2022 Alabama gubernatorial election

2022 Alabama gubernatorial election

← 2018 November 8, 2022 2026 →
Turnout38.50% Decrease
 
Nominee Kay Ivey Yolanda Flowers
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 946,932 412,961
Percentage 66.91% 29.18%

Ivey:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Flowers:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

Governor before election

Kay Ivey
Republican

Elected Governor

Kay Ivey
Republican

The 2022 Alabama gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Alabama. Incumbent Governor Kay Ivey took office on April 10, 2017, upon the resignation of Robert J. Bentley (R) and won a full term in 2018. In 2022, she won her bid for a second full term in a landslide.[1]

Primary elections in Alabama were held on May 24. Runoff elections for instances where no candidate received 50% plus one vote were scheduled for June 21. A runoff was avoided in the Republican primary, with Ivey winning outright. The Democratic primary advanced to a runoff between Malika Sanders-Fortier and Yolanda Flowers, with Flowers winning the Democratic nomination.

Voter turnout for Alabama's 2022 governor election dropped significantly from its 2018 governor race, with only 38.5% of registered voters turning out. This was also far below Alabama's 63.1% turnout in the 2020 presidential race. Alabama's neighboring state Tennessee also saw a huge drop in voter turnout this midterm cycle.

This was the first gubernatorial election in Alabama history in which both major party nominees were women. Flowers was also the first Black female gubernatorial nominee in Alabama.[2] Governor Ivey was sworn in for her second full term on January 16, 2023.

This is the only gubernatorial election in the 2020s to date to be won by a member of the Silent Generation. This election saw the worst performance of a Democratic Party nominee in the state's history. This is also the first gubernatorial election in which Marengo County voted Republican.

Republican primary

Former U.S. Ambassador Lynda Blanchard finished second in the primary.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Lynda Blanchard

Individuals

  • James Henderson, head of Christian Pro-Life Council, radio show host and former pastor[23]
  • Mike Lindell, founder of MyPillow and conspiracy theorist[24]

Organizations

Lew Burdette

Individuals

Kay Ivey

State executives

State senators

State representatives

Mayors

Law enforcement

  • 31 county sheriffs and police chiefs[39]

Organizations

PACs

Tim James

State senators

State representatives

Individuals

Political parties

Organizations

PACs

  • Coal Miners Political Action Committee[63]
Dean Odle

Individuals

Newspapers

  • The Highland Park Review[66]

Businesses

  • Pigfarm Gun Range[67]

Organizations

  • Alabama First Alliance[68]
  • South Alabama Republican Assembly[69]
  • Stand for Health Freedom[70]
Dave Thomas

Organizations

  • Alabama Cannabis Coalition[71]
  • Alabama Republicans Against Marijuana Prohibition[71]

Debates and forums

2022 Alabama Republican gubernatorial primary debates and forums
No. Date Location Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Blanchard Burdette George Ivey James Jones Odle Thomas Young
1[72] Jan 19, 2022 Enterprise Coffee County Republican Women Jan White [73][74] P A A A P A P A A
2[75] Feb 01, 2022 Huntsville Republican Women of Huntsville Terri Terrell [76] P P A A P A P A A
3[77] Feb 10, 2022 Fairhope Eastern Shore Republican Women Jeff Poor N/A P P A A P P P P P
4[78] Feb 10, 2022 Dothan Houston County Republican Party Brandon Shoupe [79] P A A A P A P A A
5[80] Feb 28, 2022 Greenville Butler County Republican Party N/A N/A P P A A P A P A A
6[81] Mar 07, 2022 Athens Athens-Limestone Republican Women Tracy Smith N/A P A A A P A P A A
7[82] Mar 10, 2022 Hoover LOCAL Alabama Allison Sinclair
Stephanie Smith
[83] P P A A P A P P A
8[84] Apr 12, 2022 Cullman Cullman County Republican Women Charlotte Covert [85] P P A A P P P P A
9[86] Apr 26, 2022 Huntsville Focus on America Scott Beason
Rebecca Rogers
[87] P P A A P P P P A
10[88] May 11, 2022 Prattville Autauga County Republican Party John Wahl [89] P P A A A P P A A
11[90] May 14, 2022 Vestavia Hills Mid Alabama Republican Club N/A N/A P P A A A A P A P

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Lynda
Blanchard
Lew
Burdette
Kay
Ivey
Tim
James
Dean
Odle
Dean
Young
Other
[a]
Margin
Real Clear Politics[91] May 15–21, 2022 May 24, 2022 14.3% 7.7% 49.3% 18.0% 2.7% 1.3% 5.7% Ivey +31.3
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Lynda
Blanchard
Lew
Burdette
Stacy
George
Kay
Ivey
Tim
James
Donald
Jones
Dean
Odle
Dave
Thomas
Dean
Young
Jim
Zeigler
Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[92] May 18–21, 2022 1,060 (LV) ± 2.9% 17% 7% 47% 17% 3% 3% 1% 6%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[93][A] May 16–19, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 17% 8% 45% 18% 4% 9%
Cygnal (R)[94] May 15–16, 2022 634 (LV) ± 3.9% 13% 8% 48% 16% 2% 0% 2% 11%
Emerson College[95] May 15–16, 2022 706 (LV) ± 3.6% 11% 7% 0% 46% 17% 0% 3% 0% 0% 15%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[96][A] May 9–12, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 15% 8% 52% 15% 3% 7%
Cygnal (R)[97] May 6–7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 15% 6% 40% 18% 4% 1% 4% 14%
The Tarrance Group (R)[98][B] April 18–20, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.1% 14% 57% 12% 5% 12%
Emerson College[99] March 25–27, 2022 687 (LV) ± 3.7% 8% 4% 0% 48% 11% 1% 1% 2% 2% 22%
Cygnal (R)[100] March 16–17, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 10% 2% 46% 12% 5% 3% 21%
Wisemen Consulting (R)[101] March 15–17, 2022 905 (LV) ± 3.4% 12% 2% 1% 58% 16% <1% 1% <1% <1% 9%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[102][A] March 10–13, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 11% 1% 60% 14% 14%
1892 Polling (R)[103][B] March 8–10, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 8% 60% 13% 6% 13%
The Tarrance Group (R)[104][B] February 28 – March 2, 2022 600 (RV) ± 4.1% 10% 61% 13% 4% 12%
Cherry Communications (R)[105][C] February 2–6, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 10% 55% 11% 2% 22%
Cygnal (R)[106] August 17–18, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 4% 3% 9% 9% 34%

Primary results

Results by county:
  Ivey
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Republican primary results[107]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kay Ivey (incumbent) 357,069 54.45%
Republican Lynda Blanchard 126,202 19.25%
Republican Tim James 106,181 16.19%
Republican Lew Burdette 42,924 6.55%
Republican Dean Odle 11,767 1.79%
Republican Donald Trent Jones 3,821 0.58%
Republican Dave Thomas 2,886 0.44%
Republican Stacy Lee George 2,546 0.39%
Republican Dean Young 2,356 0.36%
Total votes 655,752 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Yolanda Rochelle Flowers, activist, retired rehabilitation specialist and educator[108][109][110]

Eliminated in runoff

Eliminated in primary

  • Patricia Salter Jamieson, nurse and licensed minister[108]
  • Arthur Kennedy, Army veteran and educator[11][112]
  • Chad "Chig" Martin, small business owner, musician and independent candidate for governor in 2018[113] (switched from independent)[114][115]
  • Doug "New Blue" Smith, developmental economist, retired corporate attorney and perennial candidate[10][11][116]

Failed to qualify

  • Christopher A. Countryman, equality activist, licensed minister, motivational speaker, former juvenile corrections officer and candidate for governor in 2018[117]

Declined

Endorsements

Yolanda Flowers
Malika Sanders-Fortier

Organizations

  • Alabama New South Alliance[120]

First round

Debates and forums

2022 Alabama Democratic gubernatorial primary debates and forums
No. Date Location Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Flowers Kennedy Martin Salter Sanders-
Fortier
Smith
1[82] Mar 10, 2022 Hoover LOCAL Alabama Allison Sinclair
Stephanie Smith
YouTube[83] P P P P P P
2[121] Apr 07, 2022 Fort Payne DeKalb County Democratic Party N/A N/A P A P A A P
3[122] Apr 22, 2022 Dothan Houston County Democratic Party N/A N/A P P P P P P

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Yolanda
Flowers
Patricia
Jamieson
Arthur
Kennedy
Chad
Martin
Malika
Sanders-Fortier
Doug
Smith
Undecided
Emerson College[95] May 15–16, 2022 294 (LV) ± 5.7% 29% 2% 5% 7% 5% 3% 49%
Emerson College[99] March 25–27, 2022 359 (LV) ± 5.1% 11% 3% 7% 4% 8% 8% 59%

Results

Results by county:
  Flowers
  •   20-30%
  •   30-40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Sanders-Fortier
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60-70%
  Jamieson
  •   60–70%
  Martin
  •   30–40%
Democratic primary results[107]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Yolanda Rochelle Flowers 56,991 33.88%
Democratic Malika Sanders-Fortier 54,699 32.52%
Democratic Patricia Jamieson Salter 19,691 11.71%
Democratic Arthur Kennedy 15,630 9.29%
Democratic Doug Smith 11,861 7.05%
Democratic Chad Martin 9,352 5.56%
Total votes 168,224 100.0%

Runoff

Results

Runoff results by county:
  Flowers
  •   50-60%
  •   60-70%
  •   70-80%
  •   80-90%
  Tie
  •   Flowers / Sanders-Fortier 50%
  Sanders-Fortier
  •   50-60%
  •   60-70%
Democratic primary runoff results[107]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Yolanda Rochelle Flowers 32,529 55.14%
Democratic Malika Sanders-Fortier 26,469 44.86%
Total votes 58,998 100.0%

Independent and third-party candidates

Libertarian nomination

No primary was held for the Libertarian Party, and candidates were instead nominated by the party.[123]

Nominee

Independent candidates

Declared

  • Jared Budlong, marketing project manager (write-in campaign)[124]
  • Dean Odle, pastor, author and former Republican primary candidate (write-in campaign)[125]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[126] Solid R March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[127] Solid R March 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[128] Safe R January 26, 2022
Politico[129] Solid R April 1, 2022
RCP[130] Safe R January 10, 2022
Fox News[131] Solid R May 12, 2022
538[132] Solid R June 30, 2022
Elections Daily[133] Safe R November 7, 2022

Endorsements

Yolanda Flowers (D)

Labor unions

Organizations

Jimmy Blake (L)

Organizations

  • Alabama Cannabis Coalition[137]
  • LetBamaVote.org[138]
Dean Odle (write-in)

Organizations

  • Stand for Health Freedom[139]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Kay
Ivey (R)
Yolanda
Flowers (D)
Jimmy
Blake (L)
Other Undecided
Cygnal (R)[140] October 27–29, 2022 616 (LV) ± 3.94% 60% 25% 5% - -

Results

2022 Alabama gubernatorial election[141]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Kay Ivey (incumbent) 946,932 66.91% +7.45%
Democratic Yolanda Rochelle Flowers 412,961 29.18% −11.21%
Libertarian James D. "Jimmy" Blake 45,958 3.25% N/A
Write-in 9,432 0.67% +0.52%
Total votes 1,415,283 100.0%
Turnout 1,419,718 38.50%
Registered electors 3,687,753
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Ivey won 6 of 7 congressional districts.[142]

District Ivey Flowers Representative
1st 68% 27% Jerry Carl
2nd 70% 27% Barry Moore
3rd 72% 25% Mike Rogers
4th 84% 12% Robert Aderholt
5th 69% 27% Mo Brooks (117th Congress)
Dale Strong (118th Congress)
6th 68% 27% Gary Palmer
7th 37% 60% Terri Sewell

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by ForestPAC, a wing of the Alabama Forestry Association, which supports Ivey
  2. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Ivey's campaign
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by FarmPAC, a wing of the Alabama Farmers Federation

References

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  92. ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
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