In the run up to the 2015 Spanish general election , various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in constituencies in Spain during the term of the 10th Cortes Generales . Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election , held on 20 November 2011, to the day the next election was held, on 20 December 2015.
Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.
Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections are displayed below the percentages in a smaller font.
Constituencies
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
Nós
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
62.7
35.5 3
20.42
4.50
[ a] 0.50
[ a] [ a] 9.91
26.32
9.2
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
220
?
35.9 3
11.81
8.20
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] 14.21
27.13
8.8
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?3/4
?2
?0
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] ?1
?1/2
?
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[ 3] [ 4]
1–9 Dec 2015
500
?
37.3 4
16.41
?0
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] 17.31
22.22
15.1
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 5] [ 6]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
37.0 3
20.02
3.00
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] 16.01
20.02
17.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 8] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
38.9 4
19.72
?0
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] 15.71
19.11
19.2
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
35.9 3
21.52
?0
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] 19.42
13.21
14.4
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
409
?
?3
?2
?0
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] ?1
?2
?
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
38.3
32.3 (4)
21.2(2)
7.9(0)
[ b] 3.8(0)
11.6(1)
9.3(1)
1.9(0)
–
11.1
2012 regional election 21 Oct 2012
—
54.5
45.4 (4)
18.8(2)
9.6(1)
[ b] 1.8(0)
16.6(1)
–
–
–
26.6
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
62.4
51.5 5
27.32
11.71
4.60
1.30
–
–
–
–
24.2
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
PNV
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
71.1
18.81
14.11
11.80
15.81
3.80
0.40
27.0 1
5.90
8.2
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
33
?
15.81
15.41
18.51
18.6 1
3.80
–
6.90
13.60
0.1
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?1
?0
?1
?1
–
–
?1
?0
Tie
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 13]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
23.0 1
15.01
12.00
15.01
–
–
17.01
?0
6.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
17.71
13.81
15.11
18.7 1
–
–
?0
?0
1.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
17.81
16.41
14.31
18.4 1
–
–
?0
?0
0.6
Aztiker/Gara[ 14] [ 15]
16–28 Nov 2015
450
?
19.0 1
12.20
16.91
18.51
2.60
0.60
15.01
11.50
0.5
Gizaker/Grupo Noticias[ 16] [ 17]
14–18 Nov 2015
600
?
22.5 1
10.40
16.51
18.91
–
–
18.61
7.00
3.6
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
419
?
?1
?0
?1
?1
–
–
?1
?0
Tie
Ikertalde/GPS[ 18] [ 19]
13–19 Oct 2015
560
69.0
20.0 1
14.00
17.61
18.51
2.50
0.40
17.01
7.50
1.5
2015 foral elections 24 May 2015
—
65.6
22.0 (1)
11.2(0)
20.4(1)
21.6(1)
3.7(0)
0.7(0)
14.6(1)
3.1(0)
0.4
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
42.7
16.0(1)
15.2(1)
19.5 (1)
17.2(1)
6.3(0)
4.5(0)
8.9(0)
1.1(0)
2.3
2012 regional election 21 Oct 2012
—
63.6
18.7(1)
19.3(1)
21.7(1)
25.5 (1)
2.9(0)
3.5(0)
–
–
3.8
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
68.7
27.2 1
23.41
19.11
18.81
4.10
2.80
–
–
3.8
Albacete
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
75.3
36.8 2
28.21
4.00
0.50
14.00
14.61
8.6
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
151
?
29.9 2
28.91
4.80
–
12.30
19.71
1.0
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?2
?1
–
–
?0
?1
?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 5] [ 6]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
34.0 2
18.01
3.00
–
16.00
26.01
8.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 8] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
36.5 2
19.61
–
–
?0
22.01
14.5
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
35.7 2
22.71
–
–
?0
21.61
13.0
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
252
?
?2
?1
–
–
?0
?1
?
2015 regional election 24 May 2015
—
70.8
36.7 (2)
33.8(2)
3.8(0)
1.0(0)
11.2(0)
9.6(0)
2.9
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
46.9
35.6 (2)
28.8(2)
9.0(0)
7.5(0)
7.4(0)
2.2(0)
6.8
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
76.1
55.1 3
30.11
6.20
5.00
–
–
25.0
Alicante
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
72.9
32.8 4
20.83
3.70
0.60
[ c] [ c] 17.12
22.33
10.5
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
720
?
25.6 3
20.33
3.80
–
[ c] [ c] 20.03
24.63
1.0
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?4
?3
–
–
[ c] [ c] ?2
?3
?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 5] [ 6]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
30.0 4/5
23.03
6.00
–
[ c] [ c] 22.02/3
16.02
7.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
29.9 4
20.43
–
–
[ c] [ c] 25.43
17.52
5.5
Metroscopia/El País[ 20] [ 21]
2–3 Dec 2015
400
77
26.7 3/4
24.53
4.90
–
[ c] [ c] 20.32/3
21.13
2.2
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
30.8 4
23.13
–
–
[ c] [ c] 24.43
15.72
6.4
ODEC/PSPV[ 22]
23 Nov 2015
?
?
?3
?4
–
–
[ c] [ c] ?3
?2
?
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
424
?
?4/5
?2/3
–
–
[ c] [ c] ?3
?2
?
GAD3/ABC[ 23]
14–29 Oct 2015
?
?
?4
?3
–
–
?0
?2
?3
–
?
Metroscopia/El País[ 24] [ 25]
5–7 Oct 2015
435
?
?3
?3
–
–
?0
?2
?4
–
?
2015 regional election 24 May 2015
—
66.0
27.7 (4)
22.7(3)
4.4(0)
1.5(0)
12.5(2)
12.2(1)
14.1(2)
–
5.0
JM&A/El Mundo[ 26]
17 May 2015
?
?
28.3 4
20.63
?0
?0
?0
19.02
21.03
–
7.3
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
44.8
30.6 (5)
22.8(4)
10.0(1)
8.9(1)
4.8(0)
8.9(1)
3.2(0)
–
7.8
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
73.5
55.2 8
27.04
6.50
5.60
3.10
–
–
–
28.2
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
IULV
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
63.7
38.0 2
28.92
3.50
0.50
12.81
14.41
9.1
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
83
?
30.6 2
27.02
3.90
–
17.00
18.31
3.6
Deimos Estadística[ 27] [ 28] [ 29]
9–12 Dec 2015
601
?
33.9 2/3
19.01
–
–
16.31
24.31/2
9.6
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?3
?2
–
–
?0
?1
?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 5] [ 6]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
38.0 3
24.01
2.00
–
13.01
21.01
14.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
35.1 2
25.32
–
–
14.61
19.11
9.8
Deimos Estadística[ 30]
3–5 Dec 2015
451
?
35.9 2/3
21.81
3.20
0.70
11.80/1
25.52
10.4
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
36.8 3
22.21
–
–
14.31
21.11
14.6
Demoscopia Servicios/PP[ 31]
23–30 Nov 2015
1,200
?
41.3 3
26.42
3.00
–
13.00
14.91
14.9
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
255
?
?2/3
?2/3
–
–
?0
?1
Tie
GAD3/ABC[ 32]
19 Oct–12 Nov 2015
?
?
?3
?2
–
–
?0
?1
?
2015 regional election 22 Mar 2015
—
60.5
36.9 (3)
32.9(3)
4.2(0)
1.8(0)
11.0(0)
9.4(0)
4.0
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
37.8
35.1 (3)
32.9(3)
7.6(0)
6.6(0)
5.6(0)
2.4(0)
2.2
2012 regional election 25 Mar 2012
—
57.0
51.2 (4)
35.4(2)
7.1(0)
2.9(0)
–
–
15.8
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
67.2
57.6 4
29.92
5.30
3.90
–
–
27.7
Asturias
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
73.8
46.1 2
19.91
0.90
3.80
11.70
15.70
26.2
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
20
?
40.0 1
21.31
–
3.40
12.10
20.21
18.7
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?2
?0
–
–
?0
?1
?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 5] [ 6]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
43.0 2
16.00
–
3.00
10.00
25.01
18.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
43.8 2
?0
–
–
?0
24.51
19.3
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
43.1 2
?0
–
–
?0
24.21
18.9
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
236
?
?2
?0
–
–
?0
?1
?
2015 regional election 24 May 2015
—
69.8
45.3 (2)
22.1(1)
2.2(0)
4.0(0)
10.1(0)
11.9(0)
23.2
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
51.4
45.4 (2)
19.2(1)
8.0(0)
7.0(0)
5.1(0)
2.2(0)
26.2
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
75.4
61.9 2
22.91
7.80
4.50
–
–
39.0
Badajoz
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
72.3
34.52
37.2 3
3.10
0.40
11.91
11.40
2.7
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
66
?
36.2 3
32.72
4.50
–
14.81
8.70
3.5
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?2
?3
–
–
?0
?1
?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 5] [ 6]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
38.0 3
27.02
6.00
–
10.00
17.01
11.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
28.62
31.6 2
–
–
16.81
17.41
3.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
32.0 2
26.52
–
–
16.91
20.21
5.5
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
255
?
?2
?3
–
–
?0
?1
?
Metroscopia/El País[ 33] [ 34]
4 Nov 2015
400
76
31.92
32.5 2/3
4.50
–
11.40/1
17.21
0.6
2015 regional election 24 May 2015
—
71.3
36.3(3)
43.7 (3)
4.8(0)
0.6(0)
7.3(0)
3.9(0)
7.4
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
44.1
34.9(3)
40.1 (3)
6.5(0)
4.3(0)
5.7(0)
0.9(0)
5.2
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
74.3
50.6 4
37.62
6.00
3.50
–
–
13.0
Balearic Islands
Barcelona
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
69.6
16.35
–
11.34
[ d] 14.55
0.20
13.54
–
[ d] 13.24
1.70
26.9 9
–
10.6
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
598
?
13.84
–
8.73
[ d] 19.06
–
19.5 7
–
[ d] 17.76
–
16.65
–
0.5
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?6
–
?3/4
[ d] ?5
–
?5/6
–
[ d] ?4
–
?7
–
?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 35] [ 36]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
17.05/6
–
11.03
[ d] 15.05
–
20.06/7
–
[ d] 13.04
–
21.0 7
–
1.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
19.56
–
13.44
[ d] 12.14
–
20.3 7
–
[ d] 12.14
–
19.36
–
0.8
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
20.1 7
–
11.74
4.91
12.74
–
19.76
–
15.85
12.74
–
–
–
0.4
Metroscopia/El País[ 20] [ 21]
16–17 Nov 2015
600
76
18.56
–
9.53
[ d] 12.64
–
19.86/7
–
[ d] 13.14
–
20.7 7/8
–
0.9
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
817
?
?5/6
–
?3
[ d] ?4
–
?6
–
[ d] ?4
–
?8/9
–
?
GAD3/ABC[ 37]
14 Oct–4 Nov 2015
?
?
?4
–
?4
?1
?6
–
?6
–
?4
?5
?1
–
–
Tie
2015 regional election 27 Sep 2015
—
75.0
13.7(4)
–
8.8(3)
[ e] [ f] –
18.8(6)
8.3(2)
[ e] [ f] 2.5(0)
10.1(3)
36.1 (13)
17.3
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
46.7
15.2(5)
19.8(7)
10.1(3)
11.3(4)
21.9 (8)
1.4(0)
6.9(2)
–
5.2(2)
[ g] [ g] –
–
2.1
Feedback/La Vanguardia[ 38]
30 Apr–8 May 2014
?
?
?7
?8
?6
?4
?4
–
?2
–
–
[ g] [ g] –
–
?
Feedback/La Vanguardia[ 39]
2–6 Sep 2013
?
?
?8
?7
?5
?5
?4
?2
–
–
–
[ g] [ g] –
–
?
2012 regional election 25 Nov 2012
—
68.0
15.4(5)
28.1 (10)
13.3(4)
11.1(4)
12.7(4)
0.4(0)
8.4(3)
3.4(1)
–
[ g] [ g] –
–
12.7
Feedback/La Vanguardia[ 40]
21–27 Sep 2012
?
?
?6
?12
?6
?5
?2
–
–
–
–
[ g] [ g] –
–
?
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
65.9
27.8 10
27.29
20.97
9.13
6.52
1.30
–
–
–
[ g] [ g] –
–
0.6
Biscay
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
PNV
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
69.4
27.9 3
13.01
12.51
11.41
2.80
0.30
26.12
3.80
1.8
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
122
?
26.8 2
18.22
16.61
10.41
3.60
–
18.02
5.80
8.6
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?3
?1
?1
?1
–
–
?2
?0
?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 13]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
27.0 3
14.01
14.01
12.01
–
–
23.02
?0
4.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
29.8 3
12.31
15.21
12.01
–
–
12.81
9.11
14.6
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
29.4 3
14.71
14.51
12.11
–
–
12.01
9.21
14.7
Aztiker/Gara[ 14] [ 15]
16–28 Nov 2015
600
?
30.4 3
14.31
16.01
10.71
2.50
0.30
16.22
7.50
14.2
Gizaker/Grupo Noticias[ 16] [ 17]
14–18 Nov 2015
600
?
35.0 3
12.91
16.51
8.71
–
–
20.02
?0
15.0
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
448
?
?2
?1
?2
?1
–
–
?2
?0
Tie
Ikertalde/GPS[ 18] [ 19]
13–19 Oct 2015
1,260
69.0
30.6 3
14.01
16.31
12.01
2.30
0.30
18.02
4.50
12.6
2015 foral elections 24 May 2015
—
62.6
37.6 (4)
12.5(1)
18.9(2)
8.2(0)
2.6(0)
0.6(0)
14.5(1)
2.1(0)
18.7
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
44.3
31.8 (4)
13.6(1)
19.9(2)
10.0(1)
5.7(0)
3.2(0)
6.7(2)
0.8(0)
11.9
2012 regional election 21 Oct 2012
—
64.5
37.9 (4)
18.7(1)
21.2(2)
11.7(1)
2.7(0)
1.8(0)
–
–
16.7
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
68.1
32.6 3
21.42
19.22
17.71
3.80
1.70
–
–
11.2
Burgos
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
72.4
38.0 2
20.71
1.10
4.70
17.11
15.60
17.3
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
46
?
32.9 1
24.31
–
4.60
17.31
16.91
8.6
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?2
?1
–
–
?0
?1
?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 5] [ 6]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
38.0 2
17.00/1
–
4.00
18.00/1
20.01
18.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
38.2 2
17.31
–
–
?0
23.41
14.8
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
37.6 2
20.21
–
–
?0
23.11
14.5
Metroscopia/El País[ 33] [ 34]
28–29 Nov 2015
400
77
34.1 2
19.31
–
4.20
13.70
19.11
14.8
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
254
?
?2
?1
–
–
?0
?1
?
2015 regional election 24 May 2015
—
63.7
36.5 (2)
24.7(1)
1.8(0)
3.9(0)
14.2(1)
12.1(0)
11.8
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
47.4
36.8 (3)
20.2(1)
9.1(0)
8.3(0)
9.7(0)
2.5(0)
16.6
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
71.7
54.2 3
28.01
7.50
5.60
–
–
26.2
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
71.9
35.3 2
34.02
2.90
0.40
13.90
11.40
1.3
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
53
?
35.8 2
32.72
4.10
–
12.40
13.00
3.1
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?2
?2
–
–
?0
?0
Tie
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 5] [ 6]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
37.0 2
32.02
3.00
–
12.00
15.00
5.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
32.6 2
31.22
–
–
?0
?0
1.4
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
33.0 2
26.21
–
–
?0
20.51
6.8
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
255
?
?2
?2
–
–
?0
?0
Tie
2015 regional election 24 May 2015
—
71.6
38.2 (2)
38.0(2)
3.4(0)
0.6(0)
9.2(0)
5.1(0)
0.2
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
44.8
36.6 (2)
36.5(2)
6.0(0)
5.1(0)
5.6(0)
1.1(0)
0.1
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
73.3
52.0 2
36.52
6.00
3.50
–
–
15.5
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
IULV
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
65.7
27.73
28.0 3
6.00
0.60
20.22
14.71
0.3
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
141
?
21.12
25.8 3
5.20
–
23.42
19.72
2.4
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?3
?3
–
–
?1
?2
Tie
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 5] [ 6]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
26.02/3
27.0 2/3
5.00
–
18.02
22.02
1.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
26.03
29.3 3
–
–
18.02
17.01
3.3
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
28.1 3
25.02
–
–
18.22
19.12
3.1
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
355
?
?3
?3
–
–
?1
?2
Tie
GAD3/ABC[ 32]
19 Oct–12 Nov 2015
?
?
?3
?3
–
–
?2
?1
Tie
2015 regional election 22 Mar 2015
—
57.7
24.0(2)
31.6 (3)
6.7(0)
2.1(0)
18.9(2)
10.4(1)
7.6
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
36.8
23.7(3)
30.9 (3)
12.1(1)
7.5(0)
10.7(1)
1.8(0)
7.2
2012 regional election 25 Mar 2012
—
53.2
40.5 (4)
35.6(3)
12.7(1)
3.3(0)
–
–
4.9
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
63.8
47.1 5
32.83
8.70
4.80
–
–
14.3
Cantabria
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
75.0
31.8 2
21.51
3.10
0.60
[ c] [ c] 15.61
24.11
7.7
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
440
?
27.8 2
21.01
5.60
–
[ c] [ c] 16.71
23.61
4.2
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?2
?1
–
–
[ c] [ c] ?1
?1
?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 5] [ 6]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
29.0 2
23.01
3.00
–
[ c] [ c] 22.01
21.01
7.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
29.0 2
22.11
–
–
[ c] [ c] 24.11
17.81
4.9
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
29.5 2
25.21
–
–
[ c] [ c] 23.31
16.01
4.3
ODEC/PSPV[ 22]
23 Nov 2015
?
?
?2
?1
–
–
[ c] [ c] ?1
?1
?
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
283
?
?2
?1
–
–
[ c] [ c] ?1
?1
?
GAD3/ABC[ 23]
14–29 Oct 2015
?
?
?2
?2
–
–
?0
?0
?1
–
Tie
Metroscopia/El País[ 24] [ 25]
5–7 Oct 2015
330
?
?1
?1/2
–
–
?0
?1
?1/2
–
Tie
2015 regional election 24 May 2015
—
71.1
29.5 (2)
24.0(2)
3.2(0)
0.8(0)
14.3(1)
11.6(0)
11.1(0)
–
5.5
JM&A/El Mundo[ 26]
17 May 2015
?
?
26.6 2
22.21
?0
?0
?0
17.41
21.41
–
4.4
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
49.2
32.0 (3)
22.9(2)
8.7(1)
7.2(1)
6.3(0)
7.8(1)
3.1(0)
–
9.1
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
72.7
52.8 3
29.62
5.30
4.00
4.00
–
–
–
23.2
Ceuta
Color key: Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
Caballas
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
54.4
44.9 1
23.10
–
0.60
1.30
14.10
13.30
21.8
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[ 41] [ 42]
20 Dec 2015
?
?
39.7 1
17.50
–
1.80
3.60
9.20
20.20
19.5
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
6
?
45.3 1
13.70
–
–
–
8.20
18.00
27.3
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?1
?0
–
–
–
?0
?0
?
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
45.2 1
?0
–
–
–
?0
?0
?
GAD3/ABC[ 43] [ 44]
10 Nov–3 Dec 2015
?
?
?1
?0
–
–
–
?0
?0
?
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
44.2 1
?0
–
–
–
?0
?0
?
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
200
?
?1
?0
–
–
–
?0
?0
?
2015 Assembly election 24 May 2015
—
48.0
45.7 1
14.00
13.30
1.10
1.60
–
6.00
31.7
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
25.9
40.3 1
22.50
9.00
6.80
3.40
3.70
2.40
17.8
Metroscopia/El País[ 45] [ 46]
30 Nov 2013
?
?
?1
?0
–
–
–
–
–
?
NC Report/La Razón[ 47]
1–17 Feb 2012
125
?
?1
?0
–
–
–
–
–
?
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
53.2
65.9 1
20.30
5.40
3.30
1.80
–
–
45.6
Ciudad Real
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
75.3
38.4 3
31.12
3.30
0.50
12.50
12.30
7.3
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
78
?
35.4 2
33.72
3.30
–
12.20
12.41
1.7
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?3
?1
–
–
?0
?1
?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 5] [ 6]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
37.0 2
25.01
3.00
–
15.01
17.01
12.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 8] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
36.7 2
20.61
–
–
16.41
21.91
14.8
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
35.9 2
23.81
–
–
15.01
21.51
12.1
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
252
?
?2/3
?1/2
–
–
?0
?1
?
2015 regional election 24 May 2015
—
70.4
37.1(2)
38.8 (3)
3.1(0)
1.1(0)
8.4(0)
7.5(0)
1.7
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
45.3
37.8 (3)
31.5(2)
8.6(0)
7.2(0)
5.0(0)
1.9(0)
6.3
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
74.8
55.2 3
32.02
5.40
4.40
–
–
23.2
Gipuzkoa
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
PNV
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
67.4
20.91
23.52
13.31
8.70
2.80
0.30
25.3 2
3.80
1.8
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
94
?
27.4 2
23.02
12.91
6.40
3.70
–
17.41
5.70
4.4
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?2
?2
?1
?0
–
–
?1
?0
Tie
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 13]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
26.0 2
21.01
13.01
7.00
–
–
22.02
?0
4.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
27.3 2
25.02
10.91
?0
–
–
11.01
?0
2.3
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
26.2 2
20.92
13.71
?0
–
–
10.91
?0
5.3
Aztiker/Gara[ 14] [ 15]
16–28 Nov 2015
600
?
25.02
26.4 2
14.51
4.20
4.40
–
15.21
7.70
1.4
Gizaker/Grupo Noticias[ 16] [ 17]
14–18 Nov 2015
600
?
28.22
28.5 2
15.01
5.60
–
–
18.12
?0
0.3
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
416
?
?2/3
?2
?0/1
?0
–
–
?1
?0
?
Ikertalde/GPS[ 18] [ 19]
13–19 Oct 2015
700
67.5
26.7 2
26.12
16.01
6.50
2.00
0.20
17.51
3.00
0.6
2015 foral elections 24 May 2015
—
64.9
28.8(2)
31.6 (2)
16.5(1)
5.4(0)
2.4(0)
0.3(0)
12.1(1)
1.5(0)
2.8
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
41.4
31.1 (3)
24.5(2)
13.7(1)
7.9(0)
5.0(0)
3.0(0)
6.4(0)
0.7(0)
6.6
2012 regional election 21 Oct 2012
—
63.3
31.8 (3)
31.6(2)
19.0(1)
8.4(0)
2.7(0)
1.4(0)
–
–
0.2
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
65.5
34.8 3
22.41
21.01
13.71
3.40
1.50
–
–
12.4
Girona
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
65.6
–
12.71
8.50
23.52
[ d] 9.80
–
[ d] 25.0 2
1.80
16.31
–
1.5
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
45
?
–
10.20
7.00
35.9 3
[ d] 12.01
–
[ d] 18.61
3.40
10.51
–
17.3
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
–
?1
?0
?1
[ d] ?1
–
[ d] ?2
–
?1
–
?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 35] [ 36]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
–
13.01
7.00
25.02
[ d] 8.00
–
[ d] 29.0 2
–
15.01
–
4.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
–
16.01
?0
21.8 2
[ d] 16.81
–
[ d] 17.71
–
14.51
–
4.1
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
–
16.51
?0
22.8 2
?0
16.21
–
11.81
18.61
–
–
–
4.2
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
426
?
–
?1
?0
?1
[ d] ?1
–
[ d] ?2
–
?1
–
?
GAD3/ABC[ 37]
14 Oct–4 Nov 2015
?
?
–
?1
?1
?2
?0
?0
–
?0
?2
–
–
–
Tie
2015 regional election 27 Sep 2015
—
75.9
–
8.7(0)
5.9(0)
[ f] [ e] 12.5(1)
8.6(0)
[ e] [ f] 2.1(0)
4.8(0)
56.1 5
43.6
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
46.2
30.7(3)
10.0(0)
6.6(0)
32.9 (3)
6.9(4)
3.5(2)
–
2.4(2)
[ g] [ g] –
–
3.2
Feedback/La Vanguardia[ 38]
30 Apr–8 May 2014
?
?
?2
?1
?1
?1
?1
–
–
–
[ g] [ g] –
–
?
Feedback/La Vanguardia[ 39]
2–6 Sep 2013
?
?
?2
?1
?1
?2
?0
–
–
–
[ g] [ g] –
–
Tie
2012 regional election 25 Nov 2012
—
69.3
43.0 (4)
10.1(1)
9.6(0)
17.8(1)
5.9(0)
3.6(0)
4.2(0)
–
[ g] [ g] –
–
25.2
Feedback/La Vanguardia[ 40]
21–27 Sep 2012
?
?
?3
?1
?1
?1
?0
–
–
–
[ g] [ g] –
–
?
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
62.4
39.2 3
21.41
16.21
10.81
5.50
–
–
–
[ g] [ g] –
–
17.8
Granada
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
IULV
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
68.8
31.1 3
31.02
5.10
0.50
16.41
13.91
0.1
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
129
?
28.32
28.7 2
3.30
–
22.12
14.91
0.4
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?2
?2
–
–
?1
?2
Tie
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 5] [ 6]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
28.0 2
28.0 2
3.01
–
18.01
21.02
Tie
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
28.1 3
28.1 2
–
–
18.51
17.91
Tie
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
29.5 2
25.32
–
–
18.11
19.92
4.2
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
325
?
?2/3
?2/3
–
–
?1
?1/2
Tie
GAD3/ABC[ 32]
19 Oct–12 Nov 2015
?
?
?2
?2
–
–
?1
?2
Tie
2015 regional election 22 Mar 2015
—
61.4
30.0(3)
34.6 (3)
6.1(0)
1.8(0)
13.9(1)
9.6(0)
4.6
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
43.3
28.3(3)
35.3 (3)
10.7(1)
6.8(0)
6.1(0)
1.9(0)
7.0
2012 regional election 25 Mar 2012
—
62.4
43.5 (4)
39.5(3)
10.0(0)
3.4(0)
–
–
4.0
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
69.9
46.7 4
36.53
7.90
5.20
–
–
10.2
Guadalajara
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
75.6
34.8 1
22.51
0.80
4.10
17.50
18.11
12.3
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
47
?
32.2 1
22.81
4.20
–
21.11
16.80
9.4
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?1
?1
–
–
?0
?1
Tie
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 5] [ 6]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
33.0 1
20.01
–
3.00
15.00
27.01
6.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 8] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
36.7 2
?0
–
–
?0
23.31
13.4
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
36.1 1
20.71
–
–
?0
23.01
13.1
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
232
?
?1
?1
–
–
?0
?1
Tie
2015 regional election 24 May 2015
—
69.2
33.7 (2)
30.0(1)
1.7(0)
3.4(0)
14.6(0)
12.0(0)
3.7
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
47.0
33.7 (2)
22.3(2)
9.5(0)
9.5(0)
8.8(0)
3.9(0)
11.4
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
74.8
54.0 2
27.71
7.50
6.80
–
–
26.3
La Rioja
Las Palmas
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
62.4
28.2 3
22.42
4.20
3.00
0.50
[ h] 26.52
12.31
1.7
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
85
?
17.02
22.82
8.20
3.20
3.50
[ h] 29.2 3
13.51
6.4
Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia[ 48] [ 49]
5–12 Dec 2015
?
?
27.1 2/3
26.12
3.10
2.00
0.60
[ h] 17.81/2
21.32
1.0
TSA/Canarias7[ 50] [ 51]
4–11 Dec 2015
899
66.5
22.72
27.6 2/3
5.80
–
–
[ h] 18.71/2
18.81/2
4.9
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?3
?2
?0
–
–
[ h] ?2
?1
?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 5] [ 6]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
32.0 3
18.02
6.00
–
–
[ h] 17.01
21.02
11.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
29.5 3
25.23
?0
–
–
[ h] 15.61
16.51
4.3
TSA/Canarias7[ 52] [ 53]
25 Nov–3 Dec 2015
?
?
22.32
27.3 3
4.50
–
–
[ h] 17.21
20.92
5.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
31.4 3
19.02
10.01
–
–
[ h] 11.51
17.61
12.4
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
356
?
?3
?2
?0
–
–
[ h] ?2
?1
?
2015 regional election 24 May 2015
—
57.6
19.2 (2)
17.8(2)
9.4(1)
1.9(0)
0.9(0)
16.6(2)
16.5(1)
6.1(0)
1.4
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
36.3
23.9 (3)
21.4(2)
9.8(1)
10.6(1)
7.2(0)
–
13.6(1)
1.5(0)
2.5
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
60.5
51.0 5
26.22
11.31
4.20
2.80
[ i] –
–
24.8
Lugo
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
Nós
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
59.2
42.5 2
24.01
3.60
[ a] 0.50
[ a] [ a] 7.60
19.21
18.5
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
44
?
44.0 3
14.40
5.30
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] 5.80
24.81
19.2
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?2
?1
?0
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] ?0
?1
?
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[ 3] [ 54]
1–9 Dec 2015
350
?
44.0 2
19.21
?0
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] 14.30
14.51
24.8
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 5] [ 6]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
43.0 2
17.01
5.00
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] 13.00
18.01
25.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 8] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
41.1 2
19.01
?0
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] 21.31
?0
19.8
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
38.8 2
21.31
?0
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] 20.21
?0
17.5
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
255
?
?2
?1
?0
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] ?0
?1
?
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
38.4
42.3 (3)
23.7(1)
6.8(0)
[ b] 2.9(0)
8.1(0)
5.7(0)
1.1(0)
–
18.6
2012 regional election 21 Oct 2012
—
56.0
51.5 (3)
22.7(1)
8.7(0)
[ b] 0.9(0)
10.3(0)
–
–
–
28.8
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
62.8
56.1 3
28.31
9.20
3.10
0.90
–
–
–
–
27.8
Madrid
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
IULV
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
67.5
28.9 4
26.93
6.80
0.60
17.12
17.12
2.0
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
130
?
27.1 3
25.03
5.70
–
20.73
19.12
2.1
Celeste-Tel[ 55]
1–12 Dec 2015
400
?
28.34
31.3 4
?0
–
13.41
19.52
3.0
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?3
?3
?1
–
?1
?3
Tie
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 5] [ 6]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
26.0 3
24.03
7.00/1
–
16.02
24.02/3
2.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
28.4 4
27.63
?0
–
17.72
17.92
0.8
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
30.4 4
23.63
?0
–
17.72
20.02
7.1
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
467
?
?3
?4
?0
–
?1
?3
?
GAD3/ABC[ 32]
19 Oct–12 Nov 2015
?
?
?4
?3
?1
–
?1
?2
?
2015 regional election 22 Mar 2015
—
58.9
28.3(3)
30.1 (4)
7.4(0)
2.6(0)
15.1(2)
11.8(1)
1.8
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
40.5
25.5(3)
30.1 (4)
12.7(1)
9.2(1)
7.4(1)
2.4(0)
4.6
2012 regional election 25 Mar 2012
—
56.3
43.7 (5)
35.3(4)
12.2(1)
4.3(0)
–
–
8.4
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
65.1
49.7 6
31.63
9.01
5.60
–
–
18.1
Melilla
Color key: Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
PPL
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
49.4
43.9 1
24.60
0.90
1.30
–
–
11.40
15.50
19.3
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[ 41] [ 56]
20 Dec 2015
?
?
48.5 1
24.00
1.60
2.40
–
–
7.90
13.50
24.5
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
21
?
39.5 1
15.90
–
–
–
–
10.10
16.70
22.8
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?1
?0
–
–
–
–
?0
?0
?
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
41.7 1
?0
–
–
–
–
?0
?0
?
GAD3/ABC[ 43] [ 44]
10 Nov–3 Dec 2015
?
?
?1
?0
–
–
–
–
?0
?0
?
SyM Consulting/La Luz[ 57]
1–2 Dec 2015
502
54.5
53.1 1
18.80
2.20
–
–
–
6.10
15.10
34.3
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
43.0 1
?0
–
–
–
–
?0
?0
?
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
200
?
?1
?0
–
–
–
–
?0
?0
?
SyM Consulting/La Luz[ 58]
6–7 Oct 2015
633
64.8
49.1 1
13.70
–
–
–
–
12.50
16.40
32.7
SyM Consulting/La Luz[ 59]
25–27 Sep 2015
519
77.6
33.6 1
14.10
0.80
–
7.90
1.60
10.40
23.20
10.4
2015 Assembly election 24 May 2015
—
56.1
42.7 1
12.60
1.10
0.80
26.40
5.40
2.60
6.80
16.3
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
26.1
44.0 1
25.00
7.00
3.30
–
–
2.90
1.80
19.0
Metroscopia/El País[ 45] [ 46]
30 Nov 2013
?
?
?1
?0
–
–
–
–
–
–
?
NC Report/La Razón[ 47]
1–17 Feb 2012
125
?
?1
?0
–
–
–
–
–
–
?
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
49.4
66.7 1
25.30
3.70
–
–
–
–
–
41.4
Murcia
Navarre
Ourense
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
Nós
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
53.5
44.9 2
23.21
3.30
[ a] 0.40
[ a] [ a] 7.90
17.81
21.7
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
28
?
38.7 3
12.00
4.60
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] 9.20
25.71
13.0
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?3
?1
?0
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] ?0
?0
?
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[ 3] [ 60]
1–9 Dec 2015
350
?
40.1 2
23.81
5.40
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] 12.30
14.11
16.3
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 5] [ 6]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
43.0 2
21.01
2.00
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] 11.00
20.01
22.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 8] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
43.3 2
17.51
?0
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] 21.61
?0
21.7
Infortécnica[ 61]
16 Nov–9 Dec 2015
321
?
?2/3
?0/1
?0
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] ?0
?1
?
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
41.1 2
19.71
?0
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] 20.61
?0
20.5
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
252
?
?2
?1
?0
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] ?0
?1
?
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
35.9
44.7 (3)
23.4(1)
6.0(0)
[ b] 2.7(0)
6.8(0)
5.1(0)
1.2(0)
–
21.3
2012 regional election 21 Oct 2012
—
51.5
49.2 (3)
23.7(1)
8.5(0)
[ b] 0.6(0)
7.8(0)
–
–
–
25.5
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
57.1
56.7 3
28.11
9.30
2.30
0.80
–
–
–
–
28.6
Pontevedra
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
Nós
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
64.3
34.5 3
20.82
4.60
[ a] 0.60
[ a] [ a] 9.00
27.92
6.6
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
108
?
27.9 2
14.01
9.30
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] 19.52
25.42
2.5
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?3
?1/2
?0
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] ?1
?1/2
?
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[ 3] [ 62]
1–9 Dec 2015
500
?
36.4 3
15.91
?0
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] 17.41
22.82
13.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 5] [ 6]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
31.0 2
25.02
2.00
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] 17.01
22.02
6.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 8] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
38.6 3
19.21
?0
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] 20.72
15.11
17.9
Infortécnica[ 61]
16 Nov–9 Dec 2015
374
?
?3
?1/2
?0
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] ?1
?1/2
?
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
36.1 3
21.32
?0
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] 19.41
13.21
14.8
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
380
?
?3
?1/2
?0
[ a] –
[ a] [ a] ?1
?1/2
?
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
40.4
32.4 (3)
21.2(2)
8.9(0)
[ b] 3.6(0)
11.4(1)
9.4(1)
1.6(0)
–
11.2
2012 regional election 21 Oct 2012
—
56.4
42.8 (4)
20.8(1)
11.9(1)
[ b] 1.6(0)
14.4(1)
–
–
–
22.0
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
63.9
50.8 4
28.12
12.01
4.60
1.30
–
–
–
–
22.7
Santa Cruz de Tenerife
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
58.2
28.9 2
21.52
12.61
3.30
0.40
[ h] 19.91
10.51
7.4
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
100
?
15.91
20.71
21.32
3.90
3.10
[ h] 22.4 2
12.51
1.1
Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia[ 48] [ 49]
5–12 Dec 2015
?
?
22.21/2
22.32
11.00/1
2.60
0.70
[ h] 15.41
23.1 2
0.8
TSA/Canarias7[ 50] [ 51]
4–11 Dec 2015
903
65
21.01/2
22.8 2
13.61
–
–
[ h] 17.01
20.81/2
1.8
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?3
?1
?1
–
–
[ h] ?1
?1
?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 5] [ 6]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
32.0 3
17.01
10.00/1
–
–
[ h] 16.01
20.01/2
12.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
24.7 2
23.82
14.91
–
–
[ h] 13.41
16.71
0.9
TSA/Canarias7[ 52] [ 53]
25 Nov–3 Dec 2015
?
?
20.61/2
22.1 2
12.71
–
–
[ h] 15.91
20.91/2
1.2
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
24.2 2
17.42
16.01
–
–
[ h] 10.91
14.51
6.8
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
375
?
?3
?1/2
?1
–
–
[ h] ?0/1
?1
?
2015 regional election 24 May 2015
—
54.6
18.0(1
22.1(2
27.6 (3
2.6(0
0.8(0
3.5(0
12.5(1
5.8(0
5.5
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
33.7
22.9(2)
23.1 (2)
14.8(1)
10.3(1)
6.6(0)
–
8.2(1)
1.3(0)
0.2
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
58.7
44.8 4
23.52
19.81
4.40
2.50
[ i] –
–
21.3
Seville
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
IULV
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
72.2
33.9 5
25.23
5.70
0.60
19.02
13.02
8.7
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
221
?
31.5 4
22.93
6.30
–
25.44
11.11
6.1
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?5
?3/4
?0/1
–
?1
?2
?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 5] [ 6]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
31.0 4
23.03
7.01
–
17.02
20.02
8.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
32.9 4
21.43
?0
–
20.33
16.72
11.5
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
29.1 4
23.03
?0
–
20.53
18.72
6.1
Metroscopia/El País[ 20] [ 21]
27 Nov 2015
500
75
35.7 5
23.63
6.20
–
14.52
16.72
12.1
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
480
?
?4/5
?3
?1
–
?1
?2/3
?
GAD3/ABC[ 32]
19 Oct–12 Nov 2015
?
?
?5
?3
?1
–
?1
?2
?
2015 regional election 22 Mar 2015
—
66.0
38.1 (5)
21.9(3)
7.0(1)
1.9(0)
16.6(2)
9.2(1)
16.2
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
44.4
37.2 (6)
22.1(3)
12.1(1)
7.4(1)
7.8(1)
1.7(0)
15.1
2012 regional election 25 Mar 2012
—
64.0
43.1 (6)
35.3(5)
12.2(1)
3.7(0)
–
–
7.8
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
71.2
41.7 6
38.75
8.61
5.50
–
–
3.0
Teruel
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
71.6
36.4 2
25.71
5.00
0.60
[ j] [ k] 15.30
14.70
10.7
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
70
?
31.6 1
20.11
5.80
–
[ j] [ k] 19.71
17.00
11.5
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?1
?1
–
–
[ j] [ k] ?0
?1
Tie
A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[ 63]
26 Nov–10 Dec 2015
?
?
?2
?1
–
–
[ j] [ k] ?0
?0
?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 5] [ 6]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
32.0 1
27.01
3.00
–
[ j] [ k] 15.00
20.01
5.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
31.7 1
18.81
–
–
[ j] [ k] ?0
16.21
12.9
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
32.1 1
22.61
–
–
[ j] [ k] ?0
19.11
9.5
Metroscopia/El País[ 33] [ 34]
26–27 Nov 2015
400
77
27.6 1
24.91
5.60
–
[ j] [ k] 14.50
21.71
2.7
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
240
?
?2
?1
–
–
[ j] [ k] ?0
?0
?
2015 regional election 24 May 2015
—
69.3
27.5 (1)
22.0(1)
4.6(0)
–
13.7(0)
3.4(0)
16.1(1)
7.2(0)
5.5
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
44.1
35.7 (2)
27.1(1)
8.1(0)
6.1(0)
–
3.3(0)
7.8(0)
1.8(0)
8.6
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
70.3
51.8 2
32.91
7.90
3.40
[ j] [ l] –
–
18.9
Valencia
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
75.9
30.2 5
18.83
4.70
[ c] 0.70
[ c] 15.12
27.15
3.1
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
6,371
?
24.74
19.53
6.01
[ c] –
[ c] 16.83
27.9 4
3.2
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?5
?3
?1
[ c] –
[ c] ?3
?3
?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 5] [ 6]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
27.0 4/5
20.03
8.01
[ c] –
[ c] 19.03
23.03/4
4.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
27.3 5
20.33
?0
[ c] –
[ c] 25.14
18.53
2.2
Metroscopia/El País[ 20] [ 21]
2–3 Dec 2015
500
80
23.64
21.93
6.00/1
[ c] 0.40
[ c] 23.13/4
24.0 4
0.4
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
27.3 4
23.54
?0
[ c] –
[ c] 24.64
16.93
2.7
ODEC/PSPV[ 22]
23 Nov 2015
?
?
?4
?4
?0/1
[ c] –
[ c] ?3
?3/4
Tie
Sigma Dos/IU[ 64] [ 65]
19–23 Nov 2015
680
?
28.2 4/5
19.53
6.81
[ c] –
[ c] 19.13
22.13/4
6.1
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
535
?
?4/5
?3
?0/1
[ c] –
[ c] ?3
?4
?
GAD3/ABC[ 23]
14–29 Oct 2015
?
?
?5
?4
?0
?2
–
?1
?3
–
?
Metroscopia/El País[ 24] [ 25]
5–7 Oct 2015
508
?
?4
?4
?1
?1
–
?2
?4
–
Tie
2015 regional election 24 May 2015
—
71.5
25.3 (5)
18.6(3)
4.5(0)
22.9(4)
1.1(0)
10.9(2)
11.8(2)
–
2.4
JM&A/El Mundo[ 26]
17 May 2015
?
?
26.7 5
19.93
?0
7.71
?0
18.33
19.63
–
6.8
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
51.8
27.5 (6)
20.6(4)
11.3(2)
10.1(2)
8.5(1)
7.9(1)
2.8(0)
–
6.9
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
74.9
52.2 9
26.04
6.81
6.01
5.91
–
–
–
26.2
Zaragoza
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
Lead
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015
—
73.1
30.3 3
22.32
6.50
0.80
[ j] [ k] 19.21
17.81
8.0
GIPEyOP[ 1]
27 Nov–14 Dec 2015
201
?
29.1 2
17.61
10.11
–
[ j] [ k] 22.62
17.31
6.5
GAD3/ABC[ 2]
16 Nov–11 Dec 2015
?
?
?2
?2
?0
–
[ j] [ k] ?2
?1
Tie
A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[ 63]
26 Nov–10 Dec 2015
?
?
?2
?2
?0
–
[ j] [ k] ?1
?2
Tie
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ 5] [ 6]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
26.02
18.01/2
8.00
–
[ j] [ k] 19.01/2
27.0 2
1.0
Redondo & Asociados[ 7] [ 9]
1–9 Dec 2015
?
?
27.4 3
18.01
?0
–
[ j] [ k] 16.51
18.62
8.8
Redondo & Asociados[ 10] [ 11]
25 Nov–1 Dec 2015
?
?
28.5 2
22.22
?0
–
[ j] [ k] 16.11
19.42
6.3
Metroscopia/El País[ 33] [ 34]
27–28 Nov 2015
500
78
24.32
26.0 2
8.10
–
[ j] [ k] 14.01
21.32
1.7
CIS[ 12]
27 Oct–16 Nov 2015
417
?
?3
?2
?0
–
[ j] [ k] ?1
?1
?
2015 regional election 24 May 2015
—
65.8
27.8 (2)
20.1(2)
4.4(0)
1.1(0)
5.2(0)
5.1(0)
21.7(2)
10.0(1)
6.1
2014 EP election 25 May 2014
—
46.4
26.2 (2)
23.4(2)
9.8(1)
9.1(1)
–
4.8(0)
9.9(1)
3.2(0)
2.8
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011
—
71.4
46.9 4
30.82
11.51
6.40
[ j] [ l] –
–
16.1
See also
Notes
References
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad "Elecciones Generales de 2016. Resultados" (PDF) . GIPEyOP (in Spanish). 14 December 2015. Archived from the original (PDF) on 22 January 2016.^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad "SPAIN, December 2015. GAD3 poll (2)" . Electograph (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.^ a b c d "Encuesta de Sondaxe: Medio millón de gallegos aún están indecisos" . La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.^ "PP y PSOE ceden sendos puestos a los emergentes" . La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w "Madrid y Valencia desploman el voto al PP y propulsan a Ciudadanos" . El Mundo (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w "Los feudos del PP y del PSOE" . El Mundo (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad "Una encuesta sitúa al PP con 120 diputados y ampliando a 40 escaños su ventaja sobre PSOE" . Europa Press (in Spanish). 10 December 2015.^ a b c d e f g "Resultados de la encuesta de Redondo & Asociados para elecciones generales 2015 por comunidades" . Europa Press (in Spanish). 10 December 2015.^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad "SPAIN, December 2015. Redondo & Asociados poll (2)" . Electograph (in Spanish). 10 December 2015.^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad "Una encuesta sitúa al PP como ganador con 114 escaños, 30 por encima del PSOE" . Europa Press (in Spanish). 2 December 2015.^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad "SPAIN, December 2015. Redondo & Asociados poll" . Electograph (in Spanish). 2 December 2015.^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad "Preelectoral elecciones generales 2015 (Estudio nº 3117. Octubre-Noviembre 2015)" (PDF) . CIS (in Spanish). 3 December 2015.^ a b c "Podemos, en los talones del PNV" . El Mundo (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.^ a b c "Proyección 2015" (PDF) . Naiz (in Spanish). 9 December 2015.^ a b c "PAÍS VASCO Y NAVARRA (E. Generales), Noviembre 2015. Sondeo Aztiker" . Electograph (in Spanish). 9 December 2015.^ a b c "El 20-D devuelve la hegemonía al PNV" . Deia (in Spanish). 6 December 2015.[permanent dead link ] ^ a b c "PAÍS VASCO (E. Generales), Noviembre 2015. Sondeo Gizaker" . Electograph (in Spanish). 6 December 2015.^ a b c "Elecciones Generales del 20 de diciembre de 2015: Previsión de voto" (PDF) . Eusko Jaurlaritza (in Spanish). 28 October 2015.^ a b c "PAÍS VASCO (E. Generales), Octubre 2015. Sondeo GPS Gobierno Vasco" . Electograph (in Spanish). 28 October 2015.^ a b c d "Las cinco provincias más pobladas" . El País (in Spanish). 6 December 2015.^ a b c d "Estimación de escaños en las cinco circunscripciones más pobladas" . Metroscopia (in Spanish). 6 December 2015. Archived from the original on 11 November 2018. Retrieved 22 January 2019 .^ a b c "COMUNIDAD VALENCIANA (E. Generales), Noviembre 2015. Sondeo ODEC" . Electograph (in Spanish). 8 December 2015.^ a b c "Elecciones Generales 2015: (incluye Madrid y Comunidad Valenciana)" . GAD3 (in Spanish). 2 November 2015.^ a b c "Ciudadanos arrebata la supremacía al PP en la Comunidad Valenciana" . El País (in Spanish). 9 October 2015.^ a b c "Encuesta en la Comunidad Valenciana" . El País (in Spanish). 9 October 2015.^ a b c "Ciudadanos empataría con el PSPV en unas generales" . El Mundo (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.^ "PP, C's y PSOE, en manos de los indecisos a una semana del 20D" . La Voz de Almería (in Spanish). 12 December 2015.^ "Segunda Oleada para la circunscripción en "La Voz de Almería" . Deimos Estadística (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.^ "PROV. DE ALMERÍA (E. Generales), Diciembre 2015. Sondeo Deimos (2)" . Electograph (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.^ "El PP puede caer 20 puntos y C's adelantar a los socialistas" . La Voz de Almería (in Spanish). 5 December 2015.^ "El PP de Almería gana en su encuesta" . Grupo Joly (in Spanish). 9 December 2015.^ a b c d e "SPAIN, November 2015. GAD3 poll (2)" . Electograph (in Spanish). 16 November 2015.^ a b c d "Cinco provincias significativas en las que se disputan entre tres y siete escaños" . El País (in Spanish). 5 December 2015.^ a b c d "Reparto de escaños en cinco circunscripciones menos pobladas pero significativas" . Metroscopia (in Spanish). 6 December 2015. Archived from the original on 11 November 2018. Retrieved 22 January 2019 .^ a b "Podemos supera en Cataluña a los independentistas de CDC y ERC" . El Mundo (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.^ a b "Las circunscripciones catalanas" . El Mundo (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.^ a b "Los nacionalistas dejarán de ser decisivos en el Congreso pese a la falta de mayorías" . ABC (in Spanish). 9 November 2015.^ a b "Rajoy volvería a ganar pero muy lejos de la mayoría" . La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 11 May 2014.^ a b "El PP mantiene la ventaja sobre el PSOE mientras suben IU y UPyD" . La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 8 September 2013.^ a b "Convulsión en las generales: CiU lograría 20 escaños, y PSC y PP, 9" . La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 1 October 2012.^ a b "Elecciones generales 2015 Resultados de las elecciones generales en directo" . RTVE (in Spanish). 20 December 2015. Archived from the original on 21 December 2015.^ "Ceuta - Resultados estimados" . RTVE (in Spanish). 20 December 2015. Archived from the original on 21 December 2015.^ a b "Elecciones Generales 2015. 4 diciembre de 2015" . GAD3 (in Spanish). 4 December 2015.^ a b "SPAIN, December 2015. GAD3 poll" . Electograph (in Spanish). 6 December 2015.^ a b "Un Parlamento difícil de gobernar" . El País (in Spanish). 30 November 2013.^ a b "Barómetro electoral: el posible regreso a la política" . Metroscopia (in Spanish). 2 December 2013. Archived from the original on 6 November 2018. Retrieved 22 January 2019 .^ a b "Rajoy-Arenas: 187 (45,60) Rubalcaba-Griñán: 104 (25,61)" . La Razón (in Spanish). 21 February 2012. Archived from the original on 19 April 2012. Retrieved 22 January 2019 .^ a b "Podemos y Ciudadanos se llevan el 39 por ciento de los votos canarios" . La Provincia (in Spanish). 14 December 2015.^ a b "CANARIAS (E. Generales), Diciembre 2015. Sondeo Hamalgama Métrica-Ágora Integral" . Electograph (in Spanish). 14 December 2015.^ a b "Podemos mejora en campaña y el PP no remonta" . Canarias7 (in Spanish). 12 December 2015.[permanent dead link ] ^ a b "CANARIAS (E. Generales), Diciembre 2015. Sondeo TSA (2)" . Electograph (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.^ a b "El PP se hunde con Soria y Ciudadanos da la sorpresa" . Canarias7 (in Spanish). 6 December 2015.^ a b "CANARIAS (E. Generales), Diciembre 2015. Sondeo TSA" . Electograph (in Spanish). 6 December 2015.^ "Cerrada disputa por un acta que se dejarían los de Rajoy" . La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.^ "El PSOE ganaría en Málaga pero empata a cuatro escaños con el PP" . La Opinión de Málaga (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.^ "Melilla - Resultados estimados" . RTVE (in Spanish). 20 December 2015. Archived from the original on 21 December 2015.^ "Uno de cada cuatro melillenses no sabe a quién votará en las Elecciones Generales" (PDF) . La Luz de Melilla (in Spanish). 9 December 2015.[permanent dead link ] ^ "El Partido Popular pierde 17,7 puntos respecto a las elecciones Generales de 2011" (PDF) . La Luz de Melilla (in Spanish). 11 November 2015. Archived from the original (PDF) on 8 December 2015. Retrieved 21 January 2019 .^ "Semanario La Luz de Melilla número 115, del 7 de octubre de 2015" . La Luz de Melilla (in Spanish). 7 October 2015. Archived from the original on 8 December 2015. Retrieved 21 January 2019 .^ "Los populares pierden un escaño en el peor resultado del baltarismo" . La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.^ a b "Las elecciones del 20-D revolucionan el mapa político de la provincia" . Atlántico (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.^ "Los socialistas, de la cima de mayo al cuarto puesto" . La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.^ a b "ARAGÓN (E. Generales), Diciembre 2015. Sondeo A+M" . Electograph (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.^ "PP lograría 4-5 diputados en Valencia, Compromís-Podemos hasta 4, PSOE y C's se quedarían con 3 y EUPV, 1" . Europa Press (in Spanish). 4 December 2015.^ "PROV. DE VALENCIA (E. Generales), Noviembre 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos" . Electograph (in Spanish). 4 December 2015.
