2024 United States presidential election in Washington (state)

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election

Not to be confused with 2024 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia.

2024 United States presidential election in Washington

November 5, 2024
Turnout	78.94% (of registered voters) (5.20 pp)[1]
Nominee Kamala Harris Donald Trump Party Democratic Republican Home state California Florida Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance Projected electoral vote 12 0 Popular vote 2,245,849 1,530,923 Percentage 57.23% 39.01%
County results Congressional district results State legislative district results Harris   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90% Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%
President before election Joe Biden Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in Washington took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Washington voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Washington has 12 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[2]

Although Washington was a Republican-leaning swing state until the 1980s, Democrats have won Washington in every presidential election starting in 1988 and have consistently done so by double digits since 2008. Washington is part of the Democratic-leaning West Coast, and was predicted to go comfortably to the Democratic Party in 2024.

While Trump improved his margin in all fifty states, Washington tied Utah for the smallest swing to the right, with Trump improving his margin by less than 1%, compared to the national swing of about 6%. Washington was the sixth-most Democratic state in the election behind Vermont, Massachusetts, Maryland, Hawaii, and California; the latter five states voted for Harris by more than 20%. This was the first election since 1956 in which Washington voted to the left of New York (which had the largest swing to the right in this election) and Rhode Island. Along with Oregon and Hawaii, Washington State was one of three states won by the Democratic candidate where Trump received fewer votes in this election than in 2020.

With this election, Clallam County ended its 40-year bellwether streak, voting for the losing presidential candidate for the first time since 1976; Trump thus became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying this county since Richard Nixon in 1968. It had previously been the only county in the nation to vote for every presidential election winner since 1980.[3]

Primary election

Republican primary

Main article: 2024 Washington Republican presidential primary

The Washington Republican primary took place on March 12, 2024, alongside primaries in Hawaii, Idaho, Mississippi, and Missouri.

Washington Republican primary, March 12, 2024[4]

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	601,070	76.43%	43	0	43
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)	151,485	19.26%	0	0	0
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)	17,870	2.27%	0	0	0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	8,702	1.11%	0	0	0
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)	7,318	0.93%	0	0	0
Total:	786,445	100.00%	43	0	43

Democratic primary

Main article: 2024 Washington Democratic presidential primary

The Washington Democratic primary took place on March 12, 2024, alongside primaries in Democrats Abroad, Northern Marianas, Mississippi, and Georgia.

Washington Democratic primary, March 12, 2024[5]

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)	763,739	83.5%	90
Uncommitted delegates	89,764	9.8%	2
Marianne Williamson	25,308	2.8%	0
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)	25,190	2.8%	0
Write-in votes	10,966	1.2%	0
Total:	914,967	100.0%	92	19	111

General election

In the early hours of October 28 a ballot drop box in Vancouver was found to be on fire damaging a number of ballots.[6] Police stated that a suspicious device had been found next to the box.[6]

Candidates

The following presidential candidates have received ballot access in Washington:

• Kamala Harris, Democratic Party
• Donald Trump, Republican Party
• Chase Oliver, Libertarian Party
• Jill Stein, Green Party
• Claudia De la Cruz, Party for Socialism and Liberation
• Cornel West, Independent
• Rachele Fruit, Socialist Workers Party
• Shiva Ayyadurai, Independent
• Joseph Kishore, Socialist Equality Party
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Independent (withdrawn)

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report[7]	Solid D	November 4, 2024
Inside Elections[8]	Solid D	November 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9]	Safe D	November 4, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[10]	Safe D	November 4, 2024
CNalysis[11]	Solid D	November 4, 2024
CNN[12]	Safe D	November 4, 2024
The Economist[13]	Safe D	November 4, 2024
538[14]	Solid D	November 4, 2024
RCP[15]	Safe D	November 4, 2024
NBC News[16]	Solid D	November 4, 2024

Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Research Co.[17]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	54%	39%	7%
ActiVote[18]	October 3–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	59%	41%	–
Public Policy Polling (D)[19][A]	October 16–17, 2024	571 (LV)	± 4.1%	55%	40%	6%
Strategies 360[20][B]	October 11–16, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	55%	39%	6%[b]
SurveyUSA[21][C]	October 9–14, 2024	703 (LV)	± 4.9%	57%	35%	8%
ActiVote[22]	September 7 – October 13, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	60%	40%	–
Elway Research[23][D]	October 8–12, 2024	401 (RV)	± 5.0%	57%	32%	11%
Elway Research[24][D]	September 3–6, 2024	403 (RV)	± 5.0%	53%	32%	11%
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
DHM Research[25]	July 12–17, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	45%	40%	14%[c]
SurveyUSA[26][C]	July 10–13, 2024	708 (LV)	± 5.0%	51%	36%	13%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[27][A]	July 24–25, 2024	581 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	38%	6%	4%

Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
DHM Research[25]	July 12–17, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	45%	38%	17%[d]
SurveyUSA[26][C]	July 10–13, 2024	708 (LV)	± 5.0%	50%	36%	14%
Public Policy Polling (D)[28][A]	May 15–16, 2024	615 (LV)	± 4.0%	55%	39%	6%
The Bullfinch Group[29][E]	April 16–23, 2024	250 (RV)	± 6.2%	45%	46%	9%
John Zogby Strategies[30][F]	April 13–21, 2024	418 (LV)	–	52%	40%	8%
Echelon Insights[31][G]	March 18–21, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.7%	48%	37%	15%
Public Policy Polling (D)[32][A]	February 13–14, 2024	797 (LV)	± 3.5%	54%	38%	8%
Public Policy Polling (D)[33][A]	November 14–15, 2023	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	52%	38%	10%
Elway Research[34][D]	October 30 – November 3, 2023	403 (RV)	± 5.0%	39%	29%	31%[e]
Public Policy Polling (D)[35][A]	June 7–8, 2023	773 (LV)	± 3.5%	53%	36%	11%
Emerson College[36]	September 30 – October 1, 2022	782 (LV)	± 3.4%	49%	39%	12%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[37]	August 15–17, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	54%	41%	6%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Elway Research[38][D]	May 13–16, 2024	403 (RV)	± 5.0%	42%	34%	3%	1%	0%	17%
The Bullfinch Group[29][E]	April 16–23, 2024	250 (RV)	± 6.2%	35%	40%	13%	1%	4%	8%
Elway Research[34][D]	October 30 – November 3, 2023	403 (RV)	± 5.0%	37%	25%	9%	3%	–	26%[f]

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[30][F]	April 13–21, 2024	418 (LV)	–	45%	45%	10%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[30][F]	April 13–21, 2024	418 (LV)	–	49%	31%	20%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Gretchen Whitmer Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
DHM Research[25]	July 12–17, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	42%	38%	20%[g]

Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Josh Shapiro Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
DHM Research[25]	July 12–17, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	40%	38%	22%[g]

Raphael Warnock vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Raphael Warnock Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
DHM Research[25]	July 12–17, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	40%	37%	23%[h]

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[35][A]	June 7–8, 2023	773 (LV)	± 3.5%	51%	39%	10%

Results

Swing by county:

  Democratic — +2.5-5%

  Democratic — +0-2.5%

  Republican — +0-2.5%

  Republican — +2.5-5%

  Republican — +5-7.5%

  Republican — +7.5-10%

2024 United States presidential election in Washington[39]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Kamala Harris Tim Walz	2,245,849	57.23%	0.74%
	Republican	Donald Trump JD Vance	1,530,923	39.01%	0.24%
	We the People	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (withdrawn) Nicole Shanahan (withdrawn)	54,868	1.40%	N/A
	Green	Jill Stein Butch Ware	29,754	0.76%	0.31%
	Libertarian	Chase Oliver Mike ter Maat	16,428	0.42%	1.55%
	Socialism and Liberation	Claudia De la Cruz Karina Garcia	8,695	0.22%	0.10%
	Justice for All	Cornel West Melina Abdullah	7,254	0.18%	N/A
	Independent	Shiva Ayyadurai Crystal Ellis	3,323	0.08%	N/A
	Socialist Equality	Joseph Kishore Jerome White	917	0.02%	N/A
	Socialist Workers	Rachele Fruit Dennis Richter	824	0.02%	0.04%
	Write-in		25,408	0.65%	0.02%
Total votes			3,924,243	100.00%	N/A

By county

County	Kamala Harris Democratic		Donald Trump Republican		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Adams	1,455	27.12%	3,767	70.21%	143	2.67%	-2,312	-43.09%	5,365
Asotin	4,082	35.59%	7,004	61.07%	382	3.33%	-2,922	-25.48%	11,468
Benton	37,662	37.40%	59,555	59.15%	3,476	3.45%	-21,893	-21.75%	100,693
Chelan	18,397	43.60%	22,363	53.00%	1,431	3.39%	-3,966	-9.40%	42,191
Clallam	25,440	52.28%	21,632	44.45%	1,591	3.27%	3,808	7.83%	48,663
Clark	143,206	51.78%	123,998	44.83%	9,374	3.39%	19,208	6.95%	276,578
Columbia	661	26.60%	1,737	69.90%	87	3.50%	-1,076	-43.30%	2,485
Cowlitz	22,825	38.47%	34,580	58.29%	1,920	3.24%	-11,755	-19.82%	59,325
Douglas	7,410	34.98%	13,095	61.82%	677	3.20%	-5,685	-26.84%	21,182
Ferry	1,315	31.93%	2,667	64.75%	137	3.33%	-1,352	-32.82%	4,119
Franklin	11,884	37.26%	19,086	59.84%	927	2.91%	-7,202	-22.58%	31,897
Garfield	330	24.41%	973	71.97%	49	3.62%	-643	-47.56%	1,352
Grant	10,806	29.81%	24,326	67.10%	1,121	3.09%	-13,520	-37.29%	36,253
Grays Harbor	17,161	45.41%	19,432	51.42%	1,200	3.18%	-2,271	-6.01%	37,793
Island	29,595	56.43%	20,967	39.98%	1,887	3.60%	8,628	16.45%	52,449
Jefferson	17,459	70.69%	6,324	25.61%	915	3.70%	11,135	45.08%	24,698
King	832,606	73.65%	252,193	22.31%	45,703	4.04%	580,413	51.34%	1,130,502
Kitsap	91,731	58.48%	59,080	37.66%	6,061	3.86%	32,651	20.82%	156,872
Kittitas	10,810	40.79%	14,645	55.27%	1,044	3.94%	-3,835	-14.48%	26,499
Klickitat	5,917	43.48%	7,178	52.75%	512	3.76%	-1,261	-9.27%	13,607
Lewis	14,433	31.83%	29,322	64.67%	1,583	3.49%	-14,889	-32.84%	45,338
Lincoln	1,678	23.49%	5,272	73.80%	194	2.72%	-3,594	-50.31%	7,144
Mason	17,215	46.92%	18,127	49.41%	1,347	3.67%	-912	-2.49%	36,689
Okanogan	8,466	40.84%	11,555	55.74%	711	3.43%	-3,089	-14.90%	20,732
Pacific	6,825	47.91%	7,010	49.21%	409	2.87%	-185	-1.30%	14,244
Pend Oreille	2,461	28.80%	5,826	68.18%	258	3.02%	-3,365	-39.38%	8,545
Pierce	235,169	53.50%	188,194	42.81%	16,218	3.69%	46,975	10.69%	439,581
San Juan	9,539	73.34%	2,890	22.22%	577	4.44%	6,649	51.12%	13,006
Skagit	36,956	52.60%	30,765	43.79%	2,535	3.61%	6,191	8.81%	70,256
Skamania	3,147	42.79%	3,961	53.85%	247	3.36%	-814	-11.06%	7,355
Snohomish	240,099	57.41%	161,371	38.59%	16,751	4.01%	78,728	18.82%	418,221
Spokane	131,163	45.69%	145,338	50.63%	10,581	3.69%	-14,175	-4.94%	287,082
Stevens	7,492	26.52%	19,895	70.43%	859	3.04%	-12,403	-43.91%	28,246
Thurston	95,663	58.14%	62,282	37.85%	6,592	4.01%	33,381	20.29%	164,537
Wahkiakum	1,204	39.32%	1,757	57.38%	101	3.30%	-553	-18.06%	3,062
Walla Walla	13,106	44.32%	15,476	52.34%	986	3.33%	-2,370	-8.02%	29,568
Whatcom	83,295	60.42%	49,213	35.70%	5,360	3.89%	34,082	24.72%	137,868
Whitman	10,480	52.33%	8,699	43.44%	848	4.23%	1,781	8.89%	20,027
Yakima	36,706	41.36%	49,368	55.63%	2,677	3.02%	-12,662	-14.27%	88,751
Totals	2,245,849	57.23%	1,530,923	39.01%	147,471	3.76%	714,926	18.22%	3,924,243

By congressional district

Harris won seven of 10 congressional districts, with the remaining three going to Trump, including one that elected a Democrat.[40]

District	Harris	Trump	Representative
1st	62.15%	33.68%	Suzan DelBene
2nd	59.84%	36.33%	Rick Larsen
3rd	46.67%	49.95%	Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
4th	38.11%	58.66%	Dan Newhouse
5th	42.85%	53.56%	Cathy McMorris Rodgers (118th Congress)
			Michael Baumgartner (119th Congress)
6th	57.72%	38.56%	Derek Kilmer (118th Congress)
			Emily Randall (119th Congress)
7th	85.32%	10.78%	Pramila Jayapal
8th	50.93%	45.20%	Kim Schrier
9th	68.44%	27.49%	Adam Smith
10th	57.04%	39.14%	Marilyn Strickland

See also

• 2024 Washington Initiative 2109 (a ballot initiative in Washington state on the same day)
• United States presidential elections in Washington (state)
• 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2024 United States elections

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. "Another candidate" with 2%
3. "Someone else" with 9%
4. "Someone else" with 13%
5. "Someone else" with 22%; "I would not vote" with 1%
6. "Someone else" with 11%; "I would not vote" with 2%
7. "Someone else" with 10%
8. "Someone else" with 12%

Partisan clients

1. This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute
2. Poll sponsored by KOMO-TV
3. Poll sponsored by The Seattle Times, KING-TV, & University of Washington Information School
4. Poll sponsored by Crosscut.com
5. Poll sponsored by The Independent Center
6. Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
7. Poll sponsored by Concerned Taxpayers of Washington State PAC

References

1. "November 5, 2024 General Election - Voter Turnout".
2. Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
3. Smith, Helen (November 6, 2024). "Clallam County voted for losing presidential candidate for first time in 40 years". KING-TV.
4. "Washington Presidential Primary". The AP. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
5. "March 12, 2024 Presidential Primary Results". Washington Secretary of State. March 23, 2024. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
6. Ortiz, Erik (October 28, 2024). "Ballot drop boxes set on fire in Portland, Ore., and Vancouver, Wash". NBC News. Retrieved October 28, 2024.
7. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
8. "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
9. "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
10. "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
11. "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
12. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
13. "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved August 29, 2024.
14. Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 13, 2024.
15. "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
16. "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
17. Canseco, Mario (November 4, 2024). "Battleground States Remain Closely Contested in U.S. Race". Research Co.
18. Allis, Victor (October 30, 2024). "Harris Has Large Lead in Washington". ActiVote.
19. Villeneuve, Andrew (October 17, 2024). "Kamala Harris has a fifteen point lead over Donald Trump in Washington and a twelve point lead in Oregon, NPI polls find". Northwest Progressive Institute.
20. "KOMO-S360 STATEWIDE POLL" (PDF). Strategies 360. October 24, 2024.
21. "Evergreen State's 12 Electoral Votes Remain Ever-Blue for 10th Consecutive Election, With Harris Safely Atop Trump, More Trusted on Top Issues". SurveyUSA. October 15, 2024. Retrieved October 16, 2024.
22. Allis, Victor (October 14, 2024). "Harris Has Large Lead in Washington". ActiVote. Retrieved October 14, 2024.
23. Sowersby, Shauna (October 17, 2024). "WA voters are sticking with party lines and paying attention". Crosscut.
24. "2024 Election: 2 months out - An independent nonpartisan analysis of public opinion trends in Washington and the Pacific Northwest" (PDF). Crosscut. September 13, 2024.
25. "DHM Panel Washington July 2024 Toplines" (PDF). DHM Research. July 22, 2024.
26. "Washington State Voters Ready to Give Joe Biden a Second Term by 14-Point Margin; Should Biden Not Run, Kamala Harris Wins WA By 15 Points". SurveyUSA. July 15, 2024.
27. Villeneuve, Andrew (July 26, 2024). "Vice President Kamala Harris enjoys a fourteen point lead over Donald Trump among likely Washington Top Two voters". Northwest Progressive Institute.
28. Villeneuve, Andrew (May 20, 2024). "Joe Biden's 2024 lead over Donald Trump in Washington State remains at sixteen points, with slightly fewer voters undecided". Northwest Progressive Institute.
29. "Independent Center 2024 Pacific State Survey Toplines" (PDF). The Independent Center. April 23, 2024. Archived from the original (PDF) on May 10, 2024.
30. "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
31. "Concerned Tax Payers of WA State March 2024 WA State Survey Deck". Google Docs. March 21, 2024.
32. Villeneuve, Andrew (February 17, 2024). "Joe Biden's 2024 lead over Donald Trump in Washington State rebounds to sixteen points". Northwest Progressive Institute.
33. Villeneuve, Andrew (November 17, 2023). "Joe Biden has a fourteen point, eleven month out lead over Donald Trump in Washington". Northwest Progressive Institute.
34. "Crosscut/Elway Poll - 2024 National Election Preview" (PDF). Crosscut. November 23, 2023.
35. Villeneuve, Andrew (June 12, 2023). "Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in Washington by seventeen points, Ron DeSantis by twelve". Northwest Progressive Institute.
36. "Washington 2022: Democratic Sen. Patty Murray Holds 9-Point Lead in Re-election Bid Against Republican Tiffany Smiley". Emerson College Polling. October 4, 2024.
37. Jordan, John; Morris, Dick (August 17, 2022). "Washington U.S. Senate Survey" (PDF). McLaughlin & Associates.
38. Blankinship, Donna Gordon (May 24, 2024). "Poll: Almost half of WA voters are undecided on governor's race". Crosscut.
39. "Official Canvass of the Returns" (PDF). Secretary of State of Washington. Retrieved December 4, 2024.
40. Results (PDF). sos.wa.gov (Report).