Opinion polling for the 2017 French legislative election

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2017 French legislative elections, which were held in two rounds on 11 and 18 June 2017.

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

Graphical summary

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the nine major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

No total for Europe Ecology – The Greens (EELV) was provided by the Ministry of the Interior in the 2017 legislative elections. According to statistics compiled by Laurent de Boissieu, 454 EELV candidates collected 3.41% of the vote in the first round.[1]

First round

The comparison for the French Communist Party and La France Insoumise with 2012 is made against the Left Front. Before their unification under the umbrella of the Union of Democrats and Independents, the New Centre, Radical Party, and Centrist Alliance were counted individually in 2012, and are included in the miscellaneous right total for that year, which would otherwise be 3.51%.

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	EXG	PCF	FI	ECO	EELV	PS	PRG	DVG	LREM	MoDem	UDI	LR	DVD	UPR	DLF	FN	EXD	REG	DIV
2017 election	11 Jun 2017	–	51.30%	0.77%	2.72%	11.03%	4.30%		7.44%	0.47%	1.60%	28.21%	4.12%	3.03%	15.77%	2.76%	(DIV)	1.17%	13.20%	0.30%	0.90%	2.21%
Ipsos	7–8 Jun 2017	1,112	40%	1%	2%	11.5%	–	3%	8%			31.5%		22%			–	1.5%	17%	–	–	2.5%
Harris Interactive	6–8 Jun 2017	931	–	1%	3%	12%	3%		7%		1%	30%		19%		2%	–	1%	17%	1%	3%
OpinionWay	6–8 Jun 2017	3,080	46%	1%	3%	12%	3%		7%		1%	30%		21%		2%	–	–	18%	–	–	2%
Ifop-Fiducial	6–8 Jun 2017	1,003	39%	0.5%	3%	11%	–	3.5%	8%		1%	30%		20%		2%	–	1.5%	18%	–	–	1.5%
Elabe	5–8 Jun 2017	1,918	51%	0.5%	2%	11%	–	3%	9%			29%		23%			–	2%	17%	–	–	3.5%
BVA	2–5 Jun 2017	4,772	41%	1%	2%	12.5%	–	3%	8%		1%	30%		20%		1.5%	–	2%	18%	–	–	1%
Ipsos	2–4 Jun 2017	1,126	40%	1%	2%	12.5%	–	2.5%	8.5%			29.5%		23%			–	1.5%	17%	–	–	2.5%
Odoxa	31 May–1 Jun 2017	697	48%	1%	3%	11%	–	3%	8%		–	33%		19%		–	–	2.5%	18%	–	–	1.5%
Harris Interactive	30 May–1 Jun 2017	885	–	2%	2%	11%	3%		8%		1%	31%		18%		2%	–	2%	18%	<0.5%	2%
OpinionWay	30 May–1 Jun 2017	1,940	45%	1%	3%	13%	2%		9%		1%	29%		20%		2%	–	–	18%	–	–	2%
Ifop	29–31 May 2017	2,802	38%	0.5%	2.5%	12%	–	3%	7.5%		1%	31%		19%		1.5%	–	2%	18%	–	–	2%
Ipsos	27–30 May 2017	8,778	39%	0.5%	2%	11.5%	–	3%	8.5%			31%		22%			–	2%	18%	–	–	1.5%
Ipsos	26–28 May 2017	1,127	–	0.5%	2%	11.5%	–	3%	9%			29.5%		22%			–	2.5%	18%	–	–	2%
Kantar Sofres	24–28 May 2017	2,022	37%	1%	2%	12%	–	3.5%	8%		1%	31%		18%		1.5%	0.5%	2.5%	17%	–	–	2%
Harris Interactive	23–26 May 2017	905	–	2%	2%	14%	–	3%	7%		–	31%		18%		–	–	3%	19%	–	–	1%
OpinionWay	23–24 May 2017	2,103	–	1%	2%	15%	–	10%			–	28%		20%		2%	–	–	19%	–	–	3%
Elabe	23–24 May 2017	1,011	49%	0.5%	2%	12%	–	2.5%	6.5%		–	33%		20%		–	–	1.5%	19%	–	–	3%
Ifop-Fiducial	18–19 May 2017	950	–	0.5%	1.5%	15%	–	2.5%	7%		–	31%		19%		–	–	2.5%	18%	–	–	3%
Harris Interactive	16–18 May 2017	940	–	1%	2%	16%	–	3%	6%		–	32%		18%		–	–	3%	19%	–	–	–
OpinionWay	16–18 May 2017	1,997	–	1%	2%	14%	–	11%			–	27%		20%		2%	–	–	20%	–	–	3%
Harris Interactive	15–17 May 2017	4,598	–	1%	2%	15%	–	3%	6%		–	32%		19%		–	–	3%	19%	–	–	–
Harris Interactive	9–11 May 2017	941	–	2%	2%	14%	–	3%	7%		–	29%		20%		–	–	3%	20%	–	–	–
Harris Interactive	7 May 2017	2,376	–	1%	2%	13%	–	3%	8%		–	26%		22%		–	–	3%	22%	–	–	–
Kantar Sofres	4–5 May 2017	1,507	–	2%	1%	15%	–	3.5%	9%		–	24%		22%		–	–	2.5%	21%	–	–	–
Ifop-Fiducial	4–5 May 2017	1,405	–	1%	2%	16%	–	3%	9%		–	22%		2.5%	20%	–	–	1.5%	20%	–	–	3%
OpinionWay	24 Apr–1 May 2017	5,032	–	1%	10%		–	13%			–	26%		24%		3%	–	–	19%	–	–	4%
2012 election	10 Jun 2012	–	42.78%	0.98%	6.91% (FG)		0.96%	5.46%	29.35%	1.65%	3.40%	–	1.77%	–	27.12%	7.54%	–	(DVD)	13.60%	0.19%	0.56%	0.52%

Second round seat projections

Projections marked with an asterisk (*) were constructed for 535 out of 577 constituencies, including only metropolitan France only and excluding Corsica as well as overseas territories and residents.[2]

The comparison for the French Communist Party and La France Insoumise with 2012 is made against the Left Front. Before their unification under the umbrella of the Union of Democrats and Independents, the New Centre, Radical Party, and Centrist Alliance were counted individually in 2012, and are included in the miscellaneous right total for that year, which would otherwise be 15.

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	PCF	FI	PS	PRG	DVG	EELV	LREM	MoDem	UDI	LR	DVD	DLF	FN	EXD	REG	DIV
2017 election	18 Jun 2017	–	57.36%	10	17	30	3	12	1	308	42	18	112	6	1	8	1	5	3
Odoxa	14–15 Jun 2017	948	53%	8–17		25–35				430–460		70–95			–	1–6	–	–	3–7
Harris Interactive	13–15 Jun 2017	914	–	14–25		22–35				440–470		60–80			–	1–6		–	3–7
OpinionWay	13–15 Jun 2017	2,901	54%	5–15		20–30				440–470		70–90			–	1–5	–	–	3–10
Ipsos	7–8 Jun 2017	1,112	–	11–21		22–32				397–427		95–115			–	5–15	–	–	5–10
Harris Interactive	6–8 Jun 2017	931	–	15–25		20–30				360–390		125–140			–	8–18		–	7–9
OpinionWay	6–8 Jun 2017	3,080	–	12–22		15–25				370–400		120–150			–	8–18	–	–	5–10
Ipsos	2–4 Jun 2017	1,126	–	12–22		25–35				385–415		105–125			–	5–15	–	–	3–7
Odoxa	31 May–1 Jun 2017	697	–	15–25		25–35				350–390		120–160			–	5–15	–	–	5–10
Harris Interactive	30 May–1 Jun 2017	885	–	15–25		30–44				330–360		135–150			–	8–22		–	7–9
OpinionWay	30 May–1 Jun 2017	1,940	–	24–31		20–35				335–355		145–165			–	7–17	–	–	5–10
Ifop-Fiducial	29–31 May 2017	2,802	–	15–25		20–35				350–380		133–153			–	9–16	–	–	8–12
Ipsos	27–30 May 2017	8,778	–	10–20		25–35				395–425		95–115			–	5–15	–	–	5–10
Kantar Sofres	24–28 May 2017	2,022	–	20–30		40–50				320–350		140–155			–	10–15		–	5–10
OpinionWay*	23–24 May 2017	2,103	–	25–30		25–30				310–330		140–160			–	10–15	–	–	–
OpinionWay*	16–18 May 2017	1,997	–	20–25		40–50				280–300		150–170			–	10–15	–	–	–
OpinionWay*	24 Apr–1 May 2017	5,032	–	6–8		28–43				249–286		200–210			–	15–25	–	–	–
2012 election	17 Jun 2012	–	44.60%	10 (FG)		280	12	22	17	–	2	–	194	35	(DVD)	2	1	2	0

By second round configuration

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Left	LREM	Right	FN
OpinionWay	13–15 Jun 2017	2,901	41%	59%	–	–
			–	58%	42%	–
			–	60%	–	40%

By first round vote

In each case, results were based on interviews in which respondents were presented with a list of candidates in their constituency.

LREM/MoDem–LR/UDI/DVD

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	First round vote		LREM/ MoDem	LR/UDI/ DVD	No vote
OpinionWay	13–15 Jun 2017	2,901		FI	33%	8%	59%
				PS	45%	10%	45%
				FN	8%	30%	62%

PS/FI/DVG–LREM/MoDem

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	First round vote		PS/FI/ DVG	LREM/ MoDem	No vote
OpinionWay	13–15 Jun 2017	2,901		LR/UDI	18%	50%	32%
				FN	28%	6%	66%

LREM/MoDem–FN

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	First round vote		LREM/ MoDem	FN	No vote
OpinionWay	13–15 Jun 2017	2,901		FI	27%	11%	62%
				PS	64%	4%	32%
				LR/UDI	35%	32%	33%

By constituency

First round

Bouches-du-Rhône's 4th

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Jean-Luc Mélenchon FI	Patrick Mennucci PS–EELV	Corinne Versini LREM	Solange Biaggi LR–UDI	Jeanne Marti FN	Others
2017 election	11 Jun 2017	–	57.86%	34.31%	12.43%	22.66%	10.63%	10.92%	9.07%
Harris Interactive	17–18 May 2017	616	–	35%	13%	26%	9%	12%	5%
Ifop-Fiducial	17–18 May 2017	602	–	38%	13%	24%	10%	12%	3%

Charente-Maritime's 1st

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Cédric Ruffié FI	Jean-Marc Soubeste EELV	Olivier Falorni DVG	Otilia Ferreira MoDem–LREM	Bruno Léal LR	Jean-Marc de Lacoste-Lareymondie FN	Others
2017 election	11 Jun 2017	–	48.84%	10.92%	3.91%	36.54%	26.99%	9.83%	7.03%	4.79%
Ifop-Fiducial	2–6 Jun 2017	685	–	15%	3%	34%	25%	12%	8%	3%

Eure's 1st

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Michaël Després FI	Bruno Le Maire LREM	Coumba Dioukhané LR	Fabienne Delacour FN	Others
2017 election	11 Jun 2017	–	52.01%	11.43%	44.46%	6.16%	22.09%	15.86%
Ifop-Fiducial	22–24 May 2017	603	–	16%	48%	7%	20%	9%

Gard's 2nd

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Danielle Floutier FI	Béatrice Leccia EELV	Marie Sara MoDem–LREM	Pascale Mourrut LR	Gilbert Collard FN	Others
2017 election	11 Jun 2017	–	50.24%	13.07%	2.99%	32.16%	14.22%	32.27%	5.30%
Ifop-Fiducial	30–31 May 2017	600	–	14%	3%	31%	17.5%	32%	2.5%

Gironde's 2nd

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Servane Crussière PCF	Aude Darchy FI	Michèle Delaunay PS	Pierre Hurmic EELV	Catherine Fabre LREM	Anne Walryck LR–UDI	Guillaume Boraud DVD	Julie Rechagneux FN	Others
2017 election	11 Jun 2017	–	48.92%	1.90%	13.28%	10.69%	8.04%	39.78%	15.79%	1.22%	3.76%	5.54%
Ifop-Fiducial	5–7 Jun 2017	691	–	2%	17%	14%	5.5%	35%	15%	1.5%	5%	5%

Landes's 1st

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Céline Piot FI	Renaud Lagrave PS	Geneviève Darrieussecq MoDem–LREM	Marie-Françoise Nadau LR–UDI	Christophe Bardin FN	Others
2017 election	11 Jun 2017	–	45.72%	12.04%	13.46%	43.34%	11.60%	11.48%	8.07%
Ifop-Fiducial	1–5 Jun 2017	687	–	13%	12%	43%	10%	12%	10%

Pas-de-Calais's 11th

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Hervé Poly PCF	Jean-Pierre Carpentier FI	Philippe Kemel PS	Marine Tondelier EELV	Anne Roquet LREM	Alexandrine Pintus LR–UDI	Marine Le Pen FN	Others
2017 election	11 Jun 2017	–	53.33%	5.00%	9.97%	10.83%	3.55%	16.43%	4.18%	46.02%	4.01%
Ifop-Fiducial	1–3 Jun 2017	601	–	4%	13.5%	14.5%	2.5%	15.5%	4%	44%	2%

Pyrénées-Atlantiques's 4th

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Robert Bareille PCF	Didier Bayens FI	Bernard Uthurry PS	Véronique Zenoni EELV	Loïc Corrégé LREM	Jean Lassalle Résistons!	Laurent Inchauspé UDI	Marc Oxibar LR	Gilles Hustaix FN	Anita Lopepe EH Bai	Others
2017 election	11 Jun 2017	–	41.47%	3.35%	7.67%	12.63%	2.69%	25.41%	17.71%	5.42%	9.66%	4.28%	8.51%	2.68%
Ifop-Fiducial	29 May–2 Jun 2017	689	–	4.5%	9%	16%	1.5%	24.5%	16%	3.5%	11.5%	5%	7%	1.5%

Rhône's 6th

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Laurent Legendre FI	Najat Vallaud-Belkacem PS	Béatrice Vessiller EELV	Bruno Bonnell LREM	Emmanuelle Haziza LR–UDI	Stéphane Poncet FN	Others
2017 election	11 Jun 2017	–	53.24%	14.71%	16.54%	4.75%	36.69%	10.67%	9.03%	7.60%
Ifop-Fiducial	16–18 May 2017	601	–	17%	19%	4%	30%	13%	12%	5%

Paris's 2nd

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Lorraine Questiaux PCF	Anne-Françoise Prunières FI	Marine Rosset PS	Gilles Seignan EELV	Gilles Le Gendre LREM	Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet LR–UDI	Henri Guaino DVD	Jean-Pierre Lecoq DVD	Pauline Betton PCD	Manon Bouquin FN	Others
2017 election	11 Jun 2017	–	37.91%	1.35%	5.96%	6.11%	4.72%	41.81%	18.13%	4.51%	9.17%	1.26%	2.31%	4.66%
Ifop-Fiducial	29–31 May 2017	552	–	1%	7.5%	7%	3%	42%	24%	3%	7%	1%	3%	1.5%

Essonne's 1st

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Michel Nouaille PCF–EELV	Farida Amrani FI	Manuel Valls DVG	Alban Bakary DVD	Caroline Varin LR–UDI	Jean-Luc Raymond DVD	David Soullard DLF	Danielle Oger FN	Dieudonné M'bala M'bala SE	Others
2017 election	11 Jun 2017	–	59.89%	7.58%	17.61%	25.45%	7.83%	11.93%	6.89%	2.40%	10.20%	3.84%	6.27%
Ifop-Fiducial	22–23 May 2017	605	–	6.5%	26%	30%	2.5%	12%	0.5%	3%	12%	3%	4.5%

Hauts-de-Seine's 9th

The campaign of Marie-Laure Godin commissioned and released a PollingVox survey in this constituency, after which the campaign of Thierry Solère published an Ifop poll contradicting its findings.[3]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Fabienne Gambiez PRG–UDE–PS	Aminata Niakate EELV	Thierry Solère LR–UDI	Marie-Laure Godin DVD	Nina Smarandi FN	Others
2017 election	11 Jun 2017	–	46.66%	6.37%	5.01%	42.60%	31.38%	3.21%	11.43%
Ifop	2–3 Jun 2017	597	–	8%	4.5%	44%	29%	4%	10.5%
PollingVox	24–31 May 2017	564	–	–	7%	32%	42%	9%	–

Second round

Bouches-du-Rhône's 4th

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Jean-Luc Mélenchon FI	Patrick Mennucci PS–EELV	Corinne Versini LREM
2017 election	18 Jun 2017	–	64.22%	59.85%	–	40.15%
Harris Interactive	17–18 May 2017	616	–	56%	–	44%
Ifop-Fiducial	17–18 May 2017	602	–	53%	–	47%
				61%	39%	–

Charente-Maritime's 1st

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Cédric Ruffié FI	Olivier Falorni DVG	Otilia Ferreira MoDem–LREM
2017 election	18 Jun 2017	–	56.58%	–	69.02%	30.98%
Ifop-Fiducial	2–6 Jun 2017	685	–	–	55%	45%
				20%	41%	39%

Eure's 1st

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Bruno Le Maire LREM	Fabienne Delacour FN
2017 election	18 Jun 2017	–	57.74%	64.53%	35.47%
Ifop-Fiducial	22–24 May 2017	603	–	76%	24%

Gard's 2nd

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Marie Sara MoDem–LREM	Pascale Mourrut LR	Gilbert Collard FN
2017 election	18 Jun 2017	–	51.79%	49.84%	–	50.16%
Ifop-Fiducial	30–31 May 2017	600	–	56%	–	44%
				41%	22%	37%

Landes's 3rd

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Boris Vallaud PS	Jean-Pierre Steiner LREM
2017 election	18 Jun 2017	–	46.78%	50.75%	49.25%
Ifop-Fiducial	13–14 Jun 2017	651	–	46%	54%

Pyrénées-Atlantiques's 4th

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Bernard Uthurry PS	Loïc Corrégé LREM	Jean Lassalle Résistons!
2017 election	18 Jun 2017	–	46.63%	–	47.21%	52.79%
Ifop-Fiducial	29 May–2 Jun 2017	689	–	31%	35%	34%

Rhône's 6th

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Laurent Legendre FI	Najat Vallaud-Belkacem PS	Bruno Bonnell LREM
2017 election	18 Jun 2017	–	59.58%	–	39.82%	60.18%
Ifop-Fiducial	16–18 May 2017	601	–	–	40%	60%
				38%	–	62%

Paris's 2nd

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Gilles Le Gendre LREM	Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet LR–UDI
2017 election	18 Jun 2017	–	48.47%	54.53%	45.47%
Ifop-Fiducial	29–31 May 2017	552	–	68%	32%

Essonne's 1st

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Farida Amrani FI	Manuel Valls DVG
2017 election	18 Jun 2017	–	63.45%	49.70%	50.30%
Ifop-Fiducial	22–23 May 2017	605	–	50%	50%

Hauts-de-Seine's 9th

The campaign of Marie-Laure Godin commissioned and released a PollingVox survey in this constituency, after which the campaign of Thierry Solère published an Ifop poll contradicting its findings.[3]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Thierry Solère LR–UDI	Marie-Laure Godin DVD
2017 election	18 Jun 2017	–	55.62%	56.53%	43.47%
PollingVox	24–31 May 2017	564	–	43%	57%

Pre-2017 polling

First round

Before their unification under the umbrella of the Union of Democrats and Independents, the New Centre, Radical Party, and Centrist Alliance were counted individually in 2012, and are included in the miscellaneous right total for that year, which would otherwise be 3.51%. The total for miscellaneous candidates in 2012 also includes regionalist, ecologist, and far-right candidates who were not counted separately in the CSA poll, and would otherwise be 0.52%.

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	EXG	FG	MRC	PS	PRG	DVG	EELV	MoDem	UDI	UMP	DVD	DLF	FN	DIV
CSA	18–20 Nov 2014	955	–	1%	8%	18%				7%	12%		24%		1%	23%	6%
2012 election	10 Jun 2012	–	42.78%	0.98%	6.91%	(DVG)	29.35%	1.65%	3.40%	5.46%	1.77%	–	27.12%	7.54%	(DVD)	13.60%	2.23%

Second round seat projections

Before their unification under the umbrella of the Union of Democrats and Independents, the New Centre, Radical Party, and Centrist Alliance were counted individually in 2012, and are included in the miscellaneous right total for that year, which would otherwise be 15. The total for miscellaneous candidates in 2012 also includes regionalist and far-right candidates who were not counted separately in the CSA poll, and would otherwise be 0.

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	FG	MRC	PS	PRG	DVG	EELV	MoDem	UDI	UMP	DVD	DLF	FN	DIV
CSA	18–20 Nov 2014	955	–	56–66						485–505					14–24	1–3
2012 election	17 Jun 2012	–	44.60%	10	(DVG)	280	12	22	17	2	–	194	35	(DVD)	2	3

See also

• Opinion polling for the French presidential election, 2017
• Opinion polling for the French legislative election, 2012
• Opinion polling for the French legislative election, 2007

References

1. Laurent de Boissieu (2 January 2018). "Plaidoyer pour la rationalisation de l'offre électorale". Revue politique et parlementaire. Retrieved 26 February 2018.
2. "Législatives 2017 : " En Marche " vers une majorité ?". OpinionWay. 3 May 2017. Retrieved 26 February 2018.
3. Jean-Baptiste Garat (5 June 2017). "Édouard Philippe en campagne pour Solère, un candidat LR "constructif"". Le Figaro. Retrieved 26 February 2018.

External links

• Notices of the French polling commission (in French)