Opinion polling for the 2025 Chilean presidential election

In the run-up to the 2025 Chilean presidential election, opinion polls are conducted to assess the intention to vote in Chile during the presidential term of Gabriel Boric. The date range for these opinion polls runs from the first measurement in October 2022, to the day the election is held, 23 November 2025.

Various polls are listed below in reverse chronological order (with the most recent polls first). The order considers the last day of the sampling and only when that period is not known, the date of publication of the poll is shown.

Opinion polls before candidate registration

Potential candidates are arranged on the left-right axis according to the coalition or party they belong to, with independents, who are outside any coalition, to the right of the table. The highest percentage for each survey is shown shaded and in bold.

Graphical summary

2025

Survey	Date												Other	DK/NR
		Jadue PC	Vallejo PC	Vodanovic FA	ME-O Ind.	Bachelet PS	Tohá PPD	Matthei UDI	Kast PRCh	Parisi PDG	Carter Ind.	Kaiser Ind.
Panel Ciudadano[1]	14–15 Jan 2025	1%	2%	1%	1%	7%	3%	26%	11%	2%	1%	7%	38%
Cadem[2]	8–10 Jan 2025	—	2%	3%	—	5%	2%	23%	9%	2%	—	10%	6%	38%
Criteria[3]	6–8 Jan 2025	—	3%	5%	2%	11%	3%	28%	10%	—	2%	7%	11%	18%

2024

Encuesta	Fecha
		Jadue	Vallejo	Vodanovic	Winter	Bachelet PS	Tohá PPD	Piñera ChV	Matthei UDI	Kast PLR	Parisi PDG	ME-O	Carter Ind.	Kaiser Ind.	Others	DK/NR
												Independent
Cadem[4]	12–14 Jun 2024	2%	3%	—	—	6%	3%	—	20%	14%	2%	—	1%	2%	6%	41%
Criteria[5]	31 May – 3 Jun 2024	—	4%	—	—	10%	3%	—	25%	13%	3%	2%	—	—	2%	38%
Activa[6]	29–31 May 2024	2,4%	5,2%	—	—	9,8%	2,4%	—	26,2%	12,1%	1,8%	—	—	2,3%	24,2%	13,6%
Panel Ciudadano[7]	13–14 May 2024	—	6%	2%	—	11%	5%	—	27%	18%	4%	3%	4%	3%	2%	15%
Cadem[8]	8–10 May 2024	—	3%	—	1%	3%	3%	—	24%	14%	2%	1%	2%	2%	8%	37%
La Cosa Nostra[9]	24 Apr – 5 May 2024	—	7,4%	—	5,1%	16,2%	10,7%	—	33,6%	12,6%	1,8%	2,0%	—	5,2%	5,4%	—
Feedback[10]	26 Apr – 3 May 2024	—	2%	2%	2%	11%	5%	—	26%	16%	—	—	2%	7%	5%	21%
Criteria[11]	26–29 Apr 2024	2%	6%	—	—	10%	4%	—	30%	12%	3%	2%	—	2%	2%	27%
Activa[12]	24–26 Apr 2024	—	3,5%	—	—	7,1%	—	—	28,5%	15,6%	—	2,2%	—	—	22,7%	20,4%
Cadem[13]	17–19 Apr 2024	—	3%	—	—	7%	3%	—	24%	14%	1%	1%	1%	2%	6%	38%
Cadem[14]	3–5 Apr 2024	1%	3%	—	—	4%	2%	—	25%	12%	1%	—	1%	1%	8%	42%
Criteria[15]	28 Mar – 1 Apr 2024	—	6%	—	—	7%	2%	—	27%	15%	3%	—	—	2%	3%	35%
Activa[16]	27–28 Mar 2024	—	4,5%	—	—	8,1%	—	—	24,9%	11,7%	2,5%	1,6%	—	2,5%	26,6%	17,6%
Cadem[17]	13–15 Mar 2024	1%	3%	1%	—	4%	2%	—	21%	12%	2%	—	2%	2%	10%	40%
Criteria[18]	1–4 Mar 2024	—	5%	—	—	7%	2%	—	31%	17%	—	2%	—	—	4%	32%
Activa[19]	28–29 Feb 2024	—	3,3%	—	—	9,5%	2,1%	—	26,2%	10,6%	1,7%	—	1,6%	1,6%	24.8%	18,6%
Panel Ciudadano[20]	23–24 Feb 2024	—	6%	—	2%	10%	4%	—	30%	16%	4%	3%	4%	3%	2%	16%
Cadem[21]	14–16 Feb 2024	1%	4%	—	—	6%	2%	—	22%	19%	1%	—	3%	1%	8%	33%
Death of former president Sebastián Piñera (6 February)
Activa[22]	25–26 Jan 2024	—	5,1%	—	—	6,8%	1,5%	11,1%	17,8%	13,3%	1,7%	—	—	—	20,7%	22,0%
Cadem[23]	10–12 Jan 2024	1%	2%	—	—	5%	2%	5%	16%	14%	1%	—	1%	—	8%	45%
Criteria[24]	4–8 Jan 2024	—	6%	—	—	10%	—	4%	24%	17%	3%	2%	2%	—	17%	15%

2023

Polling firm	Date	Sample size															Others	Blank vote / Undecided
			Jadue	Vallejo	Siches	Elizalde	Bachelet	Tohá	Sichel	Piñera	Matthei	Kast	Marinovic	Parisi	Carter	Jiles
					Ind.										Ind.	Ind.
Cadem[14]	8-10 November 2023	710	1	5			4	4	-	2	19	17	-	4	2	-	8	34
Research Chile[25]	22 October 2023	832	1	7	-	-	9	9	2	2	26	18	-	2	2	-	-	13
Research Chile	22-26 September 2023	813	1	6	-	-	8	11	1	2	28	17	-	2	2	-	-	16
Research Chile[26]	3-5 July 2023	786	1	8	-	-	5	9	1	1	23	22	-	2	5	0		16
Cadem[27]	5-7 July 2023	705	-	5.2	-	-	5.2	-	-	8.6	13.8	36.2	-	3.4	3.4	-
Research Chile[28]	5-7 Jun 2023	805	1	9	-	-	7	10	1	0	22	18	-	2	5	0
Research Chile[29]	8-10 May 2023	765	1	9	-		7	5	2	1	22	27	2	2	6	1		11
Cadem[30][31]	3-5 May 2023	703	1	4	–	–	2	1	-	4	13	20	1	2	4	–	7[a]	42
Research Chile[32]	10-12 Apr 2023	823	1	6	–	–	4	6	1	0	25	12	1	4	10	–	7[b]	22
Activa/Pulso Ciudadano[33]	21-24 Mar 2023	912	1.7	4	–	–	5.4	1.5	–	6.8	16.3	15.7	–	2.2	3.9	–	22.1[c]	20.8
Research Chile[34]	6-8 Mar 2023	882	2	9	–	–	6	6	2	–	25	11	2	4	5	1	8[d]	20
Research Chile[35]	6-7 Feb 2023	805	2	9	–	–	5	4	2	–	25	12	1	4	3	0	6[e]	26
Research Chile[36]	9–10 Jan 2023	803	2	8	–	–	–	6	3	–	27	17	3	4	3	1	3	20

2022

Polling firm	Date	Sample size															Others	Blank vote / Undecided
			Jadue	Vallejo	Siches	Elizalde	Bachelet	Tohá	Sichel	Piñera	Matthei	Kast	Marinovic	Parisi	Carter	Jiles
					Ind.										Ind.	Ind.
Encuestas Chile[37]	24 Mar – 31 Dec 2022	4,782	1	1	0	0	1	1	3	1	15	12	1	8	2	0	0	38
Cadem[38]	28–30 Dec 2022	705	1	–	–	–	3	1	1	4	9	13	–	1	1	–	12	54
Research Chile[39]	13-15 Dec 2022	800	2.1	9.5	–	–	–	5.3	3.3	–	20.6	15.8	2.5	3	–	0.6	19	25
Cadem[40]	26–28 Oct 2022	706	1	3	1	1	3	2	1	5	8	11	–	5	1	1	7	50
Election Results	19 Dec 2021	–	55.9[f]						44.1[g]					–	–	–	–	–
	21 Nov 2021		25.8[f]			11.6[h]			12.8[i]			27.9		12.8	–	–	9.1[j]	–

See also

• Opinion polling for the 2021 Chilean presidential election

Notes

1. Mario Marcel with 4%, Ignacio Briones with 2%, Vlado Mirosevic with 1%
2. Mario Marcel with 4%, Ignacio Briones with 2%, Vlado Mirosevic with 1%
3. Leonardo Farkas with 3.6, Marco Enríquez-Ominami with 1.7, others with 17
4. Mario Marcel with 4, Ignacio Briones with 3, Germán Codina with 1, Manuel Monsalve with 0
5. Mario Marcel with 3, Ignacio Briones with 2, Germán Codina with 1, Manuel Monsalve with 0
6. Gabriel Boric as Apruebo Dignidad candidate
7. José Antonio Kast
8. Yasna Provoste
9. Sebastián Sichel
10. Marco Enríquez-Ominami (7.6%) and Eduardo Artés (1.5%)

References

1. "Panel Ciudadano-UDD: Radiography of the Kaiser Phenomenon and Its Threat to Kast" (PDF). panelciudadano.cl. 19 January 2025.
2. "Public Plaza Cadem. Second Week of January - No. 574" (PDF). Cadem. 12 January 2025.
3. "Criteria Agenda, January 2025" (PDF). Criteria Research. 12 January 2025.
4. "Plaza Pública Cadem. Segunda semana de junio - N°544" (PDF). Cadem. 16 June 2024.
5. "Agenda Criteria, junio 2024" (PDF). Criteria Research. 5 June 2024.
6. "Pulso Ciudadano de Activa Research, mayo 2024, segunda quincena - N°94" (PDF). Cadem. 3 June 2024.
7. "Panel Ciudadano-UDD: especial inmigrantes" (PDF). panelciudadano.cl. 17 May 2024.
8. "Plaza Pública Cadem. Segunda semana de mayo - N°539" (PDF). Cadem. 12 May 2024.
9. Rojas, Matías (12 May 2024). "Bachelet asoma en carrera presidencial: ya superaría a Kast según encuesta de La Cosa Nostra". El Desconcierto.
10. "Percepciones y expectativas sobre la situación del país" (PDF). Feedback Research. 10 May 2024.
11. "Agenda Criteria, mayo 2024" (PDF). Criteria Research. 2 May 2024.
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19. "Pulso Ciudadano de Activa Research, febrero 2024, segunda quincena - N°91" (PDF). Activa Research. 3 March 2024.
20. "Panel Ciudadano-UDD: Matthei se despega de Kast y llega al 30% de preferencias presidenciales" (PDF). EX-Ante. 25 February 2024.
21. "Plaza Pública Cadem. Tercera semana de febrero - N°527" (PDF). Cadem. 18 February 2024.
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26. "Estudios | researchchile" (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-07-18.
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28. "Estudios | researchchile" (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-06-25.
29. "Estudios | researchchile" (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-07-18.
30. "Encuesta Plaza Pública Primera Semana de Mayo" (PDF). Plaza Publica Cadem. Retrieved 2023-06-14.
31. "José Antonio Kast lidera la preferencia presidencial espontánea con 20%, seguido por Evelyn Matthei con 13%". Sitio Web Cadem. Retrieved 2023-06-14.
32. Research Chile. "Resultados de la Encuesta de Opinión Pública del mes de Abril 2023" (PDF).
33. "Pulso Ciudadano Marzo". Somos Activa. Retrieved 2023-04-07.
34. "Resultados de la Encuesta de Opinión Pública del mes de Marzo 2023" (PDF). Research Chile.
35. "Resultados de la Encuesta de Opinión Pública del mes de Febrero 2023" (PDF). Research Chile.
36. "Resultados de la Encuesta de Opinión Pública del mes de Enero 2023" (PDF). Research Chile. 16 January 2023.
37. "Encuesta 'Futuros Presidenciales' (Año 2022)". Twitter. Retrieved 2023-01-27.
38. "Plaza Pública Cadem. Quinta semana de diciembre - N°468" (PDF). Cadem. 1 January 2023.
39. "Resultados de la Encuesta de Opinión Pública del mes de Diciembre" (PDF). 19 December 2022.
40. "Plaza Pública Cadem. Cuarta semana de octubre - N°459" (PDF). Cadem. 30 October 2022.