Next Jamaican general election

Next Jamaican general election
← 2020 By November 2025
All 63 seats in the House of Representatives
32 seats needed for a majority
 
Leader Andrew Holness Mark Golding
Party JLP PNP
Last election 57.07%, 49 seats 42.76%, 14 seats
Current seats 49 14 seats
Seats needed Steady Increase 18
Incumbent Prime Minister

Andrew Holness
JLP



General elections are scheduled to be held in Jamaica by 2025.

Background

Minister of Legal and Constitutional Affairs Marlene Malahoo Forte said that Jamaica would transition to being a Republic before the next general election.[1]

Timeline

Electoral system

The 63 members of the House of Representatives are elected in single-member constituencies by first-past-the-post voting.[3] Voters must be 18 years and over and be a citizen of Jamaica or a Commonwealth citizen.[4]

The leader of the party commanding a majority of support in the House of Representatives is called on by the Governor General to form a government as Prime Minister,[5] while the leader of the largest group or coalition not in government becomes the Leader of the Opposition.[6]

Members not seeking re-election

Member Constituency Party First elected Date announced
Lisa Hanna Saint Ann South Eastern People's National Party 2007 9 August 2022[7]

Opinion polls

Date Pollster Sample
size 		JLP PNP Other[a] Non-voting Lead
27 September – 3 October 2024 RJR Gleaner Group/Don Anderson poll[8] 1,012 43.5 56.5 – – 13
6 – 19 September 2024 Nationwide/Bluedot poll[9] 1,246 53 47 – – 6
June 2024 RJR Gleaner Group/Don Anderson poll[10] – 44.0 56 – – 12
4 – 12 April 2024 RJR Gleaner Group/Don Anderson poll[11] 1,057 44.1 55.9 – – 11.8
26 February 2024 2024 Jamaican local elections – 47.8 51.8 0.6 – 4
24 November – 7 December 2023 RJR Gleaner Group/Don Anderson poll[12] 1,015 22 25 18 35 3
17 – 26 February 2023 RJR Gleaner Group/Don Anderson poll[13] 1,002 27.9 28.1 19 25 0.2
13 September 2022 RJR Gleaner Group/Don Anderson poll[14] - 31 18 17 34 13
22 September 2021 RJR Gleaner Group/Don Anderson poll[15] 1,003 26 15 26 31 11
3 September 2020 2020 general election – 57.1 42.8 0.1 – 14.3

Notes

  1. ^ Includes "Don't Know/Unsure"

References

  1. ^ "Jamaica to transition to republic status by next general election —Malahoo Forte". Jamaica Observer. 2022-06-07. Retrieved 2023-01-11.
  2. ^ "Dalrymple-Philibert confident in JLP councillor-candidates for Trelawny Southern". The Gleaner. 2024-02-09. Retrieved 2024-02-12.
  3. ^ "Electoral System". Inter-Parliamentary Union.
  4. ^ "Registration Procedures". Electoral Commission of Jamaica. Archived from the original on 5 March 2020. Retrieved 7 September 2020.
  5. ^ "The Executive". Jamaica Information Service. Archived from the original on 5 September 2020. Retrieved 7 September 2020.
  6. ^ "The Opposition". Jamaica Information Service. Archived from the original on 26 August 2020. Retrieved 7 September 2020.
  7. ^ "Why Lisa Hanna is leaving representational politics". The Gleaner. 2022-08-09. Retrieved 2023-04-04.
  8. ^ @AmericaElige (November 25, 2024). "Jamaica, RJRGLEANER/Don Anderson poll" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  9. ^ @AmericaElige (November 25, 2024). "Jamaica, Nationwide/Bluedot poll" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  10. ^ @AmericaElige (August 2, 2024). "Jamaica, RJRGLEANER/Don Anderson poll" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  11. ^ @AmericaElige (May 15, 2024). "Jamaica, RJRGLEANER/Don Anderson poll" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  12. ^ "PNP holds lead". jamaica-gleaner.com. 2023-12-22. Retrieved 2024-01-05.
  13. ^ "Dead heat". jamaica-gleaner.com. 2023-03-12. Retrieved 2023-03-25.
  14. ^ "JLP in lead". The Gleaner. 2022-09-13. Retrieved 2023-03-25.
  15. ^ "Poll: JLP now nine percentage points ahead of PNP". The Gleaner. 2021-09-22. Retrieved 2023-01-11.