Opinion polling for the 2022 Australian federal election


2022 Australian federal election
National results
State and territory results

In the lead-up to the 2022 Australian federal election, a number of polling companies conducted regular opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collected data on parties' primary vote, and contained an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote. They also asked questions about the electorates' views on major party leaders. Key polling companies are YouGov, Essential Media Communications, Roy Morgan Research, and Resolve Strategic.

Ipsos polls used to be published in The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age and the Australian Financial Review;[1][2] however following the shock result of the 2019 Australian federal election, when the Coalition won the election against all of the opinion polls' predictions, the Nine Entertainment group decided to discontinue its relationship with that company.[3] The newspapers did not report any Ipsos political polling until 4 Apr 2022,[4] but continued to report the results of other Ipsos polls.[5]

Graphical summary

Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinion polling since the last federal election. Local regression trends for each party, weighted by sample size, are shown as solid lines.

Two party preferred

Two-party-preferred vote

Primary vote

Primary vote

Voting intention

For political events during the year, see 2019 in Australia, 2020 in Australia, 2021 in Australia, 2022 in Australia, and 2020s in Australian political history.

Assessment of polling accuracy

Following the ‘polling failure’ of the 2019 Australian federal election, where all the major polling organisations’ final polls erroneously predicted a Labor victory, a great deal of attention was paid to changes in methodology and the accuracy of the polls at the 2022 election.

Post-election, several well-known psephologists undertook assessments of accuracy for the voting results produced by each major pollster’s final poll. These employed differing methods of assessment, but generally determined that the polling industry was more accurate overall than in 2019, though still tended to overstate Labor’s primary vote share.

William Bowe (The Poll Bludger) summed this up by saying, “The 2022 federal election was a much happier experience for the polling industry than 2019, with each of five pollster producing election eve primary vote numbers broadly suggestive of the actual result. However, there was a collective error in favour of Labor, whose actual primary vote came in 2.3% below the pollster consensus while the Coalition landed 0.4% higher”.[6]

Psephologists Dr. Adrian Beaumont of The Conversation found Resolve Strategic’s final poll for the Nine newspapers to be the most accurate.[7]

Dr. Kevin Bonham’s polling blog said YouGov (which conducts Newspoll) was the best poll in three of the five categories, and "made the most useful contributions to forecasting the result". Solely based on the final poll, he shared the honours between Resolve Strategic and Newspoll on the basis that the former performed better on three of the four measures in his analysis, but the latter performed better on the measure he considered to be more important. [8]

2022

Date Brand Interview mode Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP OTH UND L/NP ALP
21 May 2022 Election[9][10] 35.7% 32.6% 12.2% 5.0% 4.1% 10.4% — 47.9% 52.1%
23 May–5 Jun 2022 ANU[11] CATI/online 3556 31.9% 35.4% 19.8% — — 12.9%[a] — — —
21–25 May 2022 Dynata (Exit Poll)[12] Online 1424 33% 41% 11% 4% — 11% — — —
13–19 May 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[13] Online 2188 35% 36% 12% 5% 3% 9% — 47% 53%
15–18 May 2022 Ipsos[14] Telephone/online 1996 35% 36% 13% 5% 3% 8% — 47% 53%
12–17 May 2022 Resolve Strategic[15][16] Telephone/online 2049 34.4% 31.3% 13.5% 5.8% 4.4% 10.5%[b] — 48.8% 51.2%
14–16 May 2022 Essential[17] Online 1600 36% 35% 9% 4% 3% 6%[c] 7% 46% 48%
9–15 May 2022 Roy Morgan[18] Telephone/online 1366 34% 34% 13% 4% 1% 14% — 47% 53%
10–13 May 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[19] Online 1532 35% 38% 11% 6% 3% 7% — 46% 54%
9 May 2022 Early voting begins[20]
2–8 May 2022 Roy Morgan[21] Telephone/online 1401 34% 35.5% 13% 4% 1% 12.5% — 45.5% 54.5%
4–7 May 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[22] Online 1523 35% 39% 11% 5% 4% 6% — 46% 54%
4–7 May 2022 Ipsos[23] Telephone/online 2311 29% 35% 12% 4% 3% 10% 7% 43% 57%
25 Apr–1 May 2022 Roy Morgan[24] Telephone/online 1487 35% 35% 13% 3% 1% 13% — 44.5% 55.5%
27–30 Apr 2022 Essential[25] Online 1500 36% 35% 10% 3% 4% 5% 6% 45% 49%
27–30 Apr 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[26] Online 1538 36% 38% 11% 5% 4% 6% — 47% 53%
27–30 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic[27] Online 1408 33% 34% 15% 5% 5% 8% — 46% 54%
18–24 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[28] Telephone/online 1393 35.5% 35% 12% 4.5% 1.5% 11.5% — 45.5% 54.5%
20–23 Apr 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[29] Online 1538 36% 37% 11% 3% 4% 9% — 47% 53%
20–23 Apr 2022 Ipsos[30] Telephone/online 2302 32% 34% 12% 4% 3% 8% 8% 45% 55%
19–20 Apr 2022 Essential[31] Online 1052 37% 35% 9% 3% 4% 5% 7% 46% 47%
11–17 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[32] Telephone/online 1382 35.5% 35% 14% 4.5% 1.5% 9.5% — 45% 55%
14–17 Apr 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[33] Online 1510 35% 36% 12% 4% 4% 9% — 47% 53%
11–16 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic[34] Online 1404 35% 34% 11% 4% 4% 13% — — —
10 Apr 2022 Australian federal election campaign begins with calling of 21 May election[35]
4–10 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[36] Telephone/online 1384 32.5% 36% 12.5% 5% 1.5% 12.5% — 43% 57%
6–9 Apr 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[37] Online 1506 36% 37% 10% 3% 4% 10% — 47% 53%
31 Mar–3 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic[38] Online 1681 34% 38% 11% 2% 3% 12% — — —
28 Mar–3 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[39] Telephone/online 1367 33% 39.5% 11% 3.5% 1% 12% — 43% 57%
31 Mar–3 Apr 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[40] Online 1531 36% 38% 10% 3% 3% 10% — 46% 54%
30 Mar–2 Apr 2022 Essential[41] Online 1086 37% 36% 10% 4% 3% 5% 5% 45% 50%
30 Mar–2 Apr 2022 Ipsos[42] Telephone/online 2563 31% 35% 10% 4% 2% 8% 7% 42% 51%
21–27 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[43] Online 1404 33% 35.5% 12.5% 3.5% 1% 14.5% — 44.5% 55.5%
14–16 Mar 2022 Essential[17] Online 1600 36% 35% 9% 4% 3% 6%[d] 7% 46% 48%
14–20 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[44] Telephone/online 1418 31% 37.5% 12% 3% 1% 15.5% — 42% 58%
3–13 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[45] Telephone/online 1947 33.5% 37% 11.5% 3% 1% 14%[e] — 44% 56%
9–12 Mar 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[46] Online 1520 35% 41% 8% 3% 3% 10% — 45% 55%
2–6 Mar 2022 Essential[47] Online 1093 36% 35% 10% 3% 3% 4% 7% 44% 49%
24 Feb–3 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[48] Telephone/online 1141 34% 37.5% 11.5% 3.5% 1% 12.5%[f] — 43.5% 56.5%
23–26 Feb 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[49] Online 1525 35% 41% 9% 3% 4% 8% — 45% 55%
14–23 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[50] Telephone/online 2261 32.5% 37.5% 12.5% 3.5% 1.5% 12.5%[g] — 43.5% 56.5%
15–20 Feb 2022 Resolve Strategic[51] Online 1604 33% 35% 10% 3% 4% 15% — — —
17–20 Feb 2022 Essential[52] Online 1089 35% 38% 9% 5% 3% 4% 6% 45% 49%
31 Jan–13 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[53] Telephone/online 2796 33% 38.5% 11.5% 4% 1.5% 11.5% — 43% 57%
9–12 Feb 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[54] Online 1526 34% 41% 8% 3% — 14% — 45% 55%
2–6 Feb 2022 Essential[55] Online 1069 37% 35% 9% 4% 2% 5% 8% 46% 47%
27–30 Jan 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[56] Online 1523 34% 41% 11% 3% — 11% — 44% 56%
17–30 Jan 2022 Roy Morgan[57] Telephone/online 2783 33% 37.5% 11.5% 3.5% 2% 12.5% — 43.5% 56.5%
20–23 Jan 2022 Essential[58] Online 1062 36% 37% 8% 3% — 9% 8% 43% 50%
4–16 Jan 2022 Roy Morgan[59] Telephone/online 2791 34.5% 37% 12% 3% 0.5% 13% — 44% 56%
11–15 Jan 2022 Resolve Strategic[60] Online 1607 34% 35% 11% 3% — 17% — — —

2019–2021

Date Brand Interview mode Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP OTH UND L/NP ALP
8–13 Dec 2021 Essential[61] Online 1095 36% 36% 9% 4% 6% 8% 45% 47%
11–12, 18–19 Dec 2021 Roy Morgan[62][63] Telephone/online — 34.5% 37% 11.5% 4% 13% — 44.5% 55.5%
1–5 Dec 2021 Essential[64] Online 1094 38% 35% 10% 3% 7% 8% 45% 48%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021 Roy Morgan[65] Telephone/online 2805 34.5% 36% 12.5% 3.5% 13.5%[h] — 43.5% 56.5%
1–4 Dec 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[66] Online 1518 36% 38% 10% 3% 13% — 47% 53%
17–21 Nov 2021 Essential[67][68] Online 1095 36% 37% 10% 4% 7% 7% 45% 48%
17–21 Nov 2021 Resolve Strategic[69] Online 1781 39% 32% 11% 3% 14% — — —
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[70] Telephone/online 2795 35.5% 35.5% 12% 3.5% 13.5% — 44.5% 55.5%
10–13 Nov 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[71] Online 1524 37% 38% 11% 2% 12% — 47% 53%
3–7 Nov 2021 Essential[67][68] Online 1089 35% 37% 9% 3% 6% 10% 44% 46%
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[72] Telephone/online 2723 36.5% 35% 11.5% 3% 14% — 46.5% 53.5%
20–24 Oct 2021 Essential[73] Online 1781 37% 36% 10% 3% 8% 6% 44% 49%
20–24 Oct 2021 Resolve Strategic[74][75] Online ~1600 37% 34% 11% 3% 14% — — —
16–17, 23–24 Oct 2021 Roy Morgan[76] Telephone/online 2778 36.5% 35% 13.5% 3.5% 11.5% — 46% 54%
20–23 Oct 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[77] Online 1515[78] 35% 38% 11% 3% 13% — 46% 54%
6–10 Oct 2021 Essential[73] Online 1097 36% 34% 9% 4% 8% 9% 45% 46%
2–3, 9–10 Oct 2021 Roy Morgan[79] Telephone/online 2794 37.5% 36% 11.5% 3% 12% — 47% 53%
29 Sep–2 Oct 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[80] Online 1545 37% 37% 11% 2% 13% — 47% 53%
22–26 Sep 2021 Essential[73] Online 1094 38% 36% 9% 3% 6% 6% 46% 48%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[81] Telephone/online 2752 36% 36% 12.5% 3.5% 12% — 46% 54%
15–19 Sep 2021 Resolve Strategic[82] Online 1606 39% 31% 10% 4% 16% — — —
15–18 Sep 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[83] Online 2144 37% 38% 10% 3% 12% — 47% 53%
8–12 Sep 2021 Essential[73] Online 1100 38% 34% 8% 4% 8% 8% 46% 46%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[84] Telephone/online 2735 39.5% 35% 13% 3% 10% — 47.5% 52.5%
25–29 Aug 2021 Essential[73] Online 1100 38% 36% 10% 4% 6% 7% 45% 48%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[85] Telephone/online 2735 37.5% 38.5% 11.5% 3% 9.5% — 45.5% 54.5%
25–28 Aug 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[86] Online 1528 36% 40% 10% 3% 11% — 46% 54%
17–21 Aug 2021 Resolve Strategic[87] Online 1607 40% 32% 12% 2% 14% — — —
16 Aug 2021 Essential[73] Online — 37% 36% 9% 3% 6% 8% 45% 47%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[88] Telephone/online 2747 37.5% 37.5% 12.5% 3.5% 9% — 46% 54%
4–7 Aug 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[89] Online 1527 39% 39% 11% 3% 8% — 47% 53%
2 Aug 2021 Essential[73] Online — 38% 35% 9% 4% 6% 8% 45% 47%
24–25, 31 Jul–1 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[90] Telephone/online 2709 37% 37% 12.5% 3% 10.5% — 46.5% 53.5%
19 Jul 2021 Essential[91] Online — 37% 36% 10% 4% 6% 8% 45% 47%
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021 Roy Morgan[92] Telephone/online 2737 39% 37% 11.5% 3% 9.5% — 47.5% 52.5%
13–17 Jul 2021 Resolve Strategic[93] Online 1607 38% 35% 12% 4% 12% — — —
14–17 Jul 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[94] Online 1506 39% 39% 10% 3% 9% — 47% 53%
5 Jul 2021 Essential[91] Online — 37% 36% 8% 4% 5% 8% 44% 48%
23–26 Jun 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[95] Online 1513 41% 37% 11% 3% 8% — 49% 51%
22 Jun 2021 Barnaby Joyce replaces Michael McCormack as National Party leader and Deputy Prime Minister[96]
21 Jun 2021 Essential[91] Online — 38% 36% 10% 4% 5% 7% 45% 47%
12–13, 19–20 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[97] Telephone/online 2782 41.5% 34.5% 12% 3.5% 8.5% — 49.5% 50.5%
13 Jun 2021 Resolve Strategic[98] Online 1600 40% 36% 10% 3% 12% — — —
7 Jun 2021 Essential[91] Online — 38% 35% 10% 4% 7% 7% 44% 48%
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[99] Telephone/online 2817 40% 35.5% 11.5% 3% 10% — 49% 51%
2–5 Jun 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[100] Online 1516 41% 36% 11% 3% 9% — 50% 50%
24 May 2021 Essential[91] Online — 37% 35% 10% 3% 6% 8% 44% 48%
12–16 May 2021 Resolve Strategic[101] Online 1622 39% 35% 12% 2% 13% — — —
12–15 May 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[102] Online 1506 41% 36% 12% 2% 9% — 49% 51%
10 May 2021 Essential[91] Online — 38% 36% 9% 3% 6% 8% 44% 48%
26 Apr 2021 Essential[91] Online — 39% 34% 10% 4% 6% 7% 46% 46%
21–24 Apr 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[103] Online 1514 41% 38% 10% 3% 8% — 49% 51%
16 Apr 2021 Resolve Strategic[104] CATI/online 2000 38% 33% 12% 6% 11% — — —
12 Apr 2021 Essential[91] Online — 37% 36% 10% 3% 7% 7% 45% 48%
29 Mar 2021 Essential[91] Online — 39% 36% 8% 3% 7% 7% 46% 47%
24–27 Mar 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[105] Online 1517 40% 38% 11% 2% 9% — 48% 52%
15 Mar 2021 Essential[91] Online — 38% 34% 9% 3% 8% 7% 47% 47%
6–7, 13–14 Mar 2021 Roy Morgan[106] Telephone/online 2747 41% 34.5% 12.5% 2.5% 9.5% — 49.5% 50.5%
10–13 Mar 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[107] Online 1521 39% 39% 10% 3% 9% — 48% 52%
1 Mar 2021 Essential[91] Online — 37% 34% 9% 4% 8% 7% 45% 48%
17–20 Feb 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[108] Online 1504 42% 37% 10% 3% 8% — 50% 50%
15 Feb 2021 Essential[91] Online — 39% 35% 8% 4% 7% 6% 47% 47%
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021 Roy Morgan[109] Telephone/online 2786 40% 34.5% 13% 3.5% 9% — 49.5% 50.5%
27 Jan–1 Feb 2021 Essential[110][111] Online 1092 37% 35% 10% 3% 7% 8% 44% 47%
27–30 Jan 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[112] Online 1512 42% 36% 10% 3% 9% — 50% 50%
18 Jan 2021 Essential[110] Online — 40% 33% 10% 3% 7% 7% 48% 45%
14 Dec 2020 Essential[110] Online — 37% 35% 8% 4% 7% 9% 45% 46%
30 Nov 2020 Essential[110] Online — 41% 33% 8% 4% 6% 8% 49% 43%
25–28 Nov 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[113] Online 1511 43% 36% 11% 2% 8% — 51% 49%
16 Nov 2020 Essential[110] Online — 38% 35% 9% 4% 6% 7% 45% 47%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020 Roy Morgan[114] Telephone/online 2824 42% 34% 12% 4% 8% — 50.5% 49.5%
4–7 Nov 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[115] Online 1510 43% 35% 11% 3% 8% — 51% 49%
2 Nov 2020 Essential[110] Online — 39% 35% 9% 3% 5% 9% 44% 46%
14–19 Oct 2020 Essential[116] Online — 39% 35% 9% 3% 7% 8% 48% 45%
12 Oct 2020 Essential[116] Online — 40% 33% 9% 3% 5% 9% 47% 44%
8–10 Oct 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[117] Online 1527 44% 34% 11% 3% 8% — 52% 48%
5 Oct 2020 Essential[116] Online — 39% 34% 9% 5% 6% 7% 47% 46%
21 Sep 2020 Essential[116] Online — 41% 31% 10% 4% 5% 9% 49% 42%
16–19 Sep 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[118] Online 2068 43% 34% 12% 3% 8% — 51% 49%
7 Sep 2020 Essential[116] Online — 38% 32% 10% 3% 9% 8% 45% 47%
26–29 Aug 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[119] Online 1507 41% 36% 11% 3% 9% — 50% 50%
24 Aug 2020 Essential[116] Online — 39% 35% 9% 4% 6% 7% 47% 45%
10 Aug 2020 Essential[116] Online — 38% 34% 9% 4% 5% 10% 46% 44%
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020 Roy Morgan[120] Telephone/online 2841 46% 32.5% 11% 3% 7.5% — 54% 46%
5–8 Aug 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[121] Online 1509 43% 33% 11% 4% 9% — 52% 48%
23–26 Jul 2020 Essential[122] Online 1058 38% 35% 9% 4% 6% 8% 45% 47%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020 Roy Morgan[123] Telephone/online 2589 43.5% 33.5% 11% 2.5% 9.5% — 51.5% 48.5%
15–18 Jul 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[124] Online 1850 44% 34% 10% 4% 8% — 53% 47%
13 Jul 2020 Essential[122] Online 1054 37% 34% 10% 4% 6% 9% 45% 46%
29 Jun 2020 Essential[122] Online 1079 39% 33% 9% 4% 6% 8% 47% 45%
24–27 Jun 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[125] Online 1521 42% 35% 11% 3% 9% — 51% 49%
22 Jun 2020 Essential[122] Online 1079 39% 33% 10% 5% 6% 7% 48% 46%
13–14, 20–21 Jun 2020 Roy Morgan[126] Telephone/online 2593 42.5% 34.5% 10.5% 4% 8.5% — 50.5% 49.5%
15 Jun 2020 Essential[122] Online 1087 38% 35% 9% 5% 7% 7% 47% 47%
8 Jun 2020 Essential[122] Online 1073 40% 33% 9% 4% 6% 8% 47% 45%
3–6 Jun 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[127] Online 1512 42% 34% 12% 4% 8% — 51% 49%
13–16 May 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[128] Online 1504 43% 35% 10% 3% 9% — 51% 49%
18–19, 25–26 Apr 2020 Roy Morgan[129] Telephone/online 2806 43.5% 33% 11.5% 3% 9% — 51.5% 48.5%
22–25 Apr 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[130] Online 1519 41% 36% 12% 4% 7% — 50% 50%
1–3 Apr 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[131] Online 1508 42% 34% 13% 5% 6% — 51% 49%
11–14 Mar 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[132] Online 1501 40% 36% 12% 4% 8% — 49% 51%
27 Feb 2020 COVID-19 pandemic declared a national emergency[133]
19–22 Feb 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[134] Online 1513 38% 34% 13% 4% 11% — 49% 51%
20 Jan–3 Feb 2020 ANU[135] CATI/online 3249 34.8% 33.4% 14.7% — 10.5% — — —
4 Feb 2020 Adam Bandt replaces Richard Di Natale as Greens leader[136]
29 Jan–1 Feb 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[137] Online 1510 38% 35% 13% 4% 10% — 48% 52%
8–11 Jan 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[138] Online 1505 40% 36% 12% 4% 8% — 49% 51%
4–8 Dec 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[139] Online 1503 42% 33% 11% 5% 9% — 52% 48%
21–23 Nov 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[140] Online[141] 1519 41% 33% 12% 5% 9% — 51% 49%
7–10 Nov 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[142] IVR/online 1682 40% 35% 12% 7% 6% — 50% 50%
17–20 Oct 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[143] IVR/online 1634 42% 33% 13% 6% 6% — 51% 49%
26–29 Sep 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[144] IVR/online 1658 42% 33% 13% 6% 6% — 51% 49%
5–7 Sep 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[145] IVR/online 1661 43% 35% 12% 5% 5% — 51% 49%
15–18 Aug 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[146] IVR/online 1623 42% 34% 11% 4% 9% — 51% 49%
25–28 Jul 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[147] IVR/online 1601 44% 33% 11% 3% 9% — 53% 47%
30 May 2019 Anthony Albanese replaces Bill Shorten as Labor leader[148]
18 May 2019 Election[149] 41.44% 33.34% 10.4% 3.08% 11.74% — 51.53% 48.47%
  1. ^ Includes ONP, UAP and independents
  2. ^ 6% Independents, 4% Other
  3. ^ 6% Independents
  4. ^ 6% Independents
  5. ^ 10.5% Independents, 3.5% Other
  6. ^ 9% Independents, 3.5% Other
  7. ^ 8.5% Independents, 4% Other
  8. ^ 1% UAP, 12.5% Independents/Other

Polling for individual seats

Main article: Electorate opinion polling for the 2022 Australian federal election
Australian Capital Territory
Date Brand Seat Sample size Primary vote 2PP vote
Lib ALP GRN Pocock Rubenstein ON UAP OTH Lib ALP
6 May 2022 RedBridge[150] Senate 1064 25% 27% 11% 21% 6% — 6% 4% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Bean — 24% 44% 11% — — 2% 2% 17% 37% 63%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Canberra — 20% 46% 24% — — 1% 1% 8% 28% 72%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Fenner — 30% 46% 18% — — 2% 2% 2% 36% 64%
6 Apr 2022 RedBridge[152] Senate — 25% 37% 14% 11% — — — — — —
6 Apr 2022 RedBridge[152] Senate — 24% 35% 15% 13% — — — — — —
New South Wales
Date Brand Seat Sample size Primary vote 2PP vote
L/NP ALP IND GRN ON UAP OTH L/NP ALP IND GRN
17 May 2022 Laidlaw Campaigns[153] Fowler 618 — 42% — — — — — — 45% 38% —
15 May 2022 Industry Association[154] Robertson 800 — — — — — — — 42% 58% — —
15 May 2022 Industry Association[154] Reid 800 — — — — — — — 47% 53% — —
15 May 2022 Industry Association[154] Parramatta 800 — — — — — — — 46% 54% — —
15 May 2022 Industry Association[154] Gilmore 800 — — — — — — — 44% 56% — —
15 May 2022 Industry Association[154] Shortland 800 — — — — — — — 43% 57% — —
15 May 2022 Industry Association[154] Hunter 800 — — — — — — — 49% 51% — —
15 May 2022 Industry Association[154] Lindsay 800 — — — — — — — 57% 43% — —
3–14 May 2022 RedBridge[155] North Sydney 1267 33.3% 17.8% 23.5% — — — — — — — —
1–7 May 2022 RedBridge[156] Wentworth 1117 36.0% 11.7% 33.3% 6.2% — 5.3% — — — — —
6 May 2022 Compass Polling[157] North Sydney 507 40.5% 21.6% 13.6% 12.9% 3.0% 1.4% 6.1% 54% 46% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Banks — 45% 38% [note 1] 9% 2% 3% 3% 52% 48% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Barton — 36% 49% [note 1] 9% 2% 3% 3% 41% 59% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Bennelong — 44% 40% [note 1] 9% 2% 3% 2% 50% 50% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Blaxland — 29% 50% [note 1] 13% 3% 5% — 36% 64% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Berowra — 50% 29% [note 1] 12% 3% 1% 5% 58% 42% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Bradfield — 49% 30% [note 1] 11% 2% 3% 5% 58% 42% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Calare — 43% 26% [note 1] 5% 9% 6% 11% 60% 40% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Chifley — 28% 50% [note 1] 6% 4% 2% 10% 40% 60% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Cook — 55% 29% [note 1] 7% 4% 5% — 62% 38% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Cowper — 42% 21% [note 1] 7% 11% 2% 17% 68% 32% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Cunningham — 29% 46% [note 1] 15% 3% 6% 1% 37% 63% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Dobell — 36% 42% [note 1] 9% 4% 6% 3% 46% 54% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Eden-Monaro — 35% 44% [note 1] 7% 3% 2% 9% 43% 57% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Farrer — 48% 21% [note 1] 7% 9% 5% 10% 73% 27% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Fowler — 28% 50% [note 1] 7% 5% 6% 4% 38% 62% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Gilmore — 39% 39% [note 1] 11% 5% 2% 4% 47% 53% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Grayndler — 20% 53% [note 1] 20% 1% 1% 5% — 69% — 31%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Greenway — 38% 44% [note 1] 8% 3% 2% 5% 47% 53% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Hughes — 42% 31% [note 1] 6% 2% 5% 14% 56% 44% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Hume — 47% 32% [note 1] 6% 4% 5% 6% 59% 41% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Hunter — 16% 42% [note 1] 10% 16% 6% 10% 40% 60% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Kingsford Smith — 35% 44% [note 1] 15% 2% 4% — 41% 59% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Lindsay — 40% 40% [note 1] 8% 6% 3% 3% 50% 50% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Lyne — 38% 28% [note 1] 6% 6% 3% 19% 56% 44% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Macarthur — 28% 51% [note 1] 8% 7% 4% 2% 38% 62% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Mackellar — 45% 20% [note 1] 7% 3% 2% 23% 53% — 47% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Macquarie — 39% 40% [note 1] 10% 3% 2% 6% 47% 53% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] McMahon — 35% 39% [note 1] 7% 5% 5% 5% 44% 56% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Mitchell — 50% 30% [note 1] 10% 5% 3% 2% 59% 41% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] New England — 40% 21% [note 1] 6% 10% 3% 20% 68% 32% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Newcastle — 27% 50% [note 1] 15% 3% 2% 3% 33% 67% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] North Sydney — 38% 30% [note 1] 10% 2% 2% 18% 53% 47% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Page — 37% 31% [note 1] 9% 6% 2% 15% 52% 48% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Parkes — 35% 32% [note 1] 5% 7% 4% 17% 54% 46% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Parramatta — 37% 47% [note 1] 7% 3% 2% 4% 43% 57% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Paterson — 30% 47% [note 1] 7% 10% 3% 3% 42% 58% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Reid — 37% 44% [note 1] 11% 2% 3% 3% 44% 56% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Richmond — 25% 32% [note 1] 18% 3% 2% 20% 41% 59% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Riverina — 41% 29% [note 1] 6% 6% 5% 13% 59% 41% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Robertson — 39% 39% [note 1] 9% 5% 5% 3% 49% 51% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Shortland — 28% 43% [note 1] 11% 3% 5% 10% 40% 60% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Sydney — 23% 51% [note 1] 21% 1% 2% 2% 28% 72% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Warringah — 32% 12% [note 1] 5% 4% 2% 45% 41% — 59% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Watson — 29% 55% [note 1] 7% 5% 4% 11% 35% 65% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Wentworth — 48% 16% [note 1] 5% 3% 2% 26% 56% — 44% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Werriwa — 36% 41% [note 1] 7% 4% 5% 7% 47% 53% — —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Whitlam — 23% 50% [note 1] 12% 6% 5% 4% 36% 64% — —
28 Apr 2022 RedBridge[159] Parramatta — 26.4% 32.4% [note 1] 10.7% — 7.2% 11.9% 45% 55% — —
28 Apr 2022 RedBridge[159] Wentworth — 36.6% 16.2% 24.3% 7.0% — 6.3% 5.3% 47% — 53% —
11–12 Apr 2022 Community Engagement[160] North Sydney 1114 37.4% 17.4% 19.4% 8.7% — 5.6% — — — — —
7 Apr 2022 uComms[161] Mackellar 833 35.2% 18.0% 23.9% — — — — — — — —
20–21 Mar 2022 KJC Research[162] Wentworth 1036 42% 14% 27% 9% — 3% 4% 49% — 51% —
28 Jan 2022 uComms[163] Wentworth 850 35.6% 18.6% 27.7% 7.5% — — — 44% — 56% —
28 Jan 2022 uComms[163] North Sydney 850 34.1% 22.9% 20% 11.2% — — — — — — —
Queensland
Date Brand Seat Sample size Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ON UAP OTH LNP ALP OTH
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Blair — 30% 36% 12% 11% 4% 7% 46% 54% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Bonner — 46% 32% 15% 4% 3% — 54% 46% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Bowman — 44% 32% 12% 6% 5% 1% 55% 45% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Brisbane — 36% 29% 28% 2% 3% 2% 46% 54% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Capricornia — 38% 27% 7% 16% 4% 8% 59% 41% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Dawson — 33% 30% 7% 19% 3% 8% 56% 44% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Dickson — 42% 30% 13% 4% 5% 6% 53% 47% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Fadden — 44% 26% 8% 8% 7% 7% 61% 39% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Fairfax — 45% 24% 15% 7% 4% 5% 58% 42% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Fisher — 42% 28% 15% 6% 6% 3% 55% 45% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Flynn — 33% 32% 5% 16% 8% 6% 54% 46% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Forde — 38% 30% 10% 9% 5% 8% 55% 45% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Griffith — 32% 36% 26% 3% 3% — 40% 60% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Groom — 48% 24% 8% 12% 2% 6% 64% 36% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Herbert — 38% 27% 7% 11% 4% 13% 56% 44% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Hinkler — 44% 27% 7% 14% 3% 5% 60% 40% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Kennedy — 27% 17% 7% — 6% 43% 38% — 62%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Leichhardt — 35% 32% 12% 10% 5% 6% 51% 49% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Lilley — 38% 41% 13% 4% 1% 3% 46% 54% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Longman — 36% 38% 6% 11% 2% 7% 50% 50% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Maranoa — 52% 19% 4% 15% 5% 5% 73% 27% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] McPherson — 42% 25% 17% 6% 6% 4% 56% 44% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Moncrieff — 48% 23% 9% 7% 7% 6% 64% 34% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Moreton — 36% 38% 18% 2% 4% 2% 44% 56% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Oxley — 33% 46% 12% 6% 3% — 42% 58% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Petrie — 44% 31% 10% 6% 7% 2% 56% 44% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Rankin — 28% 40% 12% 9% 7% 4% 42% 58% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Ryan — 40% 25% 24% 2% 3% 6% 50% 50% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Wide Bay — 45% 25% 8% 10% 2% 10% 59% 41% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Wright — 35% 22% 10% 20% 9% 4% 56% 44% —
28 Jan 2022 United Workers Union[164] Dickson 1200 40% 34% 10% 5% 5% 4% 51% 49% —
South Australia
Date Brand Seat Sample size Primary vote 2PP vote
Lib ALP GRN IND ON UAP OTH Lib ALP OTH
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Adelaide — 34% 43% 15% [note 1] 3% 3% 2% 40% 60% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Barker — 48% 26% 6% [note 1] 8% 6% 6% 62% 38% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Boothby — 37% 38% 11% [note 1] 2% 1% 11% 47% 53% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Grey — 41% 29% 5% [note 1] 12% 3% 10% 57% 43% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Hindmarsh — 34% 43% 13% [note 1] 3% 3% 4% 42% 58% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Kingston — 28% 52% 9% [note 1] 3% 3% 5% 36% 64% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Makin — 31% 50% 9% [note 1] 3% 5% 2% 39% 61% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Mayo — 34% 20% 8% [note 1] 8% 2% 28% 48% — 52%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Spence — 28% 48% 9% [note 1] 8% 4% 3% 38% 62% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Sturt — 42% 36% 15% [note 1] 2% 2% 3% 50% 50% —
5 Apr 2022 uComms[165] Senate 1052 32.2% 36.1% 11.6% 8.2%[a] 3.9% 2.7% 3.2% — — —
30 Mar 2022 uComms[166] Boothby 801 33.9% 36.3% 11.4% 8.6% 4.8% 3% — 43% 57% —
30 Mar 2022 uComms[166] Sturt 809 38.4% 33% 11.3% — 5% 4.1% — 48% 52% —
Western Australia
Date Brand Seat Sample size Primary vote 2PP vote
Lib ALP GRN IND ON UAP OTH Lib ALP IND
16 May 2022 Utting Research[167] Curtin 514 38% 13% 9% 32% 3% 4% 48% — 52%
15–16 May 2022 YouGov[168] Pearce 411 40% 43% 4% — 1% 2% 9%[note 2] 47% 53% —
12–13 May 2022 Utting Research[169] Swan — 39% 38% 10% — 4% 3% — 47% 53% —
12–13 May 2022 Utting Research[169] Pearce — 32% 30% 12% — 7% 6% — 48% 52% —
12–13 May 2022 Utting Research[169] Hasluck — 39% 31% 10% — 9% 6% — 55% 45% —
12–13 May 2022 Utting Research[169] Tangney — 47% 35% 8% — 2% 2% — 54% 46% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Brand — 27% 46% 12% [note 1] 7% 3% 5% 40% 60% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[158] Curtin — 41% 24% 15% [note 1] 3% 3% 14% 56% 44% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Burt — 28% 46% 13% [note 1] 5% 2% 6% 38% 62% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Canning — 39% 33% 8% [note 1] 6% 1% 13% 53% 47% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Cowan — 31% 46% 13% [note 1] 5% 2% 3% 41% 59% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Durack — 46% 26% 10% [note 1] 13% 2% 3% 61% 39% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Forrest — 47% 26% 13% [note 1] 9% 1% 4% 60% 40% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Fremantle — 33% 43% 15% [note 1] 3% 2% 4% 41% 59% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Hasluck — 39% 32% 13% [note 1] 5% 5% 6% 52% 48% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Moore — 45% 32% 11% [note 1] 3% 3% 6% 55% 45% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] O'Connor — 50% 26% 10% [note 1] 9% 1% 4% 61% 39% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Pearce — 39% 37% 12% [note 1] 5% 2% 5% 48% 52% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Perth — 28% 42% 21% [note 1] 3% 2% 4% 37% 63% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Swan — 34% 42% 13% [note 1] 4% 3% 4% 43% 57% —
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov[151] Tangney — 46% 33% 11% [note 1] 3% 2% 5% 55% 45% —
11–14 Mar 2022 Utting Research[170] Curtin 718 42% 20% 9% 24% — 2% — 51% — 49%
11–14 Mar 2022 Utting Research[171] Tangney 750 41% 41% 7% — 2% 2% 8% 50% 50% —
11–14 Mar 2022 Utting Research[171] Hasluck 750 37% 39% 7% — 4% 3% 10% 48% 52% —
11–14 Mar 2022 Utting Research[171] Pearce 750 34% 44% 5% — 5% 5% 7% 45% 55% —
11–14 Mar 2022 Utting Research[171] Swan 750 32% 46% 7% — 3% 5% 7% 41% 59% —

Preferred prime minister

Preferred prime minister.
Satisfaction rating for prime minister Scott Morrison
Satisfaction rating for opposition leader Anthony Albanese
Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinion polling since the last election. Local regression trends for each rating are shown as solid lines.
Date Firm Interview mode Sample size Preferred Prime Minister Morrison Albanese
Morrison Albanese Don't Know Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know
13–19 May 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[13] Online 2188 42% 42% 16% 41% 54% 5% 41% 46% 13%
15–18 May 2022[14] Ipsos[14] Telephone/online 1996 39% 42% 19% 34% 51% 15% 33% 37% 30%
12–17 May 2022 Resolve Strategic[15] Telephone/online 2049 40% 36% 24% — — — — — —
10–13 May 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[19] Online 1532 43% 42% 15% 42% 53% 5% 38% 49% 13%
4–7 May 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[22] Telephone/online 1538 44% 42% 14% 41% 55% 4% 41% 47% 12%
4–7 May 2022 Ipsos[23] Telephone/Online 2311 36% 41% 24% 32% 51% 18% 30% 36% 34%
27–30 Apr 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[26] Telephone/online 1538 45% 39% 17% 44% 51% 5% 40% 49% 12%
20–23 Apr 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[29] Telephone/Online 1538 46% 37% 17% 42% 54% 4% 38% 50% 12%
20–23 Apr 2022 Ipsos[30] Telephone/Online 2302 38% 40% 22% 34% 48% 18% 31% 35% 34%
17–20 Apr 2022 Essential[31] Online 1052 40% 36% 24% 44% 48% 8% 41% 41% 17%
11–16 Apr 2022 Resolve Political Monitor[34] Online 1404 38% 30% 32% 44% 47% 9% 35% 44% 21%
6–9 Apr 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[37] Online 1506 44% 39% 17% 42% 54% 4% 42% 45% 13%
31 Mar–3 Apr 2022 Resolve Political Monitor Online 1681 36% 37% 15% 39% 53% 8% 38% 42% 20%
31 Mar–3 Apr 2022 Newspoll Online 1531 43% 42% 15% 42% 54% 4% 43% 44% 13%
31 Mar–2 Apr 2022 Ipsos Telephone/Online 2563 37% 38% 25% 33% 48% 19% 30% 32% 38%
9–12 Mar 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[46] Online 1520 42% 42% 16% 41% 55% 4% 44% 42% 14%
23–26 Feb 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[49] Online 1525 42% 40% 18% 43% 55% 2% 44% 43% 13%
17–20 Feb 2022 Essential[52] Online 1089 40% 35% 25% 44% 49% 7% 43% 40% 17%
9–12 Feb 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[54] Online 1526 43% 38% 19% 40% 56% 4% 40% 46% 14%
27–30 Jan 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[56] Online 1523 43% 41% 16% 39% 58% 3% 43% 43% 14%
20–23 Jan 2022 Essential[52] Online 1001 42% 35% 23% 46% 46% 8% 39% 39% 22%
11–15 Jan 2022 Resolve Political Monitor[172] Online 1607 38% 31% 31% 41% 50% 9% 34% 41% 28%
1–4 Dec 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[66] Online — 45% 36% 19% 44% 52% 4% 39% 45% 16%
10–13 Nov 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[71] Online — 46% 38% 16% 44% 52% 4% 37% 48% 15%
20–23 Oct 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[77] Online — 48% 34% 18% 46% 50% 4% 37% 46% 17%
29 Sep–2 Oct 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[80] Online 1545 47% 34% 19% 48% 49% 3% 37% 47% 16%
15–18 Sep 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[83] Online — 47% 35% 18% 46% 50% 4% 37% 48% 15%
25–28 Aug 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[86] Online 1528 50% 34% 16% 49% 47% 4% 40% 47% 13%
4–7 Aug 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[89] Online 1527 49% 36% 15% 47% 49% 4% 38% 46% 16%
13–17 Jul 2021 Resolve Political Monitor[93] CATI/online 1600 45% 24% 31% 45% 46% 9% 30% 46% 24%
14–17 Jul 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[94] Online 1506 51% 33% 16% 51% 45% 4% 38% 46% 16%
6 Jul 2021 Essential[173] Online 1099 46% 28% 26% 51% 40% 9% 41% 35% 24%
23–26 Jun 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[95] Online 1513 53% 33% 14% 55% 41% 4% 40% 45% 15%
13 Jun 2021 Resolve Political Monitor[98] CATI/online 1600 46% 23% 31% 48% 41% 11% 31% 44% 25%
8 Jun 2021 Essential[174] Online 1104 48% 28% 24% 57% 36% 8% 39% 36% 24%
2–5 Jun 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[100] Online 1516 53% 32% 15% 54% 43% 3% 38% 47% 15%
12–16 May 2021 Resolve Political Monitor[101] CATI/online 1622 48% 25% 27% — — — — — —
12–15 May 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[102] Online 1506 55% 30% 15% 58% 38% 4% 39% 46% 15%
21–24 Apr 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[103] Online 1514 56% 30% 14% 59% 37% 4% 40% 43% 17%
16 Apr 2021 Resolve Political Monitor[175] CATI/online 2000 47% 25% 28% — — — — — —
12 Apr 2021 Essential[176] Online 1368 47% 28% 25% 54% 37% 9% 39% 34% 27%
24–27 Mar 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[105] Online 1517 52% 32% 16% 55% 40% 5% 42% 40% 18%
16, 30 Mar 2021 Essential[177][178] Online 1100 52% 26% 22% 57% 35% 8% 41% 32% 27%
10–13 Mar 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[107] Online 1521 56% 30% 14% 62% 34% 4% 42% 41% 17%
17–20 Feb 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[108] Online 1504 61% 26% 13% 64% 32% 4% 38% 45% 17%
27–30 Jan 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[112] Online 1512 57% 29% 14% 63% 33% 4% 41% 43% 16%
15 Dec 2020 Essential[179] Online 1071 50% 24% 26% 62% 28% 10% 43% 29% 28%
25–28 Nov 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[113] Online 1511 60% 28% 12% 66% 30% 4% 44% 41% 15%
4–6 Nov 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[115] Online 1510 58% 29% 13% 64% 31% 5% 43% 39% 18%
8–10 Oct 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[117] Online 1527 57% 28% 15% 65% 31% 4% 39% 43% 18%
16–19 Sep 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[118] Online 2068 59% 27% 14% 65% 31% 4% 39% 40% 21%
26–29 Aug 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[119] Online 1507 58% 29% 13% 64% 32% 4% 43% 41% 16%
6–9 Aug 2020 Essential[180] Online 1010 52% 22% 26% 66% 23% 11% 44% 30% 26%
5–8 Aug 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[121] Online 1509 60% 25% 15% 68% 29% 3% 41% 38% 15%
15–18 Jul 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[124] Online 1850 59% 26% 15% 68% 27% 5% 41% 40% 19%
9–12 Jul 2020 Essential[181] Online 1054 50% 27% 23% 63% 27% 10% 44% 28% 28%
24–27 Jun 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[125] Online 1521 58% 26% 16% 68% 27% 5% 42% 40% 18%
3–6 Jun 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[127] Online 1512 56% 26% 18% 66% 29% 5% 41% 38% 21%
2 Jun 2020 Essential[182] Online 1059 53% 23% 24% 65% 26% 9% 43% 30% 27%
13–16 May 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[128] Online 1504 56% 29% 15% 66% 30% 4% 44% 37% 19%
5 May 2020 Essential[183] Online 1093 50% 25% 25% 64% 27% 9% 42% 27% 31%
22–25 Apr 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[184] Online 1508 56% 28% 16% 68% 28% 4% 45% 34% 21%

Sub-national polling

Some pollsters provided breakdowns of their polls by state, whilst others only poll a specific state. These results are listed by state below.

New South Wales

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
L/NP ALP GRN UAP ONP IND OTH L/NP ALP
12–17 May 2022 Resolve Strategic[15] — 39% 28% 14% 3% 6% 8% 2% 52.2% 47.8%
17 May 2022 Roy Morgan[18] — — — — — — — — 48% 52%
10 May 2022 Roy Morgan[185] — — — — — — — — 48.5% 51.5%
3 May 2022 Roy Morgan[186] — — — — — — — — 44% 56%
30 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] — 30% 41% 12% 3% 6% 4% 3% 41.6% 58.4%
27 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[28] — — — — — — — — 45% 55%
20 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[32] — — — — — — — — 46.5% 53.5%
16 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] — 36% 35% 10% 3% 3% 11% 3% 48% 52%
11 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[188] — — — — — — — — 45% 55%
4 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[189] — — — — — — — — 45% 55%
3 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] — 36% 36% 11% 5% 1% 8% 3% 47.2% 52.8%
29 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[190] — — — — — — — — 47% 53%
14-20 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[191] — — — — — — — — 42.5% 57.5%
14-23 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[192] — — — — — — — — 43.5% 56.5%
20 Feb 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] — 34% 35% 8% 3% 3% 11% 7% 47.6% 52.4%
18 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[193] — — — — — — — — 41% 59%
12 Feb 2022 NSW by-elections in Monaro, Bega, Strathfield & Willoughby[194]
4–16 Jan 2022 Roy Morgan[59] — — — — — — — — 42% 58%
15 Jan 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] — 38% 36% 10% 2% 0% 11% 4% 47.9% 52.1%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021 Roy Morgan[65] — — — — — — — — 44.5% 55.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[70] — — — — — — — — 44.5% 55.5%
20 Nov 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] — 41% 29% 11% 3% 2% 12% 2% 53% 47%
24 Oct 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] — 40% 34% 11% 2% 0% 10% 5% 49.6% 50.4%
5 Oct 2021 Gladys Berejiklian resigns as Premier of New South Wales[195]
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[81] — — — — — — — — 46.5% 53.5%
19 Sep 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] — 43% 31% 10% 3% 2% 6% 5% 46.6% 53.4%
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021 Newspoll[citation needed] 2057 39% 38% 11% — 1% — 11% 48% 52%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[84] — — — — — — — — 46% 54%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[85] — — — — — — — — 47% 53%
22 Aug 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] — 40% 31% 14% — 3% 9% 3% 50.8% 49.2%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[196] — — — — — — — — 48% 52%
24–25, 31 Jul – 1 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[90] — — — — — — — — 49% 51%
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021 Resolve Strategic[93] — 38% 33% 12% — 1% — 16% 49.3% 50.7%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[citation needed] — — — — — — — — 49.5% 50.5%
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021 Newspoll[citation needed] 1861 42% 37% 11% — 1% — 9% 50% 50%
13 Jun 2021 Resolve Strategic[197] — 46% 32% 10% — 1% — 11% 54.3% 45.7%
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[citation needed] — — — — — — — — 49.5% 50.5%
12–16 May 2021 Resolve Strategic[101] — 39% 36% 12% — 1% — 12% 48.2% 51.8%
16 Apr 2021 Resolve Strategic[175] — 41% 29% 12% — 7% — 11% 53.5% 46.5%
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021 Newspoll[198] 1779 42% 36% 11% — 7% — 10% 50% 50%
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021 Roy Morgan[199] 2786 — — — — — — — 54% 46%
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020 Newspoll[200] 2304 44% 36% 11% — 1% — 8% 51% 49%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020 Roy Morgan[114] 2824 — — — — — — — 53.5% 46.5%
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020 Roy Morgan[120] 2841 — — — — — — — 56.5% 43.5%
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020 Newspoll[201] 457–2034 42% 37% 11% — 1% — 9% 49% 51%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020 Roy Morgan[123] 2589 — — — — — — — 52.5% 47.5%
11 Mar – 16 May 2020 Newspoll[202] 472–1905 42% 36% 11% — 2% — 9% 50% 50%
7–8 Dec 2019 Newspoll[203] 930–1472 42% 35% 10% — 2% — 12% 51% 45%
Election: 18 May 2019 [204] 42.54% 34.56% 8.71% 3.38% 1.31% 4.62% 4.88% 51.78% 48.22%

Victoria

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP IND OTH ALP L/NP
12–17 May 2022 Resolve Strategic[15] — 35% 32% 14% 3% 4% 6% 6% 52.1% 47.9%
17 May 2022 Roy Morgan[18] — — — — — — — — 57% 43%
10 May 2022 Roy Morgan[185] — — — — — — — — 61% 39%
3 May 2022 Roy Morgan[186] — — — — — — — — 63.5% 36.5%
30 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] — 30% 35% 16% 5% 7% 4% 3% 56% 44%
27 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[28] — — — — — — — — 60% 40%
20 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[32] — — — — — — — — 58% 42%
16 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] — 35% 32% 12% 1% 7% 7% 6% 51.3% 48.7%
11 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[188] — — — — — — — — 58% 42%
4 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[189] — — — — — — — — 60.5% 39.5%
3 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] — 34% 36% 11% 1% 5% 9% 3% 51.8% 48.2%
29 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[190] — — — — — — — — 60% 40%
14-20 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[191] — — — — — — — — 64% 36%
14-23 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[192] — — — — — — — — 60% 40%
20 Feb 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] — 31% 31% 11% 0% 7% 13% 6% 52.7% 47.3%
18 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[193] — — — — — — — — 57.5% 42.5%
4–16 Jan 2022 Roy Morgan[59] — — — — — — — — 59% 41%
15 Jan 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] — 29% 40% 11% 1% 4% 10% 4% 58.6% 41.4%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021 Roy Morgan[65] — — — — — — — — 58.5% 41.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[72] — — — — — — — — 58% 42%
20 Nov 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] — 37% 35% 12% 0% 5% 8% 5% 52.3% 47.7%
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[72] — — — — — — — — 55% 45%
24 Oct 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] — 36% 33% 13% 1% 4% 12% 5% 52.1% 47.9%
19 Sep 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] — 38% 33% 11% 2% 2% 10% 5% 50.6% 49.4%
Jul – Sep 2021 Resolve Strategic[205] — 37% 35% 11% 1% — — 15% 51.9% 48.1%
22 Aug 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] — 39% 33% 13% 0% — 11% 5% 50.7% 49.3%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[81] — — — — — — — — 56% 44%
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021 Newspoll[citation needed] 1731 35% 42% 12% 0% — — 11% 58% 42%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[84] — — — — — — — — 57% 43%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[85] — — — — — — — — 59.5% 40.5%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[185] — — — — — — — — 60% 40%
24–25, 31 Jul – 1 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[90] — — — — — — — — 59.5% 40.5%
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021 Resolve Strategic[93] — 34% 40% 11% 0% — — 13% 56.3% 43.7%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[citation needed] — — — — — — — — 56.5% 43.5%
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021 Newspoll[citation needed] 1536 40% 37% 13% 1% — — 9% 53% 47%
13 Jun 2021 Resolve Strategic[197] — 37% 37% 10% 1% — — 15% 52.6% 47.6%
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[citation needed] — — — — — — — — 53.5% 46.5%
12–16 May 2021 Resolve Strategic[101] — 41% 34% 12% 0% — — 13% 50% 50%
16 Apr 2021 Resolve Strategic[175] — 33% 34% 12% 6% — — 14% 52% 48%
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021 Newspoll[206] 1506 40% 39% 10% 1% — — 10% 53% 47%
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021 Roy Morgan[199] 2786 — — — — — — — 55% 45%
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020 Newspoll[200] 2160 39% 39% 14% 0% — — 8% 55% 45%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020 Roy Morgan[114] 2824 — — — — — — — 53.5% 46.5%
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020 Roy Morgan[120] 2841 — — — — — — — 52% 48%
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020 Newspoll[201] 457–2034 37% 40% 14% 1% — — 8% 56% 44%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020 Roy Morgan[123] 2589 — — — — — — — 53.5% 46.5%
11 Mar – 16 May 2020 Newspoll[202] 472–1905 39% 40% 13% 1% — — 7% 55% 45%
7–8 Dec 2019 Newspoll[203] 930–1472 40% 38% 12% 1% — — 11% 53% 47%
Election: 18 May 2019 [204] 38.58% 36.86% 11.89% 0.95% 3.64% 3.90% 4.% 53.14% 46.86%

Queensland

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP UAP IND OTH L/NP ALP
12–17 May 2022 Resolve Strategic[15] — 31% 28% 17% 11% 6% 4% 3% 48.5% 51.5%
17 May 2022 Roy Morgan[18] — — — — — — — — 53% 47%
10 May 2022 Roy Morgan[185] — — — — — — — — 53.5% 46.5%
3 May 2022 Roy Morgan[186] — — — — — — — — 56.5% 43.5%
30 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] — 41% 27% 18% 5% 6% 2% 2% 52.7% 47.3%
27 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[28] — — — — — — — — 54.5% 45.5%
20 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[32] — — — — — — — — 48.5% 51.5%
16 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] — 34% 31% 13% 10% 2% 10% 1% 49% 51%
11 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[188] — — — — — — — — 49.5% 50.5%
4 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[189] — — — — — — — — 49.5% 50.5%
3 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] — 33% 33% 14% 5% 2% 11% 2% 46.4% 53.6%
29 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[190] — — — — — — — — 51% 49%
14-20 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[citation needed] — — — — — — — — 54.5% 45.5%
14-23 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[citation needed] — — — — — — — — 50% 50%
20 Feb 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] — 33% 33% 13% 9% 3% 7% 2% 46.4% 53.6%
18 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[193] — — — — — — — — 48.5% 51.5%
4–16 Jan 2022 Roy Morgan[59] — — — — — — — — 51.5% 48.5%
15 Jan 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] — 34% 26% 15% 13% 3% 7% 2% 51.4% 48.6%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021 Roy Morgan[65] — — — — — — — — 45.5% 54.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[72] — — — — — — — — 48.5% 51.5%
20 Nov 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] — 42% 30% 10% 8% 2% 6% 1% 54.2% 45.8%
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[72] — — — — — — — — 53% 47%
24 Oct 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] — 36% 33% 11% 11% 3% 4% 5% 49.9% 50.1%
19 Sep 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] — 38% 32% 10% 10% 4% 5% 1% 51.8% 48.2%
Jul – Sep 2021 Resolve Strategic[205] — 42% 28% 10% 11% — — 9% 55.7% 44.3%
22 Aug 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] — 45% 26% 12% 7% — 8% 3% 57% 43%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[81] — — — — — — — — 52.5% 47.5%
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021 Newspoll[citation needed] 1536 42% 33% 9% 8% — — 8% 55% 45%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[84] — — — — — — — — 54% 46%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[85] — — — — — — — — 53.5% 46.5%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[196] — — — — — — — — 52% 48%
24–25, 31 Jul – 1 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[90] — — — — — — — — 52% 48%
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021 Resolve Strategic[93] — 43% 26% 9% 15% — — 6% 58.1% 41.9%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[citation needed] — — — — — — — — 51.5% 48.5%
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021 Newspoll[citation needed] 1249 42% 33% 11% 7% — — 7% 53% 47%
13 Jun 2021 Resolve Strategic[197] — 38% 35% 10% 7% — — 10% 49.6% 50.4%
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[citation needed] — — — — — — — — 53% 47%
12–16 May 2021 Resolve Strategic[101] — 41% 30% 12% 7% — — 11% 53% 47%
16 Apr 2021 Resolve Strategic[175] — 38% 30% 11% 8% — — 11% 52% 48%
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021 Newspoll[206] 1276 42% 35% 10% 8% — — 5% 53% 47%
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021 Roy Morgan[199] 2786 — — — — — — — 52% 48%
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020 Newspoll[200] 1879 45% 29% 12% 9% — — 5% 57% 43%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020 Roy Morgan[114] 2824 — — — — — — — 54.5% 48.5%
31 Oct 2020 Annastacia Palaszczuk (Labor) wins the 2020 Queensland state election[207]
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020 Roy Morgan[120] 2841 — — — — — — — 60% 40%
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020 Newspoll[201] 457–2034 46% 27% 10% 11% — — 6% 59% 41%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020 Roy Morgan[123] 2589 — — — — — — — 58% 42%
11 Mar – 16 May 2020 Newspoll[202] 472–1905 42% 28% 13% 11% — — 6% 56% 44%
7–8 Dec 2019 Newspoll[203] 930–1472 40% 29% 12% 13% — — 6% 55% 45%
1 Sep 2019 YouGov Galaxy[citation needed] 40% 29% 12% 13% — — 6% 55% 45%
Election: 18 May 2019 [204] 43.70% 26.68% 10.32% 8.86% 3.51% 1.27% 5.66% 58.44% 41.56%

Western Australia

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP OTH L/NP ALP
17 May 2022 Roy Morgan[18] — — — — — — 45.5% 54.5%
10 May 2022 Roy Morgan[185] — — — — — — 42.5% 57.5%
3 May 2022 Roy Morgan[186] — — — — — — 51% 49%
27 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[28] — — — — — — 54.5% 45.5%
20 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[32] — — — — — — 51% 49%
11 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[188] — — — — — — 36.5% 63.5%
4 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[189] — — — — — — 41% 59%
29 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[190] — — — — — — 43% 57%
14-20 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[191] — — — — — — 41% 59%
14-23 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[192] — — — — — — 48% 52%
18 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[193] — — — — — — 46.5% 53.5%
4–16 Jan 2022 Roy Morgan[59] — — — — — — 49% 51%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021 Roy Morgan[65] — — — — — — 49.5% 50.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[70] — — — — — — 46.5% 53.5%
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[72] — — — — — — 46.5% 53.5%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[81] — — — — — — 45.5% 54.5%
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021 Newspoll[citation needed] 602 37% 42% 10% 5% 6% 46% 54%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[84] — — — — — — 53% 47%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[85] — — — — — — 49% 51%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[196] — — — — — — 45.5% 54.5%
24–25, 31 July–1 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[90] — — — — — — 51.5% 48.5%
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021 Resolve Strategic[93] — 33% 39% 21% 2% 6% 40.8% 59.2%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[citation needed] — — — — — — 47.5% 52.5%
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021 Newspoll[citation needed] 625 39% 41% 10% 5% 5% 47% 53%
13 Jun 2021 Resolve Strategic[197] — 33% 40% 15% 4% 8% 42.5% 57.5%
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[citation needed] — — — — — — 51% 49%
12–16 May 2021 Resolve Strategic[101] — 44% 38% 11% 3% 3% 49.9% 50.1%
16 Apr 2021 Resolve Strategic[175] — 42% 40% 13% 5% 1% 47.5% 52.5%
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021 Newspoll[206] 628 40% 42% 10% 4% 4% 47% 53%
Mark McGowan wins the 2021 Western Australian state election in a landslide[208]
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021 Roy Morgan[199] 2786 — — — — — 49.5% 50.5%
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020 Newspoll[200] 779 43% 32% 13% 7% 5% 53% 47%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020 Roy Morgan[114] 2824 — — — — — 51% 49%
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020 Roy Morgan[120] 2841 — — — — — 53.5% 46.5%
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020 Newspoll[201] 457–2034 45% 31% 13% 8% 3% 54% 46%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020 Roy Morgan[123] 2589 — — — — — 53.5% 46.5%
11 Mar – 16 May 2020 Newspoll[202] 472–1905 44% 31% 12% 9% 4% 55% 45%
Election: 18 May 2019 [204] 43.79% 29.80% 11.62% 5.31% 9.48% 55.55% 44.45%

South Australia

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP OTH ALP L/NP
17 May 2022 Roy Morgan[18] — — — — — — 49% 51%
10 May 2022 Roy Morgan[185] — — — — — — 62.5% 37.5%
3 May 2022 Roy Morgan[186] — — — — — — 62.5% 37.5%
27 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[28] — — — — — — 61.5% 38.5%
20 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[32] — — — — — — 58% 42%
11 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[188] — — — — — — 53% 47%
4 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[189] — — — — — — 56% 44%
29 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[190] — — — — — — 63.5% 36.5%
14-20 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[191] — — — — — — 60.5% 39.5%
Peter Malinauskas wins the 2022 South Australia State Election[209]
14-23 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[192] — — — — — — 59.5% 41.5%
18 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[193] — — — — — — 59.5% 40.5%
4–16 Jan 2022 Roy Morgan[59] — — — — — — 60.5% 39.5%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021 Roy Morgan[65] — — — — — — 64.5% 35.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[70] — — — — — — 55.5% 44.5%
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[72] — — — — — — 57.5% 42.5%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[81] — — — — — — 58.5% 41.5%
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021 Newspoll[citation needed] 472 40% 38% 11% 1% 10% 53% 47%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[84] — — — — — — 51.5% 48.5%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[85] — — — — — — 57.5% 42.5%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[185] — — — — — — 54.5% 45.5%
24–25, 31 Jul – 1 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[90] — — — — — — 55.5% 44.5%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[citation needed] — — — — — — 51% 49%
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[citation needed] — — — — — — 49.5% 50.5%
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021 Newspoll[citation needed] 473 37% 39% 10% 2% 12% 54% 46%
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021 Newspoll[206] 517 38% 41% 10% 0% 11% 55% 45%
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021 Roy Morgan[199] 2786 — — — — — 49.5% 50.5%
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020 Newspoll[200] 600 44% 36% 10% 1% 9% 49% 51%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020 Roy Morgan[114] 2824 — — — — — 52% 48%
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020 Roy Morgan[120] 2841 — — — — — 42.5% 57.5%
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020 Newspoll[201] 457–2034 43% 36% 10% 0% 11% 50% 50%
11–12, 8–19 Jul 2020 Roy Morgan[123] 2589 — — — — — 47% 53%
11 Mar – 16 May 2020 Newspoll[202] 472–1905 40% 37% 12% 0% 11% 53% 47%
Election: 18 May 2019 [204] 40.57% 35.38% 9.61% 0.84% 13.60% 50.71% 49.29%

Tasmania

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP OTH ALP L/NP
17 May 2022 Roy Morgan[18] — — — — — — 58% 42%
10 May 2022 Roy Morgan[185] — — — — — — 40% 60%
3 May 2022 Roy Morgan[186] — — — — — — 57.5% 42.5%
27 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[28] — — — — — — 64.5% 35.5%
20 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[32] — — — — — — 61% 39%
11 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[188] — — — — — — 69% 31%
4 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[189] — — — — — — 74% 26%
29 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[190] — — — — — — 53% 47%
14-20 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[191] — — — — — — 60% 40%
14-23 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[192] — — — — — — 75% 25%
18 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[193] — — — — — — 65% 35%
4–16 Jan 2022 Roy Morgan[59] — — — — — — 60.5% 39.5%
27–28 Dec, 4–5 Dec 2021 Roy Morgan[65] — — — — — — 51.5% 48.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[70] — — — — — — 53% 47%
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[72] — — — — — — 57.5% 42.5%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[81] — — — — — — 52% 48%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[84] — — — — — — 55.5% 44.5%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[85] — — — — — — 63.5% 36.5%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[185] — — — — — — 57% 43%
24–25, 31 July − 1 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[90] — — — — — — 54% 46%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[citation needed] — — — — — — 58% 42%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020 [citation needed] 2824 — — — — — 48% 52%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020 Roy Morgan[123] 2589 — — — — — 58% 42%
Election: 18 May 2019 [204] 34.60% 33.61% 10.12% 2.79% 18.88% 55.96% 44.04%

Government approval rating

Individual polls

Date Firm Right
direction 		Wrong
direction 		Can't
say 		GCR[210] Lead
14-20 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[191] 33.5% 50.5% 16% 83 -17%
14-23 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[192] 35% 47% 18% 88 -12%
18 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[193] 35% 48.5% 16.5% 86.5 -13.5%
4–16 Jan 2022 Roy Morgan[59] 34% 51% 15% 83 -17%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021 Roy Morgan[65] 38% 46.5% 15.5% 91.5 -8.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[79] 39.5% 46% 14.5% 93.5 -6.5%
2–3, 9–10 Oct 2021 Roy Morgan[79] 40% 45% 15% 95 -5%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[81] 40% 44% 16% 96 -4%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[84] 40% 45.5% 14.5% 94.5 -5.5%
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021 Roy Morgan 53.5% 30% 16.5% 123.5 +23.5%
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020 Roy Morgan 48% 34% 18% 114 +14%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020 Roy Morgan[123] 49% 34.5% 16.5% 114.5 +14.5%
13–14, 23–24 Jun 2020 Roy Morgan[123] 53.5% 29.5% 17% 124 +24%
16–17, 23–24 May 2020 Roy Morgan 54.5% 29.5% 16% 125 +25%
18–19, 25–26 Apr 2020 Roy Morgan[129] 51.5% 27.5% 21% 124 +24%
29 Feb – 1 Mar, 7–8 Mar 2020 Roy Morgan[129] 37% 47% 16% 90 –10%
22–23, 29–30 Jun 2019 Roy Morgan[211] 43.5% 39% 17.5% 104.5 +4.5%

National direction polling

Individual polls

Date Firm Right
direction 		Wrong
direction 		Can't
say 		Lead
07 Dec 2021

Morning Consult [212]

53% 47% 0% +6%
05 Nov 2021

Morning Consult [212]

54% 46% 0% +8%
07 Oct 2021

Morning Consult [212]

51% 49% 0% +2%
21 Sep 2021

Morning Consult [212]

53% 47% 0% +6%
01 Sep 2021

Morning Consult [212]

49% 51% 0% -2%
16 Aug 2021

Morning Consult [212]

51% 49% 0% +2%
24 Jul 2021

Morning Consult [212]

52% 48% 0% +4%
01 Jul 2021

Morning Consult [212]

56% 44% 0% +12%
18 Jun 2021

Morning Consult [212]

60% 40% 0% +20%
10 Mar 2021

Morning Consult [212]

63% 37% 0% +26%
18 Feb 2021

Morning Consult [212]

61% 39% 0% +22%
30 Jan 2021

Morning Consult [212]

65% 35% 0% +30%
07 Jan 2021

Morning Consult [212]

61% 39% 0% +22%
08 Dec 2020

Morning Consult [212]

68% 32% 0% +36%
03 Nov 2020

Morning Consult [212]

61% 39% 0% +22%
04 Oct 2020

Morning Consult [212]

59% 41% 0% +18%
05 Sep 2020

Morning Consult [212]

53% 47% 0% +6%
26 Aug 2020

Morning Consult [212]

59% 41% 0% +18%
10 Aug 2020

Morning Consult [212]

51% 49% 0% +2%
12 Jul 2020

Morning Consult [212]

56% 44% 0% +12%
13 Jun 2020

Morning Consult [212]

60% 40% 0% +20%
06 Jun 2020

Morning Consult [212]

57% 42% 1% +15%
31 May 2020

Morning Consult [212]

63% 37% 0% +26%
21 May 2020

Morning Consult [212]

62% 38% 0% +24%
14 May 2020

Morning Consult [212]

60% 40% 0% +20%
5 May 2020

Morning Consult [213]

62% 38% 0% +24%
25 Apr 2020

Morning Consult [213]

57% 42% 1% +15%
18 Apr 2020

Morning Consult [213]

56% 43% 1% +13%
09 Apr 2020

Morning Consult [213]

51% 49% 0% +2%
02 Apr 2020

Morning Consult [213]

46% 54% 0% -8%
27 Mar 2020

Morning Consult [213]

42% 57% 1% -15%
20 Mar 2020

Morning Consult [213]

39% 61% 0% -22%
14 Mar 2020

Morning Consult [213]

38% 62% 0% -24%
07 Mar 2020

Morning Consult [213]

39% 61% 0% -22%
01 Mar 2020

Morning Consult [213]

41% 59% 0% -18%
20 Feb 2020

Morning Consult [213]

39% 61% 0% -22%
13 Feb 2020

Morning Consult [213]

40% 60% 0% -20%
07 Feb 2020

Morning Consult [213]

38% 62% 0% -24%
31 Jan 2020

Morning Consult [213]

40% 60% 0% -20%
22 Jan 2020

Morning Consult [213]

39% 61% 0% -22%
15 Jan 2020

Morning Consult [213]

37% 63% 0% -26%
06 Jan 2020

Morning Consult [213]

37% 63% 0% -26%

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt bu Independent primary votes are counted under the "other" column
  2. ^ Including 4% for the Western Australia Party
  1. ^ 5.2% Nick Xenophon, 3.0% Rex Patrick

References

  1. ^ "Who controls opinion polling in Australia, what else we need to know about the polls, and why it matters". Inside Story. 15 May 2019. Archived from the original on 11 February 2022. Retrieved 11 February 2022.
  2. ^ Morgan, Gary; Levine, Michele (11 April 2019). "For the Record: Ownership of Australian Public Opinion Polling and Market Research Companies". Roy Morgan Research. Archived from the original on 11 February 2022. Retrieved 11 February 2022.
  3. ^ Wahlquist, Calla (23 May 2019). "Sydney Morning Herald and Age to stop running Ipsos poll after surprise election result". the Guardian. Archived from the original on 12 February 2022. Retrieved 12 February 2022.
  4. ^ Coorey, Phillip (4 April 2022). "Labor leads in the biggest states, says the latest Ipsos poll". Australian Financial Review. Archived from the original on 5 April 2022. Retrieved 5 April 2022.
  5. ^ Singhal, Pallavi; Topsfield, Jewel (5 February 2021). "Topic – Ipsos poll". The Sydney Morning Herald. Archived from the original on 12 February 2022. Retrieved 12 February 2022.
  6. ^ "The polls and the sum of the parts". The Poll Bludger.
  7. ^ "How did the polls perform in the 2022 election?". The Conversation.
  8. ^ "Federal Election 2022: Pollster Performance Review". Dr Kevin Bonham. 24 July 2022.
  9. ^ "Party Totals". abc.net.au. Retrieved 18 June 2022.
  10. ^ "First preferences by party". Australian Electoral Commission. Archived from the original on 21 May 2022. Retrieved 18 June 2022.
  11. ^ Biddle, Nicholas (20 June 2022). "Explaining the 2022 Australian Federal Election Result (post-exit poll)" (PDF). Australian National University. Retrieved 20 June 2022.
  12. ^ "Polling – Voting behaviour and gender" (PDF). The Australia Institute. 11 July 2022. Retrieved 11 July 2022.
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Prefix: a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

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