Elecciones parlamentarias de Noruega de 2025
El 8 de septiembre de 2025 se celebrarán en Noruega elecciones parlamentarias para elegir a los 169 miembros del Storting para el período parlamentario 2025-2029.[ 1]
Sistema electoral
La elección utiliza el sistema de representación proporcional de la lista de partidos en diecinueve circunscripciones de varios miembros, una para cada uno de los condados de Noruega .
El número de miembros que se eligen de cada circunscripción varía entre 4 y 19. Para determinar la distribución de los 169 escaños entre los 19 condados, se utiliza una fórmula de dos niveles, basada en la población y el tamaño geográfico. Cada habitante cuenta un punto, mientras que cada kilómetro cuadrado cuenta 1,8 puntos.
150 de los escaños son asientos regulares de cada distrito. Estos son otorgados sobre la base de los resultados de la elección en cada condado, y no se ven afectados por los resultados en otros condados. Diecinueve de los escaños (uno para cada condado) son los asientos de nivelación que se dan a los partidos que ganan menos asientos que su parte del voto popular nacional les da derecho. Un partido debe ganar el 4% del voto popular para ganar asientos de compensación, pero puede todavía ganar asientos del distrito incluso si no alcanza este umbral.
Cada dos elecciones parlamentarias se realiza una actualización en el número de escaños por circunscripción, según los cambios demográficos que se dan dentro de cada condado en relación con la población total del país. Para esta elección, la mayoría de los condados mantuvo el número de representantes; hubo disminuciones de un escaño en los condados de Buskerud , Oppland y de Møre y Romsdal , mientras que aumentaron dos representantes en Akershus y uno en Oslo .[ 2]
Partidos
Encuestas
Línea de tendencia de regresión local de los resultados de las encuestas desde el 13 de septiembre de 2021 hasta la actualidad.
Encuesta
Fecha
Muestra
R
SV
MDG
Ap
Sp
V
KrF
H
FrP
INP
Otros
Diferencia
Rojo
Azul
Diferencia
Norstat[ 4]
15–19 Oct
992
6.2
11
9.0
17
3.5
2
19.3
36
4.9
9
6.0
11
2.4
1
22.7
42
22.0
40
1.4
0
2.7
0
0.7
6
42.9
75
54.5
94
11.6
6
Respons Analyse[ 5]
10–14 Oct
1,000
4.7
8.3
3.5
20.7
5.3
6.3
3.5
25.7
19.2
1.4
1.4
5.0
42.5
56.1
13.6
Opinion[ 6]
1–7 Oct
1,000
5.6
10.6
2.8
18.0
4.9
5.5
4.3
23.1
22.5
–
2.7
0.6
41.9
55.4
13.5
Verian[ 7]
30 Sep – 4 Oct
1,000
5.8
8.7
3.7
22.2
5.7
4.6
3.1
24.5
17.9
0.5
3.3
2.3
46.1
50.6
4.5
InFact[ 8]
3 Oct
1,051
6.4
6.7
3.7
20.2
6.9
5.0
3.6
20.1
23.3
2.1
1.9
3.1
43.9
54.1
10.2
Norfakta[ 9]
1–2 Oct
1,001
5.3
10.2
3.7
20.3
6.9
5.4
2.5
24.0
16.6
1.6
3.5
3.6
46.4
50.1
3.7
Opinion[ 10]
23–30 Sep
1,000
7.0
8.1
3.5
18.5
5.9
6.0
3.6
23.6
20.3
1.6
1.9
3.3
43.0
55.1
12.1
Norstat[ 11]
17–21 Sep
993
5.0
8.4
4.0
20.2
5.1
4.8
2.5
25.5
19.5
–
4.9
5.3
42.7
52.3
9.6
Respons Analyse[ 12]
4–9 Sep
1,000
5.1
10.6
2.6
21.9
5.0
5.0
2.9
23.6
19.8
1.7
1.8
1.7
45.2
53.0
7.8
Opinion[ 13]
3–9 Sep
1,000
5.8
8.6
2.6
20.2
6.0
5.6
2.0
23.7
20.2
2.8
2.4
3.5
43.2
54.3
11.1
Norfakta[ 14]
3–4 Sep
1,000
5.4
9.5
3.2
20.8
7.5
4.8
3.4
25.1
17.2
0.9
2.2
4.3
46.4
51.4
6.0
InFact[ 15]
3–4 Sep
1,168
5.5
8.2
3.9
21.4
6.1
4.2
3.7
21.0
21.9
2.3
4.1
0.5
45.1
53.1
8.0
Opinion[ 16]
27 Aug – 2 Sep
1,000
6.7
8.8
3.2
21.1
5.9
5.6
2.5
25.4
16.8
1.2
2.5
4.3
45.7
51.5
5.8
Pollofpolls[ 17]
1–31 Ago 2024
–
5.7
10
9.1
17
3.6
2
20.7
41
6.2
11
5.2
9
3.9
3
25.2
46
16.4
30
–
4.2
0
4.5
5
45.3
81
50.8
88
5.5
7
Norfakta[ 18]
17 Ago 2024
–
6.0
10.0
–
20.0
6.0
4.0
4.0
27.0
15.0
–
–
7.0
36.0
50.0
14.0
Pollofpolls[ 19]
1–31 Jul 2024
–
5.4
10
9.5
17
3.7
3
21.1
41
4.7
8
5.6
10
3.9
3
24.9
44
16.5
33
–
4.7
0
3.8
3
44.5
79
51.0
90
6.5
11
InFact[ 20]
4 Jul 2024
1064
5.4
8.4
3.7
20.4
5.1
5.9
4.2
22.4
20.7
1.7
2.1
1.7
43.0
53.2
10.2
Norfakta[ 21]
2–4 Jul 2024
1002
6.0
9.0
3.7
20.6
4.6
4.9
4.1
27.4
13.0
1.2
5.5
6.8
43.9
49.4
5.5
Pollofpolls[ 22]
1–30 Jun 2024
–
6.6
12
9.7
17
3.4
2
19.7
36
6.3
11
5.9
11
3.5
2
24.2
43
17.2
35
–
3.5
0
4.5
7
45.7
78
50.9
91
5.2
13
Verian[ 23]
24–28 Jun 2024
998
4.9
11.0
3.8
22.4
4.5
5.9
3.5
24.8
15.7
1.5
2.0
2.4
46.6
49.9
3.3
Norstat[ 24]
11–15 Jun 2024
993
6.1
8.6
4.7
22.0
4.5
6.5
2.8
25.0
16.8
–
3.0
3.0
45.9
51.0
5.1
Respons Analyse[ 25]
5–10 Jun 2024
1,000
5.5
8.5
3.0
19.9
7.6
5.9
3.7
26.2
17.5
0.6
1.6
6.3
44.5
53.3
8.8
Opinion[ 26]
4–10 Jun 2024
1,000
5.1
10.8
3.6
19.9
7.2
6.5
3.3
19.8
19.3
–
3.6
0.1
46.6
48.9
2.3
Norfakta[ 27]
4–5 Jun 2024
1,002
8.0
9.9
3.4
18.9
7.5
5.8
3.5
23.4
15.7
1.4
2.5
4.5
47.6
48.4
0.8
InFact[ 28]
4 Jun 2024
1,096
6.0
8.8
3.0
18.9
5.7
5.8
3.9
25.4
17.8
2.5
2.2
6.5
42.4
52.0
9.6
Pollofpolls[ 29]
1–31 de mayo de 2024
–
5.0
8
9.3
16
3.7
2
19.9
40
6.1
10
5.9
10
4.1
7
25.2
44
17.1
32
–
3.8
0
5.3
4
44.1
76
52.4
93
8.3
17
Verian[ 30]
27–31 de mayo de 2024
998
8.9
11.5
2.7
18.6
5.4
4.8
3.7
25.5
15.9
0.8
2.0
6.9
47.1
49.9
2.8
Norstat[ 31]
21–25 de mayo de 2024
–
3.8
9.6
3.3
20.3
6.6
6.4
4.2
23.4
17.3
1.0
4.2
3.1
43.6
51.3
7.7
Norstat[ 32]
14–21 de mayo de 2024
992
5.7
9.3
3.8
19.6
5.2
6.5
4.8
23.6
18.5
–
3.1
4.0
43.6
53.4
9.6
Norfakta[ 33]
7–8 de mayo de 2024
1,001
4.9
10.5
3.3
17.8
6.6
6.6
3.4
26.5
15.4
1.4
2.1
8.7
43.1
51.9
8.8
Respons Analyse[ 34]
2–7 de mayo de 2024
1,000
5.8
8.7
3.6
20.3
7.5
5.3
4.0
25.9
15.1
1.6
2.2
5.6
45.9
50.3
4.4
Opinion[ 35]
30 Abr – 6 de mayo de 2024
1,000
4.6
9.7
3.5
17.3
5.9
5.8
4.4
28.0
17.8
1.5
1.5
10.2
40.9
56.0
15.1
Verian[ 36]
29 Abr – 6 de mayo de 2024
1,049
5.0
10.2
3.1
21.3
5.2
6.8
3.8
24.9
16.5
2.3
1.0
3.6
44.8
52.0
7.2
InFact[ 37]
2 de mayo de 2024
1,070
5.1
8.9
4.4
20.0
6.1
4.4
4.4
23.5
18.8
2.6
2.0
3.5
44.5
51.0
6.5
Pollofpolls[ 38]
1–30 Abr 2024
–
5.5
10
10.0
18
3.6
2
19.5
39
6.2
11
5.5
10
3.8
3
26.4
48
15.2
28
–
4.2
0
5.9
9
44,8
80
51.0
89
6.2
9
Opinion[ 39]
23–29 Abr 2024
1,000
5.0
7.7
4.2
22.6
5.6
5.5
3.5
25.4
17.0
2.1
1.5
2.8
45.1
51.4
6.3
Pollofpolls[ 40]
1–31 Mar 2024
–
5.8
10
9.9
17
4.0
7
18.2
35
6.5
12
5.9
10
3.8
3
26.5
49
14.8
26
–
4.6
0
8.3
14
44.5
81
51.1
88
6.6
7
Respons Analyse[ 41]
6–11 Mar 2024
1,000
5.6
10.2
3.6
17.9
6.1
5.8
4.4
28.5
14.4
2.2
1.3
10.6
43.4
53.1
9.7
Norstat[ 42]
5–9 Mar 2024
997
6.2
10.1
3.5
18.2
6.7
6.1
4.0
27.0
15.2
1.1
2.0
8.8
44.7
52.3
7.6
Pollofpolls[ 43]
1–28 Feb 2024
–
5.2
9
9.9
18
3.6
3
19.0
37
6.2
11
5.8
10
4.0
7
27.7
49
13.8
25
–
4.6
0
8.7
12
44.0
78
51.0
91
7.0
13
Opinion[ 44]
6–12 Feb 2024
1,000
5.2
10.0
3.7
17.8
7.7
5.8
4.2
29.5
13.6
1.3
1.2
11.7
44.4
53.1
8.7
Norstat[ 45]
6–11 Feb 2024
1,000
5.3
9.5
3.6
17.8
6.8
6.6
3.7
26.5
14.3
2.6
3.3
8.7
43.0
51.0
8.0
Pollofpolls[ 46]
1–31 Ene 2024
–
5.2
10
10.6
20
3.4
2
19.3
37
6.8
13
5.9
11
4.0
3
25.8
48
13.1
25
–
6.0
0
6.5
11
45.4
82
48.9
87
6.5
5
Norfakta[ 47]
3–4 Ene 2024
1,003
4.3
10.6
3.5
19.0
6.6
5.9
4.1
25.2
14.2
3.4
3.2
6.2
44.0
49.4
5.4
InFact[ 48]
3 Ene 2024
1,087
5.6
9.1
3.6
18.5
7.8
5.3
4.6
23.5
14.5
6.1
1.5
5.0
44.5
47.9
3.4
Pollofpolls[ 49]
1–31 Dic 2023
–
5.4
10
10.9
21
3.6
2
18.9
36
6.8
13
5.4
10
3.8
3
25.6
49
13.4
25
–
6.3
0
6.7
13
45.7
82
48.3
87
2.6
5
Norstat[ 50]
4–8 Dic 2023
987
6.0
12.0
4.8
17.9
6.5
5.5
3.7
27.3
12.2
2.9
1.2
9.4
43.1
48.7
5.6
Norfakta[ 51]
5–6 Dic 2023
1,005
5.4
10.8
3.7
17.7
5.5
5.9
3.8
25.0
16.0
3.4
2.8
7.3
43.1
50.7
7.6
Pollofpolls[ 52]
1–30 Nov 2023
–
5.2
9
9.9
16
4.1
7
19.3
39
5.7
9
6.2
10
4.1
7
26.3
48
13.0
24
–
6.5
0
7.0
9
44.5
80
49.7
89
5.2
9
Opinion[ 53]
28 Nov – 4 Dic 2023
1,000
4.9
9.9
3.3
19.9
7.4
6.1
3.8
23.9
14.2
3.5
3.2
4.0
45.4
48.0
2.6
Norstat[ 54]
27 Nov – 2 Dic 2023
1,000
4.8
11.4
3.9
18.6
6.1
4.0
4.7
26.3
13.6
4.1
2.5
7.7
44.8
48.6
3.8
Norstat[ 55]
5 Sep 2023
–
5.7
9.3
4.4
18.4
5.5
5.0
3.2
29.1
14.1
1.9
3.4
10.7
43.3
51.4
8.1
Verian[ 56]
23–28 Ago 2023
1,300
5.5
8.4
4.0
18.1
5.4
5.1
3.6
29.9
12.4
4.0
3.6
11.8
41.4
50.9
9.5
Norfakta[ 57]
4–5 Jul 2023
1,004
5.8
8.0
2.8
18.5
6.5
5.7
3.1
30.5
13.8
3.0
2.4
12.0
41.6
53.0
11.4
Norstat[ 58]
12–17 Jun 2023
987
5.1
7.6
3.6
20.1
6.7
4.7
3.9
30.9
11.5
3.2
2.7
10.8
43.1
51.0
7.9
Norstat[ 59]
15–19 de mayo de 2023
1,000
5.3
9.1
3.8
18.4
5.2
4.7
3.4
34.1
11.9
1.6
2.4
15.7
41.8
54.1
12.3
Respons Analyse[ 60]
3–8 de mayo de 2023
1,000
6.3
7.6
3.1
19.5
6.5
4.7
3.9
31.8
14.2
–
2.4
12.3
43.0
54.5
11.5
Opinion[ 61]
3–4 Abr 2023
1,000
6.6
6.8
3.6
16.9
5.8
4.6
3.9
32.2
14.8
–
4.8
15.3
39.6
55.5
15.9
Kantar[ 62]
27–31 Mar 2023
977
6.4
9.9
4.0
18.0
5.6
4.3
3.1
30.6
12.6
1.5
4.1
12.6
43.9
50.6
6.7
Opinion[ 63]
21–27 Feb 2023
1,053
6.9
9.2
3.4
16.0
6.0
3.9
3.4
32.5
13.6
2.1
2.9
16.5
41.5
53.4
11.9
Respons Analyse[ 64]
8–13 Feb 2023
1,000
6.3
9.5
2.3
18.6
5.3
4.8
3.5
32.4
12.8
–
4.5
13.8
42.0
53.5
11.0
Norfakta[ 65]
3–4 Ene 2023
1,006
6.5
9.4
4.2
19.1
4.5
4.0
3.9
31.3
12.5
1.5
3.0
12.2
43.7
51.7
8.0
Norstat[ 66]
27 Dic 2022 – 2 Ene 2023
955
5.4
8.4
4.0
19.4
5.9
5.1
2.6
30.9
11.9
1.2
5.0
11.5
43.1
50.4
7.3
Norstat[ 67]
13–17 Dic 2022
947
7.7
8.8
4.1
14.6
3.8
4.2
3.1
35.6
14.2
[ 68] 3.9
21.0
39.0
57.1
18.1
Ipsos[ 69]
12–14 Dic 2022
889
6.3
9.6
4.1
19.9
6.2
4.6
3.4
29.1
11.8
[ 68] 5.0
14.6
46.1
48.9
2.8
Respons Analyse[ 70]
7–12 Dic 2022
1001
7.2
9.3
2.6
18.2
4.5
3.6
3.7
32.8
13.4
[ 68] 4.7
14.6
41.8
53.4
11.6
Sentio[ 71]
6–10 Dic 2022
1000
7.5
9.3
4.1
17.7
5.9
4.6
2.8
32.8
10.2
[ 68] 5.1
15.1
44.4
50.3
5.9
Norfakta[ 72]
6–7 Dic 2022
1007
7.2
9.5
3.6
16.3
7.1
4.5
3.3
32.8
11.6
[ 68] 4.1
16.5
43.7
52.1
8.4
Opinion[ 73]
29 Nov – 5 Dic 2022
967
6.7
9.5
3.2
18.1
5.4
5.8
3.4
32.7
12.2
[ 68] 2.9
14.6
42.9
54.1
11.2
Kantar[ 74]
28 Nov – 2 Dic 2022
980
7.4
8.9
4.1
19.8
5.1
5.6
2.9
30.9
10.6
[ 68] 4.8
11.1
45.3
50.0
4.7
Norstat[ 75]
22–27 Nov 2022
947
7.3
8.6
3.9
17.1
5.9
4.6
3.4
30.1
12.8
[ 68] 6.1
13.0
42.8
50.9
8.1
Norfakta[ 76]
1–2 Feb 2022
–
8.4
8.5
2.6
23.4
7.2
5.0
3.7
25.8
12.2
[ 68] 3.3
2.4
50.1
46.7
4.4
Norstat[ 77]
25–31 Ene 2022
–
8.3
10.4
3.3
20.0
8.7
3.8
3.6
26.2
12.2
[ 68] 3.5
6.2
50.7
45.8
4.9
Kantar[ 78]
25–31 Ene 2022
–
8.4
9.7
3.0
21.2
9.0
4.8
3.3
25.4
11.4
[ 68] 3.8
4.2
51.3
44.9
6.4
Ipsos[ 79]
24–26 Ene 2022
–
6.1
9.9
4.2
22.4
10.2
3.4
3.3
24.3
12.6
[ 68] 3.6
1.9
52.8
43.6
9.2
Norstat[ 80]
18–24 Ene 2022
969
9.5
8.5
3.5
20.8
8.8
3.7
3.1
27.1
11.2
[ 68] 3.8
6.3
51.0
45.1
5.9
Sentio[ 81]
10–15 Ene 2022
1,000
5.8
9.2
3.8
22.3
9.3
4.1
5.0
25.6
12.0
[ 68] 3.0
3.3
50.4
46.7
3.7
Respons Analyse[ 82]
5–10 Ene 2022
1,000
6.6
9.4
4.3
23.5
9.8
4.4
2.7
25.6
10.6
[ 68] 3.1
2.1
53.5
43.3
10.2
Opinion[ 83]
4–9 Ene 2022
970
7.8
9.7
4.8
18.9
9.4
4.2
2.8
26.6
12.8
[ 68] 2.9
7.7
50.6
46.4
4.2
Kantar[ 84]
3–7 Ene 2022
972
6.2
9.1
4.6
21.7
10.7
5.1
2.9
23.7
11.4
[ 68] 4.8
2.0
52.3
43.1
9.2
Norfakta[ 85]
4–5 Ene 2022
1,001
7.1
8.4
3.6
24.3
9.9
4.4
3.7
24.9
10.9
[ 68] 2.9
0.6
53.3
43.9
9.4
Norstat[ 86]
27 Dic 2021 – 3 Ene 2022
943
6.2
9.4
3.3
21.1
9.8
4.9
3.2
24.7
13.9
[ 68] 3.6
3.6
49.8
46.6
3.2
Norfakta[ 87]
7–8 Dic 2021
1,002
5.1
9.6
3.6
21.7
12.3
5.1
3.5
24.8
11.1
[ 68] 3.2
3.1
52.3
44.5
7.8
Kantar[ 88]
7 Dic 2021
–
4.9
9.8
3.3
23.4
10.7
5.1
3.4
24.6
10.0
[ 68] 4.8
1.2
52.0
43.1
8.9
Norstat[ 89]
23–27 Nov 2021
988
5.0
10.3
3.7
25.0
12.4
3.5
2.6
22.1
12.0
[ 68] 3.3
2.9
56.4
40.2
16.2
Ipsos[ 90]
22–24 Nov 2021
941
5.4
9.3
4.2
24.0
13.4
4.5
2.5
22.3
11.3
[ 68] 3.1
2.7
56.3
40.6
15.7
Norstat[ 91]
16–22 Nov 2021
964
6.5
9.9
3.4
24.3
11.6
4.4
3.4
20.5
13.0
[ 68] 3.1
3.8
55.6
41.3
14.3
Sentio[ 92]
9–14 Nov 2021
1,000
5.1
8.5
4.1
27.3
11.4
5.0
3.9
20.7
11.1
[ 68] 2.9
6.6
56.4
40.7
15.7
Respons Analyse[ 93]
10–15 Nov 2021
1,001
4.8
8.5
4.1
25.5
13.1
5.2
2.8
21.7
11.0
[ 68] 3.3
3.8
56.0
40.7
15.3
Opinion[ 94]
2–8 Nov 2021
962
5.3
8.8
3.0
26.0
13.3
4.8
3.6
20.9
12.0
[ 68] 2.2
5.1
56.4
41.3
15.1
Norfakta[ 95]
2–3 Nov 2021
–
4.6
8.2
4.1
27.9
12.7
4.7
3.3
21.7
10.0
[ 68] 2.8
6.5
57.5
39.7
17.8
Kantar[ 96]
2 Nov 2021
–
5.3
8.6
3.7
26.8
12.0
4.3
3.2
21.4
11.5
[ 68] 3.2
5.4
56.4
40.4
16.0
Ipsos[ 97]
31 Oct 2021
–
4.9
8.3
3.4
25.7
15.0
4.1
4.0
20.7
9.8
[ 68] 4.0
5.0
57.3
38.5
18.8
Norstat[ 98]
26–31 Oct 2021
954
5.9
8.2
4.2
26.8
14.0
4.4
3.0
21.2
9.8
[ 68] 2.5
5.6
59.1
38.4
20.7
Norstat[ 99]
19–24 Oct 2021
953
4.7
8.9
3.2
28.0
13.2
4.7
3.1
21.1
11.0
[ 68] 2.2
6.9
58.0
39.9
18.1
Sentio[ 100]
11–19 Oct 2021
1,000
4.8
8.6
3.9
27.4
12.8
4.6
2.7
21.0
11.0
[ 68] 3.2
6.4
57.5
39.3
18.2
Respons Analyse[ 101]
13–18 Oct 2021
1,001
4.8
9.3
3.7
26.7
12.4
5.4
3.4
21.2
10.3
[ 68] 2.8
5.5
56.9
40.3
16.6
Opinion[ 102]
5–11 Oct 2021
977
5.3
8.5
3.8
25.8
13.1
4.7
3.8
21.5
11.0
[ 68] 2.6
4.3
56.5
41.0
15.5
Norfakta[ 103]
5–6 Oct 2021
1,003
4.7
8.9
3.5
26.0
13.7
4.3
4.1
20.6
11.6
[ 68] 2.6
5.4
56.8
40.6
16.2
Norstat[ 104]
28 Sep – 3 Oct 2021
1,000
4.9
9.0
3.7
25.6
13.1
4.5
3.4
20.5
12.0
[ 68] 3.4
5.1
56.3
40.4
15.9
Kantar[ 105]
27 Sep – 1 Oct 2021
978
5.4
8.3
4.2
27.9
13.2
4.3
3.2
18.9
11.7
[ 68] 2.9
9.0
59.0
38.0
21.0
Norstat[ 106]
21 –25 Sep 2021
959
4.0
8.7
4.4
27.3
12.8
4.3
3.5
20.8
11.2
[ 68] 3.2
6.5
57.2
39.8
17.4
Sentio[ 107]
14 –21 Sep 2021
1,000
5.4
7.5
5.5
28.2
12.0
4.1
3.1
20.0
11.2
[ 68] 2.9
8.2
58.6
38.4
20.2
Elecciones parlamentarias de 2021 13 Sep 2021
–
4.7
7.6
3.9
26.3
13.5
4.6
3.8
20.4
11.6
[ 68] 3.6
5.9
56.0
40.4
15.6
Referencias
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