2024 United States presidential election in Illinois
2024 United States presidential election in Illinois
The 2024 United States presidential election in Illinois is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Illinois voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Illinois has 19 electoral votes in the Electoral College this election, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.[1]
Illinois is a strongly blue state in the Great Lakes region anchored by Chicago , with the southern region of the state being culturally influenced by the Upper South and Bible Belt . The state has voted for the Democratic candidate in every presidential election beginning in 1992 (doing so by at least 10% each time), including voting for Senator Barack Obama from Illinois in 2008 and 2012 and Chicago-born Hillary Clinton in 2016 . This will also be the first election since 1868 in which Illinois will not have 20 or more electoral votes.
Primary elections
Democratic primary
The Illinois Democratic primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona , Florida ,[a] Kansas and Ohio primaries.
Republican primary
The Illinois Republican primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona , Florida , and Ohio .
General election
Predictions
Polling
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[b]
Margin of error
Joe BidenDemocratic
Ron DeSantisRepublican
Other / Undecided
Cor Stratagies[13]
August 24–27, 2023
811 (RV)
–
53%
35%
12%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[b]
Margin of error
Joe BidenDemocratic
Donald TrumpRepublican
Other / Undecided
Emerson College
October 1–4, 2023
468 (RV)
± 4.5%
43%
34%
23%
Cor Stratagies[13]
August 24–27, 2023
811 (RV)
–
55%
35%
10%
Emerson College
October 20–24, 2022
1,000 (LV)
± 3.0%
49%
37%
14%
Public Policy Polling
October 10–11, 2022
770 (LV)
± 3.5%
51%
42%
7%
Emerson College
September 21–23, 2022
1,000 (LV)
± 3.0%
51%
38%
11%
J. B. Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[b]
Margin of error
J. B. PritzkerDemocratic
Donald TrumpRepublican
Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling
October 10–11, 2022
770 (LV)
± 3.5%
51%
42%
7%
See also
Notes
^ The state party only nominated Joe Biden as a candidate, cancelling the primary.
^ a b c Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
References
^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats" . NPR . Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021 .
^ "Illinois Presidential Primary" . AP News . June 14, 2024. Retrieved July 30, 2024 .
^ "Illinois Presidential Primary" . The AP. Retrieved April 5, 2024 .
^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings" . cookpolitical.com . Cook Political Report . December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024 .
^ "Presidential Ratings" . insideelections.com . Inside Elections . April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024 .
^ "2024 Electoral College ratings" . centerforpolitics.org . University of Virginia Center for Politics . June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024 .
^ "2024 presidential predictions" . elections2024.thehill.com/ . The Hill . December 14, 2023. Retrieved June 14, 2024 .
^ "2024 Presidential Forecast" . projects.cnalysis.com/ . CNalysis . December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024 .
^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270" . CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024 .
^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model" . The Economist . Retrieved July 19, 2024 .
^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast" . FiveThirtyEight . Retrieved June 11, 2024 .
^ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map" . RealClearPolitics . June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024 .
^ a b Illinoisans Share Who They Support for President (Republican & Democrat Poll) , retrieved September 2, 2023
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