Opinion polling for the 2021 Portuguese local elections
In the run up to the 2021 Portuguese local elections , various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in several municipalities across Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous local elections , held on 1 October 2017, to the day the next elections were held, on 26 September 2021.
Polling
Alcobaça
Alijó
Almada
Exit poll
Polling firm/Link
Fieldwork date
Sample size
PS
CDU
PSD CDS PPM MPT A
BE
PAN
IL
CH
O
Lead
2021 local election
26 Sep 2021
—
39.9 5
29.74
10.71
6.81
2.30
2.00
5.60
3.0
10.2
CESOP–UCP
26 Sep 2021
3,680
40–45 5/7
30–344/5
8–121
5–80/1
1–20
1–30
3–50
1–3
10– 11
ICS/ISCTE
26 Sep 2021
5,317
38.3– 42.3 4/6
28.3– 32.33/5
9.0– 12.01/2
5.4– 8.40/1
–
1.5– 3.50
3.4– 6.40/1
3.1– 6.10
10.0
Intercampus
26 Sep 2021
2,804
36.0– 40.4 4/6
29.1– 33.53/5
9.1– 12.80/2
5.3– 8.90/2
–
–
–
–
6.9
CESOP–UCP Seat projection
9–11 Sep 2021
623
33 4/5
293/5
131/2
90/1
50
20
50
40
4
ICS/ISCTE
25 Jun–10 Jul 2021
605
34
33
11
11
—
3
5
3
1
2017 local election
1 Oct 2017
—
31.5 4
30.84
16.62 [ a]
9.61
3.90
—
—
7.50
0.7
Amadora
Exit poll
Polling firm/Link
Fieldwork date
Sample size
PS
PSD CDS A MPT PDR
(Suzana Garcia )
CDU
BE
PAN
IL
CH
O
Lead
2021 local election
26 Sep 2021
—
43.9 7
24.63
9.91
5.30
3.10
2.80
5.40
5.00
19.3
CESOP–UCP
26 Sep 2021
1,766
42–46 6/8
23–273/4
8–111
5–70/1
2–50
1–30
5–70
2–60
19
Intercampus
26 Sep 2021
4,195
42.1– 46.9 6/8
21.9– 25.92/4
8.1– 11.71
4.6– 7.60/2
–
–
–
–
20.2– 21.0
CESOP–UCP Seat projection
12–13 Sep 2021
685
43 5/8
222/3
111/2
50/1
30
40
30
90
21
Aximage
26–31 Aug 2021
452
50
22
7
2
2
—
2
15
28
ICS/ISCTE
23–25 Aug 2021
600
41
30
8
5
2
2
3
9
11
2017 local election
1 Oct 2017
—
48.0 7
18.12
12.21
6.91
3.20
—
—
11.60
29.9
Armamar
Aveiro
Barcelos
Batalha
Braga
Polling firm/Link
Fieldwork date
Sample size
PSD CDS PPM A
PS
CDU
BE
PAN
L
IL
CH
O
Lead
2021 local election
26 Sep 2021
—
42.9 6
30.74
6.71
4.20
2.70
0.60
2.90
4.70
4.6
12.2
IPOM Seat projection
13–16 Sep 2021
796
55.5 8
23.33
5.10
5.30
1.60
0.40
0.80
2.70
5.30
32.2
Domp
Jan 2021[ g]
?
52.9
27.7
9.7
5.2
—
—
—
—
4.6
25.2
2017 local election
1 Oct 2017
—
52.1 7
27.93
9.61
4.80
—
—
—
—
5.60
24.2
Cabeceiras de Basto
Carrazeda de Ansiães
Coimbra
Exit poll
Polling firm/Link
Fieldwork date
Sample size
PS
PSD CDS PPM Volt RIR A NC
CDU
CpC
PAN
IL
CH
SC
O
Lead
2021 local election
26 Sep 2021
—
32.74
43.9 6
7.51
6.30
1.50
1.70
2.30
[ h]
4.10
11.2
CESOP–UCP
26 Sep 2021
3,706
27–314/5
42–47 5/7
5–70
8–111
1–20
1–30
1–30
[ h]
2–60
15– 16
ICS/ISCTE
26 Sep 2021
5,690
28.9– 32.93/5
43.6– 47.6 5/7
6.2– 9.21/2
5.2– 8.20/1
–
1.0– 3.00
1.3– 3.30
[ h]
3.3– 6.30
14.7
Intercampus
26 Sep 2021
3,653
28.2– 32.63/5
42.6– 47.4 5/7
5.8– 9.40/1
5.6– 9.20/1
–
–
–
[ h]
–
14.4– 14.8
CESOP–UCP Seat projection
18–19 Sep 2021
780
334/5
35 4/5
70/1
111
20
30
40
[ h]
50
2
ICS/ISCTE
31 Aug–2 Sep 2021
606
33
32
7
12
—
3
3
[ h]
11
1
Aximage
26–30 Aug 2021
401
41
21
5
4
1
2
2
[ h]
24
20
2017 local election
1 Oct 2017
—
35.5 5
26.63
8.31
7.00
1.60
—
—
16.12
4.90
8.9
Elvas
Figueira da Foz
Exit poll
Polling firm/Link
Fieldwork date
Sample size
PS
PSD
CDU
BE
CDS
PAN
CH
PSL
O
Lead
2021 local election
26 Sep 2021
—
38.44
10.81
2.70
2.50
1.20
—
—
40.4 4
4.5
2.0
CESOP–UCP
26 Sep 2021
2,695
33–373/4
8–110/1
2–40
1–30
1–20
–
–
41–46 4/5
3–5
8–9
Intercampus
26 Sep 2021
4,195
36.1– 40.53/5
8.6– 12.20/2
0.9– 3.40/1
–
–
–
–
39.7– 44.5 3/5
–
3.6– 4.0
ICS/ISCTE
26–30 Aug 2021
604
35
8
3
—
—
—
1
47
6
12
Eurosondagem Seat projection
1–2 Aug 2021
1,048
34.34
8.60
1.30
3.80
1.50
—
2.80
38.0 5
9.70
3.7
2017 local election
1 Oct 2017
—
50.1 6
28.53
6.50
4.30
1.80
—
—
—
8.80
21.6
Freixo de Espada à Cinta
Funchal
Polling firm/Link
Fieldwork date
Sample size
PS BE PAN MPT PDR
PSD CDS
CDU
IND
PTP
JPP
IL
CH
O
Lead
2021 local election
26 Sep 2021
—
39.75
47.0 6
2.90
—
1.10
1.70
1.30
2.60
3.70
7.3
Eurosondagem Seat projection
18–20 Sep 2021
1,073
42.5 5/6
40.95/6
2.20
—
0.30
3.20
2.60
3.00
5.30
1.6
Intercampus Seat projection
3–20 Sep 2021
1,200
36.35
47.2 6
2.60
—
3.60
1.90
1.80
2.80
3.80
10.9
Aximage
13–17 Aug 2021
380
35.3
55.5
0.6
—
2.7
0.6
—
4.4
0.9
20.2
Eurosondagem Seat projection
18–20 Jul 2021
1,525
42.8 6
38.85
2.20
—
1.60
3.60
2.10
4.20
4.70
4.0
Intercampus
17–26 May 2021
402
38.3
46.7
2.6
—
1.1
1.5
2.2
2.9
4.7
8.4
Eurosondagem Seat projection
22–23 Mar 2021
1,520
42.0 5/6
42.0 5/6
1.10
—
1.00
2.00
2.50
4.20
5.20
Tie
Intercampus
19–28 Feb 2021
406
37.9
49.1
2.4
1.0
0.7
1.0
2.1
3.4
2.4
11.2
Aximage
6–10 Feb 2021
600
22.4
60.9
0.3
1.0
0.3
1.3
2.3
3.0
8.5
38.5
Eurosondagem Seat projection
14–19 Jan 2021
1,220
44.1 6
42.55
2.10
—
1.00
1.10
—
2.20
7.00
1.6
2017 local election
1 Oct 2017
—
42.1 6
40.65 [ a]
3.60
2.40
2.20
w.PS
—
—
9.10
1.5
Hypothetical polling
Polling firm/Link
Fieldwork date
Sample size
PS BE PAN MPT PDR
PSD CDS
CDU
IND
PTP
JPP
IL
CH
O
Lead
Intercampus
19–28 Feb 2021
406[ i]
41.5
41.5
3.6
2.2
1.0
1.4
1.8
4.7
2.3
Tie
406[ j]
41.7
42.1
2.2
2.6
1.4
1.4
2.6
4.0
2.0
0.4
Aximage
6–10 Feb 2021
600[ i]
27.4
49.5
1.0
1.0
0.7
0.7
4.3
4.0
11.4
22.1
600[ k]
25.3
46.7
0.3
1.3
0.3
1.7
4.7
4.0
15.7
21.4
600[ j]
30.6
40.5
0.3
0.7
1.0
0.7
4.7
5.0
16.5
9.9
Gondomar
Guarda
Polling firm/Link
Fieldwork date
Sample size
PSD
PS
CDS
BE
CDU
CH
PG
O/U
Lead
2021 local election
26 Sep 2021
—
33.73
18.01
2.70
1.60
1.30
2.70
36.2 3
3.8
2.5
Eurosondagem Seat projection
21–23 Jun 2021
1,011
63.8 5/6
21.21/2
2.20
1.10
—
3.30
3.60
4.80
42.6
Eurosondagem
Jan 2020
1,172
39.2
24.7
2.2
2.1
5.4
—
—
26.4
14.5
2017 local election
1 Oct 2017
—
61.2 5
23.42
5.60
3.00
2.10
—
—
4.7
37.8
Lamego
Leiria
Lisbon
Exit poll
Polling firm/Link
Fieldwork date
Sample size
PS L
PSD CDS PPM MPT A
CDU
BE
PAN
IL
CH
O
Lead
2021 local election
26 Sep 2021
—
33.37
34.3 7
10.52
6.21
2.70
4.20
4.40
4.40
1.0
CESOP–UCP
26 Sep 2021
4,146
31–356/8
32–36 6/8
10–131/2
5–71
2–40
3–50/1
3–50/1
2–90
1
ICS/ISCTE
26 Sep 2021
8,159
31.3– 36.3 6/8
30.2– 35.26/8
10.4– 13.42/3
5.7– 8.71/2
1.8– 3.80
3.2– 6.20/1
2.4– 5.40/1
1.6– 4.60
1.1
Pitagórica
26 Sep 2021
6,206
32.6– 38.6 7
29.3– 35.36/7
6.6– 12.62
4.2– 8.21
1.0– 5.00
3.3– 7.30/1
1.9– 5.90
2.1– 6.10
3.3– 3.7
Intercampus
26 Sep 2021
6,406
32.0– 36.4 6/8
31.2– 35.66/8
10.1– 13.71/3
5.5– 8.50/2
1.6– 4.60/1
2.9– 5.90/1
1.6– 4.60/1
2.5– 3.30
0.8
Pitagórica Seat projection
15–21 Sep 2021
600
40.6 8/9
33.16/7
7.61
4.70/1
3.20
3.20
2.10
5.50
7.5
CESOP–UCP Seat projection
16–20 Sep 2021
1,292
37 7/8
285/6
111/2
71
30
50/1
30
60
9
Pitagórica Seat projection
30 Aug–4 Sep 2021
600
39.8 8/9
32.66/7
8.51
6.81
3.80
3.00
2.80
2.70
7.2
Intercampus Seat projection
25–30 Aug 2021
642
45.2 9
27.05
9.72
8.51
1.80
2.10
3.20
2.50
18.2
Eurosondagem Seat projection
23–26 Aug 2021
2,225
38.6 8
26.94
7.70/2
6.30/2
3.30/1
6.30/2
4.80/2
6.10
11.7
Aximage
14–21 Aug 2021
792
51
27
9
4
2
2
2
3
24
ICS/ISCTE
3–18 Jul 2021
803
42
31
6
8
3
2
4
4
11
Intercampus
8–13 Apr 2021
611
46.6
25.7
7.1
6.6
0.5
2.3
6.1
5.1
20.9
2017 local election
1 Oct 2017
—
42.0 8
31.86 [ a]
9.62
7.11
3.00
—
—
6.5
10.2
Loures
Marinha Grande
Polling firm/Link
Fieldwork date
Sample size
PS
CDU
MPM
PSD
BE
CDS
CH
O
Lead
2021 local election
26 Sep 2021
—
21.92
20.52
38.3 3
6.90
3.70
0.80
3.40
4.5
16.4
IPOM
22–23 Jul 2021
468
33.3
15.7
30.6
4.6
9.3
—
3.7
2.8
2.7
2017 local election
1 Oct 2017
—
29.4 3
24.52
22.12
4.90
4.80
0.80
—
13.50
4.9
Matosinhos
Mesão Frio
Moimenta da Beira
Montijo
Murça
Nazaré
Ourém
Palmela
Polling firm/Link
Fieldwork date
Sample size
CDU
PS
PSD
MIM
BE
PAN
CH
MCCP
O
Lead
2021 local election
26 Sep 2021
—
31.4 4
23.83
8.71
2.70
4.30
—
7.80
14.31
7.00
7.6
Eurosondagem Seat projection
16–18 Jun 2021
1,008
45.9 5/6
22.52/3
9.61
1.10
4.20
2.10
2.50
7.30
4.80
23.4
2017 local election
1 Oct 2017
—
40.7 4
28.33
11.71 [ n]
8.21
6.00
—
—
—
5.1
12.4
Paços de Ferreira
Penafiel
Penedono
Peso da Régua
Pombal
Ponta do Sol
Porto
Exit poll
Polling firm/Link
Fieldwork date
Sample size
RM
PS
PSD
CDU
BE
PAN
L
CH
O
Lead
2021 local election
26 Sep 2021
—
40.7 6
18.03
17.22
7.51
6.31
2.80
0.50
3.00
4.00
22.7
CESOP–UCP
26 Sep 2021
3,957
39–44 6/8
16–192/3
16–192/3
6–91
5–80/1
2–40
0–10
2–40
2–70
23– 25
ICS/ISCTE
26 Sep 2021
6,309
39.2– 44.2 5/7
16.5– 20.52/4
15.1– 19.11/3
5.6– 8.61/2
4.9– 7.91/2
2.0– 4.00
–
1.5– 3.50
2.3– 5.30
22.7– 23.7
Pitagórica
26 Sep 2021
5,390
39.2– 45.2 6/7
13.7– 19.72/3
12.2– 18.22
6.5– 10.51
5.3– 9.30/1
1.2– 5.20
–
0.8– 4.80
2.1– 6.10
25.5
Intercampus
26 Sep 2021
4,106
40.1– 44.9 6/8
15.5– 19.51/3
14.9– 18.91/3
5.4– 9.00/2
5.1– 8.10/2
1.24– 4.40
–
1.0– 4.00
3.5– 4.40
24.6– 25.4
Pitagórica Seat projection
15–20 Sep 2021
600
52.7 8/9
15.32
11.51/2
6.10/1
4.10
2.90
0.70
2.70
4.00
37.4
CESOP–UCP Seat projection
16–19 Sep 2021
1,041
45 7/8
172/3
141/3
71
40
30
10
30
60
28
Pitagórica
2–5 Sep 2021
601
52.8
15.7
14.0
5.8
3.5
2.2
—
1.8
4.2
37.1
Aximage
12–19 Aug 2021
820
59
12
12
6
4
2
—
1
4
47
ICS/ISCTE
26 Jun–10 Jul 2021
800
45
25
8
8
5
2
1
1
5
20
2017 local election
1 Oct 2017
—
44.5 7
28.64
10.41
5.91
5.30
1.90
—
—
3.40
15.9
Porto de Mós
Porto Santo
Póvoa de Lanhoso
Sabrosa
Santa Cruz
Santa Marta de Penaguião
Santana
Santarém
São João da Madeira
São João da Pesqueira
Seixal
Sernancelhe
Sintra
Tabuaço
Tarouca
Torre de Moncorvo
Vila Franca de Xira
Vila Nova de Famalicão
Vila Nova de Foz Côa
Vila Nova de Gaia
Vila Real
Viseu
Notes
^ a b c d e f g h i j Sum of the PSD and CDS separate results in 2017.
^ Undecided - 36.6%; Others/Invalid - 8.9%.
^ Sum of the PS and PAN separate results in 2017.
^ a b Barcelos, Terra de Futuro (BTF) is in a coalition with PSD/CDS for the 2021 election.
^ a b c d e PS supports the Independent movement "Batalha para todos" (BT).
^ Survey where voters were first asked which party or coalition they would vote for and secondly, which candidate they would cast their ballot for.
^ Internal PS poll conducted by the party's national leadership that was leaked by the local press.
^ a b c d e f g Somos Coimbra (SC) is in a coalition with PSD/CDS/PPM/Volt/RIR/A/NC for the 2021 election.
^ a b If the PSD/CDS candidate is Eduardo Jesus.
^ a b If the PSD/CDS candidate is Manuel António Correia.
^ If PSD/CDS candidate is Pedro Ramos
^ PSD/CDS 2021 coalition compared with the PSD 2017 solo results.
^ Candidates that appear in the poll but are not running: Pedro Sousa - 7.9%; Narciso Miranda - 4.5% (16.2% and 2 councillors in 2017); Others/Invalid - 8.1%.
^ PSD and CDS ran in a coalition in 2017. CDS is supporting MIM in 2021.
^ In 2017, PS won Ponta do Sol with 40.3% against the 38.7% of the PSD. CDS ran alone and achieved 14.2% of the votes. In 2021, PSD and CDS are running in a joint coalition, therefore, in the table is displayed the sum of votes of PSD+CDS, but with the PS highlighted as the winner in 2017.
^ PSD: 38.7%+CDS: 14.2%
External links