Bekwarra TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Biase TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Boki TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Calabar Municipal TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Calabar South TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Etung TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ikom TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Obanliku TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Obubra TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Obudu TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Odukpani TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ogoja TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Yakurr TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Yala TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. ^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. ^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  6. ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  7. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Abi, Boki, Etung, Ikom, Obubra, and Yakurr.
  8. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Bekwarra, Biase, Obanliku, Obudu, Ogoja, and Yala.
  9. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Akamkpa, Akpabuyo, Bakassi, Calabar Municipal, Calabar South, and Odukpani.
  10. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Abi and Yakurr.
  11. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Akamkpa and Biase.
  12. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Akpabuyo, Bakassi, and Calabar South.
  13. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Calabar Municipal and Odukpani.
  14. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Boki and Ikom.
  15. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Bekwarra, Obanliku, and Obudu.
  16. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Etung and Obubra.
  17. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ogoja and Yala.

References

  1. ^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. ^ Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  3. ^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  4. ^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  5. ^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  6. ^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  7. ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  8. ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.