Opinion polling for the 2018 Brazilian general election
Since the previous elections, various polling companies have published surveys tracking voting intention for the 2018 Brazilian general election . The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order and include parties whose candidates frequently poll above 3% of the vote as well as the incumbent President of Brazil Michel Temer .
Presidential election
First round
Graphical summary
Graph showing 5 poll average trend lines of Brazilian opinion polls from June 2015 to the most recent one. Each line corresponds to a political party. The markers for PT on 18–21 December 2017 and 29–30 January 2018 correspond to the potential candidate Jaques Wagner instead of Fernando Haddad. The markers for MDB on 28 February–3 March 2018 and 27 April–2 May 2018 correspond to the potential candidate Michel Temer instead of Henrique Meirelles. The marker for PSDB on 25–29 May 2017 corresponds to the potential candidate João Doria instead of Geraldo Alckmin.
2018
Polling firm/link
Date(s)
Sample
Haddad PT Gomes PDT Silva REDE Meirelles MDB Dias PODE Alckmin PSDB Amoêdo NOVO Bolsonaro PSL Not
Others
Abst.
7 October
Results
–
29.3%
12.5%
1.0%
1.2%
0.8%
4.8%
2.5%
46.0%
–
1.9%
1.9%
Instituto Veritá
2–5 October 2018
5,208
18.8%
8.4%
1.4%
0.8%
1.0%
4.2%
2.9%
41.5%
_
2.0%
19.0%
CNT/MDA
4–5 October 2018
2,002
24.0%
9.9%
2.2%
1.6%
1.7%
5.8%
2.3%
36.7%
_
1.9%
13.8%
DataPoder360
3–4 October 2018
4,000
25%
15%
2%
3%
4%
7%
2%
30%
5%
7%
Datafolha
3–4 October 2018
19,552
22%
13%
3%
2%
2%
7%
3%
36%
_
2%
10%
XP/Ipespe
3–4 October 2018
2,000
22%
11%
4%
2%
2%
7%
3%
36%
–
1%
12%
Datafolha
3–4 October 2018
10,930
22%
11%
4%
2%
2%
8%
3%
35%
–
2%
11%
RealTime Big Data
3–4 October 2018
10,000
24%
12%
4%
1%
1%
6%
2%
34%
–
1%
15%
Paraná Pesquisas/Crusoé Archived 2018-10-06 at the Wayback Machine
2–4 October 2018
2,080
21.8%
9.4%
3.5%
1.7%
1.4%
7.4%
3.1%
34.9%
–
2.1%
14.7%
Ibope
1–2 October 2018
3,010
22%
11%
3%
2%
1%
7%
2%
36%
–
4%
12%
Ibope
1–2 October 2018
3,010
23%
10%
4%
2%
1%
7%
2%
32%
–
2%
17%
Datafolha
29–30 September 2018
3,240
21%
11%
4%
2%
2%
9%
3%
32%
–
2%
13%
Ibope
29–30 September 2018
3,010
21%
11%
4%
2%
2%
8%
3%
31%
–
1%
17%
FSB Pesquisa
29–30 September 2018
2,000
24%
9%
4%
2%
2%
11%
5%
31%
–
1%
12%
CNT/MDA Archived 2018-09-30 at the Wayback Machine
27–28 September 2018
2,000
25.2%
9.4%
2.6%
2.0%
1.7%
7.3%
2.0%
28.2%
1.6%
20.0%
Datafolha
26–28 September 2018
9,000
22%
11%
5%
2%
2%
10%
3%
28%
–
3%
15%
XP/Ipespe
24–26 September 2018
2,000
21%
11%
5%
2%
2%
8%
3%
28%
–
3%
17%
Paraná Pesquisas/Crusoé
23–25 September 2018
2,020
20.2%
10.1%
4.3%
1.3%
1.9%
7.6%
3.8%
31.2%
–
1.4%
18.2%
Ibope
22–24 September 2018
2,000
21%
12%
6%
2%
2%
8%
3%
27%
–
1%
18%
IstoÉ/Sensus
21–24 September 2018
2,000
24.5%
7.7%
2.7%
1.6%
1.7%
5.6%
1.9%
30.6%
–
1.3%
22.4%
FSB Pesquisa
22–23 September 2018
2,000
23%
10%
5%
3%
2%
8%
3%
33%
–
1%
13%
Ibope
22–23 September 2018
2,506
22%
11%
5%
2%
2%
8%
3%
28%
–
1%
18%
DataPoder360
19–20 September 2018
4,000
22%
14%
4%
3%
3%
6%
1%
26%
–
5%
15%
Datafolha
18–19 September 2018
8,601
16%
13%
7%
2%
3%
9%
3%
28%
–
2%
17%
Genial Investimentos/Brasilis
17–19 September 2018
1,000
17%
7%
6%
3%
4%
7%
5%
30%
–
4%
18%
XP/Ipespe
17–19 September 2018
2,000
16%
11%
6%
2%
3%
7%
3%
28%
–
1%
23%
Ibope
16–18 September 2018
2,506
19%
11%
6%
2%
2%
7%
2%
28%
–
1%
21%
FSB Pesquisa
15–16 September 2018
2,000
16%
14%
5%
2%
2%
6%
4%
33%
–
2%
16%
CNT/MDA
12–15 September 2018
2,002
17.6%
10.8%
4.1%
1.7%
1.9%
6.1%
2.8%
28.2%
–
1.1%
25.7%
Datafolha
13–14 September 2018
2,820
13%
13%
8%
3%
3%
9%
3%
26%
–
3%
19%
XP/Ipespe
10–12 September 2018
2,000
10%
12%
8%
2%
4%
9%
4%
26%
–
2%
23%
Paraná Pesquisas/Crusoé
7–11 September 2018
2,010
8.3%
11.9%
10.6%
2.4%
3.7%
8.7%
3.3%
26.6%
–
2.7%
21.8%
Datafolha
10 September 2018
2,804
9%
13%
11%
3%
3%
10%
3%
24%
–
3%
22%
Ibope
8–10 September 2018
2,002
8%
11%
9%
3%
3%
9%
3%
26%
–
2%
26%
FSB Pesquisa
8–9 September 2018
2,000
8%
12%
8%
3%
3%
8%
3%
30%
–
2%
24%
RealTime Big Data
7–9 September 2018
3,200
7%
11%
11%
2%
4%
9%
3%
25%
–
2%
26%
On 6 September 2018, Jair Bolsonaro was stabbed while he was campaigning in Juiz de Fora, Minas Gerais.
XP/Ipespe
3–5 September 2018
2,000
8%
11%
11%
1%
4%
9%
4%
23%
2%
27%
Ibope
1–3 September 2018
2,002
6%
12%
12%
2%
3%
9%
3%
22%
–
3%
28%
FSB Pesquisa
1–2 September 2018
2,000
6%
12%
11%
1%
3%
8%
4%
26%
–
2%
28%
Polling firm/link
Date(s)
Sample
PT
PDT
PSB
REDE
MDB
PODE
PSDB
NOVO
PSL
Not
Others
Abst.
On 31 August 2018, the Superior Electoral Court votes to officially reject Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's candidacy. [ 1]
XP/Ipespe
27–29 August 2018
1,000
6%(Haddad )
10%(Gomes )
–
13% (Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
9%(Alckmin )
4%(Amoedo )
23% –
6%
27%
13% (Haddad , supported by Lula )
10%(Gomes )
–
10%(Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
4%(Amoedo )
21% Bolsonaro )–
6%
28%
33% Lula )cannot run in election
8%(Gomes )
–
7%(Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
3%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
4%(Amoedo )
21% Bolsonaro )–
5%
15%
DataPoder360
24–27 August 2018
5,500
30% Lula )cannot run in election
7%(Gomes )
6%(Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
3%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
1%(Amoedo )
21% Bolsonaro )–
7%
18%
FSB Pesquisa
25–26 August 2018
2,000
5%(Haddad )
8%(Gomes )
–
15% (Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
3%(Dias )
9%(Alckmin )
4%(Amoedo )
24% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
28%
35% (Lula ) cannot run in election
5%(Gomes )
–
9%(Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
2%(Dias )
6%(Alckmin )
4%(Amoedo )
22% (Bolsonaro )
–
2%
15%
XP/Ipespe
20–22 August 2018
1,000
6%(Haddad )
8%(Gomes )
–
12% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
2%(Amoedo )
23% Bolsonaro )–
5%
30%
13% (Haddad , supported by Lula )
8%(Gomes )
–
9%(Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
1%(Amoedo )
20% Bolsonaro )–
4%
31%
32% Lula )cannot run in election
7%(Gomes )
–
7%(Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
2%(Amoedo )
20% Bolsonaro )–
3%
18%
Datafolha
20–21 August 2018
8,433
4%(Haddad )
10%(Gomes )
–
16% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
9%(Alckmin )
2%(Amoedo)
22% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
28%
39% (Lula ) cannot run in election
5%(Gomes )
–
8%(Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
3%(Dias )
6%(Alckmin )
2%(Amoedo )
19% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
14%
Ibope
17–19 August 2018
2,002
4%(Haddad )
9%(Gomes )
–
12% (Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
3%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
1%(Amoedo )
20% (Bolsonaro )
–
6%
38%
37% (Lula ) cannot run in election
5%(Gomes )
–
6%(Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
3%(Dias )
5%(Alckmin )
1%(Amoedo )
18% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
22%
CNT/MDA
15–18 August 2018
2,002
37.7% (Lula ) cannot run in election
4.1%(Gomes )
–
5.6%(Silva )
0.8%(Meirelles )
2.7%(Dias )
4.9%(Alckmin )
18.8% (Bolsonaro )
–
2.2%
23.1%
Ipespe
13–15 August 2018
1,000
7%(Haddad )
8%(Gomes )
–
11% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
9%(Alckmin )
23% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
31%
15% (Haddad , supported by Lula )
7%(Gomes )
–
9%(Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
6%(Dias )
9%(Alckmin )
21% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
28%
31% (Lula ) cannot run in election
7%(Gomes )
–
8%(Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
9%(Alckmin )
20% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
16%
Paraná Pesquisas
9–13 August 2018
2,002
3.8%(Haddad )
10.2%(Gomes )
–
13.2% (Silva )
0.9%(Meirelles )
4.9%(Dias )
8.5%(Alckmin )
23.9% (Bolsonaro )
–
4.9%
29.9%
30.8% (Lula ) cannot run in election
5.9%(Gomes )
–
8.1%(Silva )
0.7%(Meirelles )
4.0%(Dias )
6.6%(Alckmin )
22.0% (Bolsonaro )
–
3.2%
18.9%
Ipespe
6–8 August 2018
1,000
3%(Haddad )
8%(Gomes )
–
12% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
10%(Alckmin )
23% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
34%
13% (Haddad , supported by Lula )
7%(Gomes )
–
10%(Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
9%(Alckmin )
21% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
30%
31% (Lula ) cannot run in election
6%(Gomes )
–
8%(Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
9%(Alckmin )
19% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
17%
–
9%(Gomes )
–
12% (Silva )
3%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
10%(Alckmin )
23% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
34%
Ipespe
30 July–1 August 2018
1,000
2%(Haddad )
10%(Gomes )
–
11% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
10%(Alckmin )
22% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
34%
13% (Haddad , supported by Lula )
8%(Gomes )
–
9%(Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
9%(Alckmin )
20% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
31%
31% (Lula ) cannot run in election
7%(Gomes )
–
8%(Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
9%(Alckmin )
19% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
18%
–
10%(Gomes )
–
11% (Silva )
3%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
10%(Alckmin )
22% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
35%
Paraná Pesquisas
25–30 July 2018
2,240
2.8%(Haddad )
10.7%(Gomes )
–
14.4% (Silva )
1.1%(Meirelles )
5.0%(Dias )
7.8%(Alckmin )
23.6% (Bolsonaro )
–
5.3%
29.4%
29.0% (Lula ) cannot run in election
6.0%(Gomes )
–
9.2%(Silva )
0.8%(Meirelles )
4.2%(Dias )
6.2%(Alckmin )
21.8% (Bolsonaro )
–
3.6%
19.2%
2.8%(Wagner )
10.8%(Gomes )
–
14.3% (Silva )
1.2%(Meirelles )
4.9%(Dias )
7.9%(Alckmin )
23.5% (Bolsonaro )
–
5.9%
28.9%
DataPoder360
25–28 July 2018
3,000
5%(Haddad )
13% (Gomes )
–
6%(Silva )
–
4%(Dias )
9%(Alckmin )
20% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
43%
Ipespe Archived 2018-07-27 at the Wayback Machine
23–25 July 2018
1,000
2%(Haddad )
10%(Gomes )
–
13% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
10%(Alckmin )
23% (Bolsonaro )
–
2%
30%
12% (Haddad , supported by Lula )
9%(Gomes )
–
10%(Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
9%(Alckmin )
22% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
29%
30% (Lula ) cannot run in election
8%(Gomes )
–
8%(Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
9%(Alckmin )
20% (Bolsonaro )
–
2%
17%
–
10%(Gomes )
–
12% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
10%(Alckmin )
23% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
34%
Ideia Big Data
20–23 July 2018
2,036
3%(Haddad )
8%(Gomes )
–
13% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
19% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
39%
29% (Lula ) cannot run in election
7%(Gomes )
–
10%(Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
17% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
20%
3%(Wagner )
8%(Gomes )
–
14% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
19% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
37%
9%(some candidate supported by Lula )
7%(Gomes )
–
11% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
6%(Alckmin )
19% (Bolsonaro )
–
5%
37%
Vox Populi
18–20 July 2018
2,000
41% (Lula ) cannot run in election
5%(Gomes )
–
4%(Silva )
0%(Meirelles )
1%(Dias )
4%(Alckmin )
12% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
30%
44% (Lula ) cannot run in election
4%(Gomes )
–
5%(Silva )
–
–
4%(Alckmin )
14% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
28%
Ipespe Archived 2018-07-21 at the Wayback Machine
16–18 July 2018
1,000
2%(Haddad )
10%(Gomes )
–
12% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
23% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
33%
13% (Haddad , supported by Lula )
8%(Gomes )
–
10%(Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
21% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
31%
29% (Lula ) cannot run in election
7%(Gomes )
–
8%(Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
20% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
19%
–
10%(Gomes )
–
12% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
9%(Alckmin )
23% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
36%
Ipespe Archived 2018-07-13 at the Wayback Machine
9–11 July 2018
1,000
2%(Haddad )
9%(Gomes )
–
14% (Silva )
3%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
24% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
31%
12% (Haddad , supported by Lula )
8%(Gomes )
–
11%(Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
21% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
31%
30% (Lula ) cannot run in election
7%(Gomes )
–
10%(Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
20% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
15%
–
9%(Gomes )
–
13% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
23% (Bolsonaro )
–
5%
35%
Ipespe
2–4 July 2018
1,000
2%(Haddad )
10%(Gomes )
–
13% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
23% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
33%
11%(Haddad , supported by Lula )
8%(Gomes )
–
11%(Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
21% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
29%
28% (Lula ) cannot run in election
7%(Gomes )
–
9%(Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
20% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
19%
–
10%(Gomes )
–
12% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
23% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
35%
DataPoder360
25–29 June 2018
5,500
5%(Haddad )
12% (Gomes )
–
7%(Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
18% (Bolsonaro )
–
5%
42%
6%(Haddad )
13% (Gomes )
–
7%(Silva )
–
5%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
21% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
40%
Ipespe
25–27 June 2018
1,000
2%(Haddad )
11%(Gomes )
–
12% (Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
22% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
34%
11% (Haddad , supported by Lula )
8%(Gomes )
–
10%(Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
20% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
33%
29% (Lula ) cannot run in election
6%(Gomes )
–
9%(Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
19% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
21%
–
10%(Gomes )
–
12% (Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
22% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
39%
IBOPE
21–24 June 2018
2,000
2%(Haddad )
8%(Gomes )
–
13% (Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
3%(Dias )
6%(Alckmin )
17% (Bolsonaro )
–
10%
41%
33% (Lula ) cannot run in election
4%(Gomes )
–
7%(Silva )
0%(Meirelles )
2%(Dias )
4%(Alckmin )
15% (Bolsonaro )
–
7%
28%
Ipespe
18–20 June 2018
1,000
3%(Haddad )
10%(Gomes )
–
14% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
21% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
33%
12% (Haddad , supported by Lula )
8%(Gomes )
–
11%(Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
19% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
31%
28% (Lula ) cannot run in election
5%(Gomes )
–
10%(Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
19% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
23%
–
10%(Gomes )
–
13% (Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
22% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
36%
Ipespe
11–13 June 2018
1,000
2%(Haddad )
10%(Gomes )
–
13% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
6%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
22% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
33%
11% (Haddad , supported by Lula )
9%(Gomes )
–
10%(Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
6%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
20% (Bolsonaro )
–
2%
31%
29% (Lula ) cannot run in election
6%(Gomes )
–
10%(Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
6%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
19% (Bolsonaro )
–
2%
18%
–
11%(Gomes )
–
13% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
6%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
22% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
34%
Datafolha
6–7 June 2018
2,824
1%(Haddad )
10%(Gomes )
–
15% (Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
19% (Bolsonaro )
–
10%
33%
30% (Lula ) cannot run in election
6%(Gomes )
–
10%(Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
6%(Alckmin )
17% (Bolsonaro )
–
5%
21%
1%(Wagner )
10%(Gomes )
–
14% (Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
19% (Bolsonaro )
–
10%
33%
–
11%(Gomes )
–
15% (Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
19% (Bolsonaro )
–
9%
34%
Ipespe
4–6 June 2018
1,000
3%(Haddad )
11%(Gomes )
–
13% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
6%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
22% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
32%
11%(Haddad , supported by Lula )
9%(Gomes )
–
11%(Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
6%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
21% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
27%
30% (Lula ) cannot run in election
6%(Gomes )
–
10%(Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
20% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
16%
–
11%(Gomes )
–
13% (Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
7%(Dias )
9%(Alckmin )
23% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
32%
DataPoder360
25–31 May 2018
10,500
6%(Haddad )
11% (Gomes )
–
7%(Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
6%(Alckmin )
21% (Bolsonaro )
–
5.8%
39%
8%(Haddad )
12% (Gomes )
–
6%(Silva )
–
6%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
25% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
36%
8%(Haddad )
12% (Gomes )
–
7%(Silva )
–
6%(Dias )
6%(Doria )
22% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
40%
Vox Populi
19–23 May 2018
2,000
39% (Lula ) cannot run in election
4%(Gomes )
–
6%(Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
2%(Dias )
3%(Alckmin )
12% (Bolsonaro )
–
2%
30%
Ipespe
15–18 and 21–23 May 2018
2,000
3%(Haddad )
10%(Gomes )
–
14% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
9%(Alckmin )
24% (Bolsonaro )
–
2%
32%
29% (Lula ) cannot run in election
6%(Gomes )
–
9%(Silva )
1%(Temer )
4%(Dias )
9%(Alckmin )
24% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
17%
–
10%(Gomes )
–
13% (Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
9%(Alckmin )
24% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
36%
MDA Archived 2018-08-16 at the Wayback Machine
9–12 May 2018
2,002
2.3%(Haddad )
9.0%(Gomes )
–
11.2% (Silva )
0.5%(Meirelles )
3.0%(Dias )
5.3%(Alckmin )
18.3% (Bolsonaro )
–
4.4%
45.7%
4.4%(Haddad )
12.0%(Gomes )
–
16.4% (Silva )
1.4%(Meirelles )
–
–
20.7% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
45.1%
3.8%(Haddad )
11.1%(Gomes )
–
15.1% (Silva )
–
–
8.1%(Alckmin )
19.7% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
42.2%
32.4% (Lula ) cannot run in election
5.4%(Gomes )
–
7.6%(Silva )
0.3%(Meirelles )
2.5%(Dias )
4.0%(Alckmin )
16.7% (Bolsonaro )
–
3.0%
26.7%
0.9%(Temer )
Paraná Pesquisas
27 April–2 May 2018
2,002
2.7%(Haddad )
9.7%(Gomes )
11.0%(Barbosa )
12.0% (Silva )
1.7%(Temer )
5.9%(Dias )
8.1%(Alckmin )
20.5% (Bolsonaro )
–
6.0%
22.2%
27.6% (Lula ) cannot run in election
5.5%(Gomes )
9.2%(Barbosa )
7.7%(Silva )
1.1%(Temer )
5.4%(Dias )
6.9%(Alckmin )
19.5% (Bolsonaro )
–
4.2%
12.8%
–
10.1%(Gomes )
11.2%(Barbosa )
13.3% (Silva )
1.7%(Temer )
6.1%(Dias )
8.4%(Alckmin )
20.7% (Bolsonaro )
–
6.4%
22.0%
DataPoder360
16–19 April 2018
2,000
3.9%(Haddad )
9.0%(Gomes )
12.9% (Barbosa )
10.0%(Silva )
–
6.0%(Dias )
8.0%(Alckmin )
20.0% (Bolsonaro )
–
5.5%
24.7%
7.4%(Haddad )
8.4%(Gomes )
16.3% (Barbosa )
8.2%(Silva )
–
6.3%(Dias )
5.5%(Alckmin )
22.4% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
25;5%
Vox Populi Archived 2018-04-17 at the Wayback Machine
13–15 April 2018
2,000
47% (Lula ) cannot run in election
2%(Gomes )
9%(Barbosa )
7%(Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
2%(Dias )
3%(Alckmin )
11% (Bolsonaro )
–
0%
18%
47% (Lula ) cannot run in election
2%(Gomes )
9%(Barbosa )
7%(Silva )
1%(Temer )
2%(Dias )
3%(Alckmin )
12% (Bolsonaro )
–
0%
18%
Datafolha
9–13 April 2018
4,260
2%(Haddad )
9%(Gomes )
9%(Barbosa )
15% (Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
17% (Bolsonaro )
–
7%
26%
2%(Haddad )
9%(Gomes )
9%(Barbosa )
15% (Silva )
2%(Temer )
4%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
17% (Bolsonaro )
–
8%
28%
2%(Haddad )
9%(Gomes )
10%(Barbosa )
15% (Silva )
–
5%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
17% (Bolsonaro )
–
8%
27%
31% (Lula ) cannot run in election
5%(Gomes )
8%(Barbosa )
10%(Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
3%(Dias )
6%(Alckmin )
15% (Bolsonaro )
–
5%
16%
30% (Lula ) cannot run in election
5%(Gomes )
8%(Barbosa )
10%(Silva )
1%(Temer )
3%(Dias )
6%(Alckmin )
15% (Bolsonaro )
–
5%
16%
31% (Lula ) cannot run in election
5%(Gomes )
8%(Barbosa )
10%(Silva )
–
4%(Dias )
6%(Alckmin )
16% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
15%
1%(Wagner )
9%(Gomes )
9%(Barbosa )
15% (Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
17% (Bolsonaro )
–
9%
27%
1%(Wagner )
9%(Gomes )
9%(Barbosa )
15% (Silva )
1%(Temer )
4%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
17% (Bolsonaro )
–
7%
26%
–
9%(Gomes )
9%(Barbosa )
16% (Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
17% (Bolsonaro )
–
8%
26%
After Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is sentenced to 12 years in prison by the Regional Federal Court of the 4th Region, the Supreme Federal Court rules to reject Lula's plea and an arrest warrant is given on 6 April 2018. The ruling of the TRF-4 bars Lula from running in the election
2017
Polling firm/link
Date(s)
Sample
PT
PDT
PSB
REDE
MDB
PODE
PSDB
NOVO
PSL
Not
Others
Abst.
Paraná Pesquisas
18–21 December 2017
2,020
29.2% (Lula )
5.2%(Gomes )
6.8%(Barbosa )
8.6%(Silva )
0.9%(Meirelles )
3.5%(Dias )
7.9%(Alckmin )
21.1% (Bolsonaro )
–
0.9%
15.9%
13.4% (Rousseff )
7.7%(Gomes )
7.6%(Barbosa )
12.2%(Silva )
1.1%(Meirelles )
4.0%(Dias )
8.7%(Alckmin )
22.8% (Bolsonaro )
–
1.1%
21.4%
3.9%(Wagner )
8.2%(Gomes )
9.6%(Barbosa )
14.8% (Silva )
1.3%(Meirelles )
4.3%(Dias )
9.5%(Alckmin )
23.2% (Bolsonaro )
–
1.5%
23.7%
Vox Populi
9–12 December 2017
2,000
43% (Lula )
2%(Gomes )
7%(Barbosa )
5%(Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
1%(Dias )
4%(Alckmin )
13% (Bolsonaro )
–
0%
24%
45% (Lula )
3%(Gomes )
–
7%(Silva )
–
–
6%(Alckmin )
15% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
25%
DataPoder360
8–11 December 2017
2,210
5%(Haddad )
10%(Gomes )
–
10%(Silva )
–
–
7%(Alckmin )
23% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
46%
26% (Lula )
5%(Gomes )
–
7%(Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
2%(Dias )
4%(Alckmin )
21% (Bolsonaro )
–
14%
21%
30% (Lula )
6%(Gomes )
–
10%(Silva )
–
–
8%(Alckmin )
22% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
26%
Datafolha
29–30 November 2017
2,765
3%(Haddad )
12%(Gomes )
–
16% (Silva )
–
5%(Dias )
9%(Alckmin )
21% (Bolsonaro )
–
5%
28%
3%(Haddad )
13%(Gomes )
–
17% (Silva )
–
6%(Dias )
6%(Doria )
21% (Bolsonaro )
–
5%
30%
3%(Haddad )
12% (Gomes )
8%(Barbosa )
–
–
6%(Dias )
11%(Alckmin )
21% (Bolsonaro )
–
5%
32%
3%(Haddad )
13% (Gomes )
–
–
2%(Meirelles )
6%(Dias )
12%(Alckmin )
22% (Bolsonaro )
–
7%
35%
34% (Lula )
6%(Gomes )
5%(Barbosa )
9%(Silva )
1%(Temer )
3%(Dias )
6%(Alckmin )
17% (Bolsonaro )
–
2%
14%
1%(Meirelles )
36% (Lula )
7%(Gomes )
–
10%(Silva )
–
4%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
18% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
15%
36% (Lula )
7%(Gomes )
–
11%(Silva )
–
4%(Dias )
5%(Doria )
18% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
16%
37% (Lula )
7%(Gomes )
6%(Barbosa )
–
–
4%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
18% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
17%
37% (Lula )
7%(Gomes )
–
–
1%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
9%(Alckmin )
19% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
17%
DataPoder360
16–18 November 2017
2,171
4%(Haddad )
12%(Gomes )
–
12%(Silva )
–
–
9%(Alckmin )
22% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
42%
5%(Haddad )
14%(Gomes )
–
14%(Silva )
–
–
3%(Doria )
22% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
43%
26% (Lula )
4%(Gomes )
–
8%(Silva )
–
–
7%(Alckmin )
25% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
29%
26% (Lula )
8%(Gomes )
–
8%(Silva )
–
–
9%(Doria )
18% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
32%
Vox Populi
27–30 October 2017
2,000
42% (Lula )
4%(Gomes )
–
7%(Silva )
0%(Temer )
1%(Dias )
5%(Alckmin )
16% (Bolsonaro )
–
1%
23%
41% (Lula )
4%(Gomes )
–
7%(Silva )
–
1%(Dias )
5%(Alckmin )
16% (Bolsonaro )
2%(Huck )
2%
22%
42% (Lula )
4%(Gomes )
–
8%(Silva )
–
–
5%(Alckmin )
17% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
24%
43% (Lula )
5%(Gomes )
–
8%(Silva )
–
–
3%(Doria )
16% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
24%
DataPoder360
26–29 October 2017
2,016
4%(Haddad )
14% (Gomes )
–
9%(Silva )
–
–
10%(Alckmin )
23% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
40%
7%(Haddad )
11%(Gomes )
–
13% (Silva )
–
–
8%(Doria )
24% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
37%
28% (Lula )
5%(Gomes )
–
6%(Silva )
–
–
7%(Alckmin )
25% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
29%
32% (Lula )
6%(Gomes )
–
5%(Silva )
–
–
9%(Doria )
20% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
28%
IBOPE
18–22 October 2017
2,002
1%(Haddad )
7%(Gomes )
–
15% (Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
3%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
15% (Bolsonaro )
8%(Huck )
3%
34%
5%(Doria )
2%(Haddad )
9%(Gomes )
–
18% (Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
18% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
36%
2%(Haddad )
11%(Gomes )
–
19% (Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
6%(Doria )
17% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
37%
35% (Lula )
3%(Gomes )
–
8%(Silva )
0%(Meirelles )
2%(Dias )
5%(Alckmin )
13% (Bolsonaro )
5%(Huck )
2%
23%
4%(Doria )
35% (Lula )
5%(Gomes )
–
11%(Silva )
0%(Meirelles )
3%(Dias )
7%(Alckmin )
15% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
23%
36% (Lula )
5%(Gomes )
–
11%(Silva )
1%(Meirelles )
3%(Dias )
5%(Doria )
15% (Bolsonaro )
–
2%
22%
Datafolha
27–28 September 2017
2,772
3%(Haddad )
9%(Gomes )
–
22% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
9%(Alckmin )
19% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
28%
2%(Haddad )
7%(Gomes )
5%(Barbosa )
17% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
3%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
15% (Bolsonaro )
9%(Moro )
3%
23%
6%(Doria )
2%(Haddad )
9%(Gomes )
–
20% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
9%(Alckmin )
17% (Bolsonaro )
–
2%
27%
7%(Doria )
35% (Lula )
4%(Gomes )
–
13%(Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
17% (Bolsonaro )
–
1%
17%
35% (Lula )
–
–
13%(Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
8%(Alckmin )
17% (Bolsonaro )
–
2%
18%
36% (Lula )
–
–
14%(Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
4%(Dias )
8%(Doria )
16% (Bolsonaro )
–
2%
18%
–
10%(Gomes )
–
22% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
10%(Alckmin )
19% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
29%
–
10%(Gomes )
–
23% (Silva )
2%(Meirelles )
5%(Dias )
10%(Doria )
18% (Bolsonaro )
–
3%
29%
Paraná Pesquisas
18–22 September 2017
2,040
4.0%(Haddad )
7.5%(Gomes )
9.7%(Barbosa )
15.3% (Silva )
2.2%(Meirelles )
4.6%(Dias )
9.7%(Alckmin )
20.9% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
26.2%
3.4%(Haddad )
7.4%(Gomes )
8.9%(Barbosa )
15.4% (Silva )
2.3%(Meirelles )
4.4%(Dias )
13.5%(Doria )
19.6% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
25.3%
26.5% (Lula )
4.5%(Gomes )
8.3%(Barbosa )
9.8%(Silva )
1.6%(Meirelles )
3.9%(Dias )
8.4%(Alckmin )
20.0% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
17.0%
26.6% (Lula )
4.3%(Gomes )
7.5%(Barbosa )
9.7%(Silva )
1.5%(Meirelles )
3.8%(Dias )
11.5%(Doria )
18.5% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
16.5%
DataPoder360
15–17 September 2017
2,280
4%(Haddad )
11%(Gomes )
–
12% (Silva )
–
–
7%(Alckmin )
26% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
41%
3%(Haddad )
11%(Gomes )
–
13% (Silva )
–
–
8%(Doria )
26% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
40%
27% (Lula )
6%(Gomes )
–
6%(Silva )
–
–
5%(Alckmin )
24% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
32%
28% (Lula )
6%(Gomes )
–
7%(Silva )
–
–
10%(Doria )
20% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
28%
MDA
13–16 September 2017
2,002
32.0% (Lula )
4.6%(Gomes )
–
11.4%(Silva )
–
–
8.7%(Alckmin )
19.4% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
23.9%
32.7% (Lula )
5.2%(Gomes )
–
12.0%(Silva )
–
–
9.4%(Doria )
18.4% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
22;3%
32.4% (Lula )
5.3%(Gomes )
–
12.1%(Silva )
–
–
3.2%(Neves )
19.8% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
27.2%
DataPoder360
12–14 August 2017
2,088
3%(Haddad )
8%(Gomes )
–
8%(Silva )
–
–
9% (Alckmin )
27% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
45%
5%(Haddad )
9%(Gomes )
–
6%(Silva )
–
–
12% (Doria )
25% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
44%
32% (Lula )
4%(Gomes )
–
3%(Silva )
–
–
4%(Alckmin )
25% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
33%
31% (Lula )
6%(Gomes )
–
3%(Silva )
–
–
12%(Doria )
18% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
30%
Vox Populi
29–31 July 2017
1,999
47% (Lula )
3%(Gomes )
–
6%(Silva )
1%(Temer )
–
5%(Alckmin )
13% (Bolsonaro )
–
2%
22%
47% (Lula )
3%(Gomes )
–
7%(Silva )
–
–
6%(Alckmin )
13% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
23%
48% (Lula )
4%(Gomes )
–
8%(Silva )
–
–
4%(Doria )
13% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
24%
Paraná Pesquisas
24–27 July 2017
2,020
26.1% (Lula )
4.5%(Gomes )
9.8%(Barbosa )
7.0%(Silva )
–
4.1%(Dias )
7.3%(Alckmin )
20.8% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
20.5%
25.8% (Lula )
4.5%(Gomes )
8.7%(Barbosa )
7.1%(Silva )
–
3.5%(Dias )
12.3%(Doria )
18.7% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
19.6%
DataPoder360
9–10 July 2017
2,178
26% (Lula )
5%(Gomes )
–
6%(Silva )
–
–
10%(Alckmin )
21% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
34%
23% (Lula )
4%(Gomes )
–
12%(Silva )
–
–
13%(Doria )
21% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
27%
Datafolha
21–23 June 2017
2,771
3%(Haddad )
–
13%(Barbosa )
22% (Silva )
–
–
10%(Alckmin )
16% (Bolsonaro )
–
8%
28%
30% (Lula )
5%(Gomes )
–
15%(Silva )
–
–
8%(Alckmin )
16% (Bolsonaro )
–
6%
20%
30% (Lula )
6%(Gomes )
–
15%(Silva )
–
–
10%(Doria )
15%(Bolsonaro )
–
6%
18%
30% (Lula )
–
11%(Barbosa )
15%(Silva )
–
–
8%(Alckmin )
15%(Bolsonaro )
–
6%
16%
29% (Lula )
–
10%(Barbosa )
15% (Silva )
–
–
9%(Doria )
13%(Bolsonaro )
–
5%
17%
29% (Lula )
–
–
14%(Silva )
–
–
6%(Alckmin )
13%(Bolsonaro )
14%(Moro )
5%
17%
–
9%(Gomes )
12%(Barbosa )
22% (Silva )
–
–
9%(Alckmin )
16% (Bolsonaro )
–
7%
26%
–
12%(Gomes )
–
27% (Silva )
–
–
14%(Doria )
18% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
29%
DataPoder360
17–19 June 2017
2,096
27% (Lula )
5%(Gomes )
–
5%(Silva )
–
–
7%(Alckmin )
14% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
43%
27% (Lula )
6%(Gomes )
–
6%(Silva )
–
–
11%(Doria )
15% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
35%
Vox Populi
2–4 June 2017
2,000
45% (Lula )
4%(Gomes )
–
8%(Silva )
–
–
4%(Alckmin )
13% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
25%
45% (Lula )
5%(Gomes )
–
9%(Silva )
–
–
4%(Doria )
12% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
25%
46% (Lula )
5%(Gomes )
–
9%(Silva )
–
–
1%(Neves )
13% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
26%
Paraná Pesquisas
25–29 May 2017
2,022
3.1%(Haddad )
6.7%(Gomes )
8.7%(Barbosa )
14.9% (Silva )
–
–
13.6%(Doria )
17.2% (Bolsonaro )
–
7.4%
28.3%
25.4% (Lula )
4.2%(Gomes )
8.1%(Barbosa )
10.4%(Silva )
–
–
6.4%(Alckmin )
16.8% (Bolsonaro )
7.3%(Huck )
2.9%
18.5%
25.8% (Lula )
4.3%(Gomes )
8.1%(Barbosa )
11.1%(Silva )
–
–
12.1%(Doria )
16.1% (Bolsonaro )
–
3.1%
19.4%
DataPoder360
7–8 May 2017
2,157
25% (Lula )
5%(Gomes )
–
7%(Silva )
–
–
4%(Alckmin )
21% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
38%
27% (Lula )
6%(Gomes )
–
6%(Silva )
–
–
13%(Doria )
17% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
32%
Datafolha
26–27 April 2017
2,781
30% (Lula )
6%(Gomes )
–
16% (Silva )
2%(Temer )
–
6%(Alckmin )
14%(Bolsonaro )
–
5%
26%
31% (Lula )
6%(Gomes )
–
16% (Silva )
2%(Temer )
–
9%(Doria )
13%(Bolsonaro )
–
4%
26%
30% (Lula )
5%(Gomes )
–
14%(Silva )
2%(Temer )
–
8%(Neves )
15% (Bolsonaro )
–
4%
21%
–
11%(Gomes )
–
25% (Silva )
–
–
8%(Alckmin )
16% (Bolsonaro )
–
8%
33%
–
12%(Gomes )
–
25% (Silva )
–
–
11%(Doria )
14% (Bolsonaro )
–
7%
31%
DataPoder360
16–17 April 2017
2,058
24% (Lula )
5%(Gomes )
–
11%(Silva )
–
–
8%(Alckmin )
18% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
34%
25% (Lula )
5%(Gomes )
–
9%(Silva )
–
–
13%(Doria )
14% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
33%
25% (Lula )
4%(Gomes )
–
11%(Silva )
–
–
7%(Neves )
19% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
35%
Vox Populi
6–10 April 2017
2,000
45% (Lula )
4%(Gomes )
–
11%(Silva )
–
–
6%(Alckmin )
12% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
23%
45% (Lula )
5%(Gomes )
–
11%(Silva )
–
–
6%(Doria )
11%(Bolsonaro )
–
–
23%
44% (Lula )
4%(Gomes )
–
10%(Silva )
–
–
9%(Neves )
11% (Bolsonaro )
–
–
22%
Paraná Pesquisas
12–15 February 2017
2,020
22.9% (Lula )
4.7%(Gomes )
11.5%(Barbosa )
12.8% (Silva )
3.8%(Temer )
–
11.9%(Alckmin )
12.2%(Bolsonaro )
–
1.9%
18.1%
23.3% (Lula )
5.6%(Gomes )
11.3%(Barbosa )
13.7% (Silva )
4.3%(Temer )
–
9.1%(Doria )
11.9%(Bolsonaro )
–
1.6%
19.1%
22.6% (Lula )
4.9%(Gomes )
11.7%(Barbosa )
12.6%(Silva )
3.8%(Temer )
–
12.9% (Neves )
12.0%(Bolsonaro )
–
2.0%
17.6%
MDA Archived 2019-01-09 at the Wayback Machine
8–11 February 2017
2,002
31.8% (Lula )
5.3%(Gomes )
–
12.1% (Silva )
–
–
9.1%(Alckmin )
11.7%(Bolsonaro )
–
–
29%
30.5% (Lula )
5%(Gomes )
–
11.8% (Silva )
3.7%(Temer )
–
10.1%(Neves )
11.3%(Bolsonaro )
–
–
26.6%
32.8% (Lula )
–
–
13.9% (Silva )
–
–
12.1%(Neves )
12%(Bolsonaro )
–
–
29.2%
2016
Polling firm/link
Date(s)
Sample
PT
PDT
PSB
REDE
MDB
PODE
PSDB
NOVO
PSL
Not
Others
Abst.
Vox Populi
10–14 December 2016
2,500
38% (Lula )
5%(Gomes )
–
12% (Silva )
–
–
10%(Alckmin )
7%(Bolsonaro )
–
–
28%
37% (Lula )
4%(Gomes )
–
10%(Silva )
–
–
13% (Neves )
7%(Bolsonaro )
–
–
29%
Datafolha
7–8 December 2016
2,828
26% (Lula )
6%(Gomes )
–
17% (Silva )
4%(Temer )
–
8%(Alckmin )
8%(Bolsonaro )
–
5%
26%
25% (Lula )
5%(Gomes )
–
15% (Silva )
4%(Temer )
–
11%(Neves )
9%(Bolsonaro )
–
5%
26%
25% (Lula )
6%(Gomes )
–
16% (Silva )
4%(Temer )
–
9%(Serra )
9%(Bolsonaro )
–
5%
26%
MDA Archived 2017-03-14 at the Wayback Machine
13–16 October 2016
2,002
25.3% (Lula )
8.4%(Gomes )
–
14.0% (Silva )
6.1%(Temer )
–
13.4%(Alckmin )
6.9%(Bolsonaro )
–
–
25.9%
24.8% (Lula )
7.4%(Gomes )
–
13.3%(Silva )
6.2%(Temer )
–
15.7% (Neves )
6.5%(Bolsonaro )
–
–
26.1%
27.6% (Lula )
–
–
16.5%(Silva )
–
–
18.9% (Neves )
7.9%(Bolsonaro )
–
–
29.1%
Vox Populi
9–13 October 2016
2,000
35% (Lula )
6%(Gomes )
–
13% (Silva )
–
–
12%(Alckmin )
7%(Bolsonaro )
–
–
28%
34% (Lula )
5%(Gomes )
–
11%(Silva )
–
–
15% (Neves )
7%(Bolsonaro )
–
–
27%
Vox Populi
29 July–1 August 2016
1,500
29% (Lula )
6%(Gomes )
–
18% (Silva )
–
–
11%(Alckmin )
7%(Bolsonaro )
–
–
29%
28% (Lula )
6%(Gomes )
–
15%(Silva )
–
–
18% (Neves )
7%(Bolsonaro )
–
–
27%
29% (Lula )
6%(Gomes )
–
19% (Silva )
–
–
13%(Serra )
7%(Bolsonaro )
–
–
27%
Datafolha
14–15 July 2016
2,792
23% (Lula )
6%(Gomes )
–
18% (Silva )
6%(Temer )
–
8%(Alckmin )
8%(Bolsonaro )
–
5%
27%
22% (Lula )
5%(Gomes )
–
17% (Silva )
5%(Temer )
–
14%(Neves )
7%(Bolsonaro )
–
4%
25%
23% (Lula )
6%(Gomes )
–
17% (Silva )
6%(Temer )
–
11%(Serra )
7%(Bolsonaro )
–
5%
26%
Vox Populi
June 2016
–
29% (Lula )
6%(Gomes )
–
18% (Silva )
–
–
16%(Neves )
6%(Bolsonaro )
–
–
25%
MDA
2–5 June 2016
2,002
22.3% (Lula )
6.3%(Gomes )
–
16.6% (Silva )
6.2%(Temer )
–
9.6%(Alckmin )
6.2%(Bolsonaro )
–
–
32.8%
22% (Lula )
6%(Gomes )
–
14.8%(Silva )
5.4%(Temer )
–
15.9% (Neves )
5.8%(Bolsonaro )
–
–
30.1%
Vox Populi
9–12 April 2016
–
29% (Lula )
5%(Gomes )
–
18% (Silva )
–
–
17%(Neves )
7%(Bolsonaro )
–
–
23%
31% (Lula )
–
–
23% (Silva )
–
–
20%(Neves )
–
–
–
26%
Datafolha
7–8 April 2016
2,779
22% (Lula )
8%(Gomes )
–
23% (Silva )
2%(Temer )
–
9%(Alckmin )
8%(Bolsonaro )
–
4%
24%
21% (Lula )
7%(Gomes )
–
19% (Silva )
2%(Temer )
–
17%(Neves )
8%(Bolsonaro )
–
4%
22%
22% (Lula )
7%(Gomes )
–
22% (Silva )
2%(Temer )
–
11%(Serra )
7%(Bolsonaro )
–
4%
24%
Paraná Pesquisas
3–6 April 2016
2,044
15.4%(Lula )
6.7%(Gomes )
–
24.7% (Silva )
1.9%(Temer )
3.2%(Dias )
18.3% (Alckmin )
8.3%(Bolsonaro )
–
2.9%
18.6%
15.7%(Lula )
6.4%(Gomes )
–
21.0% (Silva )
1.9%(Temer )
2.7%(Dias )
23.5% (Neves )
8.4%(Bolsonaro )
–
2.9%
17.6%
15.4%(Lula )
6.9%(Gomes )
–
24.8% (Silva )
1.9%(Temer )
2.9%(Dias )
18.0% (Serra )
8.5%(Bolsonaro )
–
2.9%
18.7%
Datafolha
17–18 March 2016
–
17% (Lula )
7%(Gomes )
–
23% (Silva )
2%(Temer )
–
11%(Alckmin )
6%(Bolsonaro )
–
6%
27%
17%(Lula )
6%(Gomes )
–
21% (Silva )
1%(Temer )
–
19% (Neves )
6%(Bolsonaro )
–
7%
24%
17% (Lula )
7%(Gomes )
–
24% (Silva )
1%(Temer )
–
13%(Serra )
7%(Bolsonaro )
–
7%
25%
Paraná Pesquisas
28 February–2 March 2016
2,022
16.9% (Lula )
6.5%(Gomes )
–
22.3% (Silva )
–
3.1%(Dias )
16.6%(Alckmin )
8.7%(Bolsonaro )
–
6.0%
19.9%
16.8%(Lula )
4.7%(Gomes )
–
18.2% (Silva )
–
2.7%(Dias )
27.6% (Neves )
8.4%(Bolsonaro )
–
4.9%
16.7%
Datafolha
24–25 February 2016
–
20% (Lula )
6%(Gomes )
–
23% (Silva )
2%(Temer )
–
12%(Alckmin )
7%(Bolsonaro )
–
5%
25%
20% (Lula )
5%(Gomes )
–
19%(Silva )
1%(Temer )
–
24% (Neves )
6%(Bolsonaro )
–
4%
21%
21% (Lula )
5%(Gomes )
–
23% (Silva )
2%(Temer )
–
15%(Serra )
6%(Bolsonaro )
–
5%
24%
MDA Archived 2017-03-02 at the Wayback Machine
18–21 February 2016
2,002
19.7% (Lula )
7.4%(Gomes )
–
18.0% (Silva )
–
–
13.8%(Alckmin )
6.3%(Bolsonaro )
–
–
34.8%
19.1% (Lula )
5.8%(Gomes )
–
14.7%(Silva )
–
–
24.6% (Neves )
6.1%(Bolsonaro )
–
–
29.7%
19.7% (Lula )
7.2%(Gomes )
–
17.8% (Silva )
–
–
14.5%(Serra )
6.4%(Bolsonaro )
–
–
34.4%
2015
1.Blank or null votes counted apart
Second round
Polling
Graphical summary
Graph showing 5 poll average trend lines of Brazilian opinion polls for the second round Fernando Haddad (PT) and Bolsonaro (PSL) from April 2018 to the most recent one.
After the first round
Polling firm/link
Date(s)
Sample
Haddad
Bolsonaro
Abst.
Results of the
–
–
44,87%
55,13%
–
Datafolha
26–27 October 2018
18,731
39%
47%
13%
Ibope
26–27 October 2018
3,010
41%
47%
12%
CNT/MDA
26–27 October 2018
2,002
37%
49%
14%
Datafolha
24–25 October 2018
9,173
38%
48%
14%
Paraná Pesquisas
23–25 October 2018
2,120
35%
53%
12%
RealTime Big Data
24 October 2018
5,000
38%
49%
13%
Ipespe
23–24 October 2018
2,000
37%
51%
12%
Ibope
21–23 October 2018
3,010
37%
50%
13%
FSB Pesquisa
20–21 October 2018
2,000
35%
52%
13%
CNT/MDA
20–21 October 2018
2,002
37%
49%
14%
RealTime Big Data
19–20 October 2018
5,000
37%
52%
11%
DataPoder360
17–18 October 2018
4,000
31%
57%
12%
Datafolha
17–18 October 2018
9,137
35%
50%
15%
RealTime Big Data
16–17 October 2018
5,000
35%
52%
13%
Ipespe
15–17 October 2018
2,000
37%
51%
13%
Paraná Pesquisas
14–17 October 2018
2,080
34%
53%
13%
Ibope
13–14 October 2018
2,506
37%
52%
12%
FSB Pesquisa
13–14 October 2018
2,000
35%
51%
14%
RealTime Big Data
12–13 October 2018
5,000
33%
48%
19%
Datafolha
10 October 2018
3,235
36%
49%
15%
Idea Big Data
8–10 October 2018
2,036
41%
48%
11%
Ipespe
8–9 October 2018
2,000
36%
51%
13%
Before the first round
Polling firm/link
Date(s)
Sample
PT
PDT
PSB
REDE
MDB
PODE
PSDB
PSL
Not
Abst.
Ibope
5–6 October 2018
3,010
41%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
45% (Bolsonaro)
–
15%
–
45% –
–
–
–
–
41%(Bolsonaro)
–
13%
–
–
–
36%(Silva)
–
–
–
46% (Bolsonaro)
–
18%
–
–
–
–
–
–
40%(Alckmin)
43% (Bolsonaro)
–
17%
Datafolha
5–6 October 2018
19,552
38%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
41% (Alckmin)
–
–
20%
43%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
45% (Bolsonaro)
–
12%
–
47% –
–
–
–
–
43%(Bolsonaro)
–
10%
–
–
–
–
–
–
41%(Alckmin)
43% (Bolsonaro)
–
15%
CNT/MDA Archived 2018-10-06 at the Wayback Machine
4–5 October 2018
2,002
31.1%(Haddad)
40.9% –
–
–
–
–
–
–
28.0%
37.0% (Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
34.3%(Alckmin)
–
–
31.7%
38.7%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
45.2% (Bolsonaro)
–
16.1%
–
46.1% –
–
–
–
24.4%(Alckmin)
–
–
29.5%
–
41.2%
–
–
–
–
–
41.9% (Bolsonaro)
–
16.9%
–
–
–
–
–
–
33.5%(Alckmin)
43.3% (Bolsonaro)
–
23.2%
XP/Ipespe
3–4 October 2018
2,000
36%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
40% (Alckmin)
–
–
24%
42%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
43% (Bolsonaro)
–
15%
–
36% –
–
–
–
33%(Alckmin)
–
–
31%
–
44% –
–
–
–
–
39%(Bolsonaro)
–
18%
–
–
–
–
–
–
44% (Alckmin)
42%(Bolsonaro)
–
15%
RealTime Big Data
3–4 October 2018
10,000
40%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
43% (Bolsonaro)
–
17%
–
48% –
–
–
–
–
38%(Bolsonaro)
–
14%
–
–
–
37%(Silva)
–
–
–
40% (Bolsonaro)
–
23%
–
–
–
–
–
–
41%(Alckmin)
42% (Bolsonaro)
–
17%
DataPoder360
3–4 October 2018
4,000
28% (Haddad)
41%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
30%
42%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
45% (Bolsonaro)
–
13%
–
46% –
–
–
–
–
41%(Bolsonaro)
–
13%
–
–
–
–
–
–
42%(Alckmin)
42%(Bolsonaro)
–
16%
Datafolha
3–4 October 2018
10,930
38%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
42% (Alckmin)
–
–
20%
43%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
44% (Bolsonaro)
–
12%
–
48% –
–
–
–
42%(Bolsonaro)
–
11%
–
–
–
–
–
–
43% (Alckmin)
42%(Bolsonaro)
–
15%
Paraná Pesquisas
2–4 October 2018
2,080
31.8%(Haddad)
40.7% –
–
–
–
–
–
–
27.5%
35.2%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
37.5% (Alckmin)
–
–
27.2%
38.1%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
47.1% (Bolsonaro)
–
14.8%
–
42.5%
–
–
–
–
–
44.2% (Bolsonaro)
–
13.3%
–
–
–
–
–
–
35.9%(Alckmin)
44.5% (Bolsonaro)
–
19.5%
Movimento Parlamentarista Brasileiro
28 September –3 October 2018
2,500
41% (Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
37%(Bolsonaro)
–
22%
–
41% –
–
–
–
–
35%(Bolsonaro)
–
24%
–
–
–
35%(Silva)
–
–
–
37% (Bolsonaro)
–
28%
–
–
–
–
–
–
36%(Alckmin)
36%(Bolsonaro)
–
28%
Datafolha
2 October 2018
3,240
32%(Haddad)
46% –
–
–
–
–
–
–
22%
36%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
43% (Alckmin)
–
–
21%
42%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
44% (Bolsonaro)
–
14%
–
42% –
–
–
–
37%(Alckmin)
–
–
21%
–
46% –
–
–
–
–
42%(Bolsonaro)
–
12%
–
–
–
–
–
–
43% (Alckmin)
41%(Bolsonaro)
–
16%
Ibope
1–2 October 2018
3,010
43% (Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
41%(Bolsonaro)
–
15%
–
46% –
–
–
–
–
39%(Bolsonaro)
–
16%
–
–
–
39%(Silva)
–
–
–
43% (Bolsonaro)
–
18%
–
–
–
–
–
–
41% (Alckmin)
40%(Bolsonaro)
–
19%
FSB Pesquisa
29–30 September 2018
2,000
42%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
43% (Bolsonaro)
–
15%
–
45% –
–
–
–
–
41%(Bolsonaro)
–
14%
–
–
–
39%(Silva)
–
–
–
44% (Bolsonaro)
–
18%
–
–
–
–
–
–
42% (Alckmin)
41%(Bolsonaro)
–
17%
Ibope
29–30 September 2018
3,010
42%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
42%(Bolsonaro)
–
17%
–
45% –
–
–
–
–
39%(Bolsonaro)
–
16%
–
–
–
38%(Silva)
–
–
–
43% (Bolsonaro)
–
19%
–
–
–
–
–
–
42% (Alckmin)
39%(Bolsonaro)
–
20%
RealTime Big Data
28–29 September 2018
3,200
31%(Haddad)
40% –
–
–
–
–
–
–
29%
35% (Haddad)
–
–
28%(Silva)
–
–
–
–
–
37%
37% (Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
35%(Alckmin)
–
–
28%
45% (Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
41%(Bolsonaro)
–
14%
–
40% –
23%(Silva)
–
–
–
–
–
37%
–
47% –
–
–
–
–
39%(Bolsonaro)
–
14%
–
–
–
28%(Silva)
–
–
29% (Alckmin)
–
–
43%
–
–
–
36%(Silva)
–
–
–
37% (Bolsonaro)
–
27%
–
–
–
–
–
–
39%(Alckmin)
40% (Bolsonaro)
–
21%
CNT/MDA Archived 2018-09-30 at the Wayback Machine
27–28 September 2018
2,000
33.9%(Haddad)
34.0% –
–
–
–
–
–
–
32.1%
39.8% (Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
28.5%(Alckmin)
–
–
31.7%
42.7% (Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
37.3%(Bolsonaro)
–
20.0%
–
41.5% –
–
–
–
23.8%(Alckmin)
–
–
34.7%
–
42.7% –
–
–
–
–
35.3%(Bolsonaro)
–
22.0%
–
–
–
–
–
–
37.0% (Alckmin)
33.6%(Bolsonaro)
–
29.4%
Datafolha
26–28 September 2018
9,000
35%(Haddad)
41% –
–
–
–
–
–
–
24%
39%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
39%(Alckmin)
–
–
22%
45% (Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
39%(Bolsonaro)
–
15%
–
42% –
–
–
–
36%(Alckmin)
–
–
22%
–
48% –
–
–
–
–
38%(Bolsonaro)
–
14%
–
–
–
–
–
–
45% (Alckmin)
38%(Bolsonaro)
–
18%
Genial Investimentos
25–26 September 2018
1,000
44% (Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
36%(Bolsonaro)
–
19%
XP/Ipespe
24–26 de setembro de 2018
2,000
35%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
38% (Alckmin)
–
–
27%
43% (Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
39%(Bolsonaro)
–
18%
–
39% –
–
–
–
35%(Alckmin)
–
–
26%
–
43% –
–
–
–
–
35%(Bolsonaro)
–
21%
–
–
–
35%(Silva)
–
–
–
39% (Bolsonaro)
–
25%
–
–
–
–
–
–
41% (Alckmin)
38%(Bolsonaro)
–
22%
Paraná Pesquisas
23–25 September 2018
2,020
32.4%(Haddad)
38.2% –
–
–
–
–
–
–
29.5%
36.3% –
–
–
–
–
35.8%(Alckmin)
–
–
27.9%
39.4%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
44.3% –
16.4%
–
43.2% –
–
–
–
–
41.6%(Bolsonaro)
–
15.2%
–
–
–
–
–
–
38.2%(Alckmin)
42.1% –
19.7%
Ibope
22–24 September 2018
2,000
42% (Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
38%(Bolsonaro)
–
20%
–
44% –
–
–
–
–
35%(Bolsonaro)
–
20%
–
–
–
38%(Silva)
–
–
–
40% (Bolsonaro)
–
22%
–
–
–
–
–
–
40% (Alckmin)
36%(Bolsonaro)
–
23%
Sensus
21–24 September 2018
2,000
29.8% (Haddad)
25.6%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
44.5%
37.3% (Haddad)
–
–
17.5%(Silva)
–
–
–
–
–
45.1%
35.1% (Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
22.3%(Alckmin)
–
–
42.5%
36.3%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
37.2% (Bolsonaro)
–
26.6%
–
33.5%
–
–
–
–
–
35.1% (Bolsonaro)
–
31.3%
–
–
–
26.5%(Silva)
–
–
–
37.4% (Bolsonaro)
–
36.1%
–
–
–
–
–
–
26.4%(Alckmin)
38.0% (Bolsonaro)
–
35.6%
Ibope
22–23 September 2018
2,506
43% (Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
37%(Bolsonaro)
–
19%
–
46% –
–
–
–
–
35%(Bolsonaro)
–
19%
–
–
–
39%(Silva)
–
–
–
39%(Bolsonaro)
–
23%
–
–
–
–
–
–
41% (Alckmin)
36%(Bolsonaro)
–
24%
FSB Pesquisa
22–23 de setembro de 2018
2,000
40%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
44% (Bolsonaro)
–
15%
–
43% –
–
–
–
–
41%(Bolsonaro)
–
16%
–
–
–
34%(Silva)
–
–
–
46% (Bolsonaro)
–
20%
–
–
–
–
–
–
40%(Alckmin)
41% (Bolsonaro)
–
18%
DataPoder360
19–20 September 2018
4,000
43% (Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
40%(Bolsonaro)
–
17%
–
42% –
–
–
–
–
36%(Bolsonaro)
–
22%
–
–
–
37%(Silva)
–
–
–
39% (Bolsonaro)
–
24%
–
–
–
–
–
–
36%(Alckmin)
37% (Bolsonaro)
–
27%
Datafolha
18–19 September 2018
8,601
31%(Haddad)
42% –
–
–
–
–
–
–
28%
37%(Haddad)
–
–
37%(Silva)
–
–
–
–
–
26%
35%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
39% (Alckmin)
–
–
27%
41%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
41%(Bolsonaro)
–
17%
–
45% –
31%(Silva)
–
–
–
–
–
24%
–
41% –
–
–
–
34%(Alckmin)
–
–
24%
–
45% –
–
–
–
–
39%(Bolsonaro)
–
16%
–
–
–
36%(Silva)
–
–
39% (Alckmin)
–
–
25%
–
–
–
41%(Silva)
–
–
–
42% (Bolsonaro)
–
18%
–
–
–
–
–
–
40% (Alckmin)
39%(Bolsonaro)
–
21%
Genial Investimentos
17–19 September 2018
1,000
33% (Haddad)
32%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
35%
34%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
36% (Alckmin)
–
–
31%
40%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
42% (Bolsonaro)
–
18%
–
34% –
–
–
–
32%(Alckmin)
–
–
34%
–
38%
–
–
–
–
–
40% (Bolsonaro)
–
22%
–
–
–
–
–
–
35%(Alckmin)
38% (Bolsonaro)
–
27%
XP/Ipespe
17–19 September 201
2,000
31%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
38% (Alckmin)
–
–
31%
38%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
41% (Bolsonaro)
–
21%
–
37% –
–
–
–
35%(Alckmin)
–
–
29%
–
40% –
–
–
–
–
35%(Bolsonaro)
–
26%
–
–
–
35%(Silva)
–
–
–
40% (Bolsonaro)
–
25%
–
–
–
–
–
–
39%(Alckmin)
39%(Bolsonaro)
–
22%
Ibope
16–18 September 2018
2,506
40%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
40%(Bolsonaro)
–
20%
–
40% –
–
–
–
–
39%(Bolsonaro)
–
21%
–
–
–
36%(Silva)
–
–
–
41% (Bolsonaro)
–
23%
–
–
–
–
–
–
38%(Alckmin)
38%(Bolsonaro)
–
24%
FSB Pesquisa
15–16 September 2018
2,000
38%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
46% (Bolsonaro)
–
16%
–
42%
–
–
–
–
–
42%(Bolsonaro)
–
16%
–
–
–
33%(Silva)
–
–
–
48% (Bolsonaro)
–
20%
–
–
–
–
–
–
36%(Alckmin)
43% (Bolsonaro)
–
21%
CNT/MDA Archived 2018-09-17 at the Wayback Machine
12–15 September 2018
2,002
26.1%(Haddad)
38.1% (Gomes)
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
35.8%
35.7% (Haddad)
–
–
23.3%(Silva)
–
–
–
–
–
41.0%
35.5% (Haddad)
–
–
–
21.4%(Meirelles)
–
–
–
–
43.1%
33.1% (Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
26.8%(Alckmin)
–
–
40.1%
35.7%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
39.0% (Bolsonaro)
–
25.3%
–
43.8% (Gomes)
–
17.1%(Silva)
–
–
–
–
–
39.1%
–
43.5% (Gomes)
–
–
14.8%(Meirelles)
–
–
–
–
41.7%
–
39.6% (Gomes)
–
–
–
–
20.3%(Alckmin)
–
–
40.1%
–
37.8% (Gomes)
–
–
–
–
–
36.1%(Bolsonaro)
–
26.1%
–
–
–
27.9% (Silva)
23.2%(Meirelles)
–
–
–
–
48.9%
–
–
–
25.3%(Silva)
–
–
28.4% (Alckmin)
–
–
46.3%
–
–
–
28.2%(Silva)
–
–
–
39.4% (Bolsonaro)
–
32.4%
–
–
–
–
19.1%(Meirelles)
–
28.9% (Alckmin)
–
–
52.0%
–
–
–
–
25.7%(Meirelles)
–
–
38.6% (Bolsonaro)
–
35.7%
–
–
–
–
–
–
27.7%(Alckmin)
38.2% (Bolsonaro)
–
34.1%
Datafolha
13–14 September 2018
2,820
27%(Haddad)
45% –
–
–
–
–
–
–
28%
34%(Haddad)
–
–
39% (Silva)
–
–
–
–
–
27%
32%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
40% (Alckmin)
–
–
28%
40%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
41% (Bolsonaro)
–
19%
–
44% –
32%(Silva)
–
–
–
–
–
24%
–
40% –
–
–
–
34%(Alckmin)
–
–
26%
–
45% –
–
–
–
–
38%(Bolsonaro)
–
17%
–
–
–
36%(Silva)
–
–
39% (Alckmin)
–
–
25%
–
–
–
43% (Silva)
–
–
–
39%(Bolsonaro)
–
18%
–
–
–
–
–
–
41% (Alckmin)
37%(Bolsonaro)
–
21%
XP/Ipespe
10–12 September 2018
2,000
28%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
38% (Alckmin)
–
–
35%
38%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
40% (Bolsonaro)
–
22%
–
35%
–
–
–
–
35%(Alckmin)
–
–
31%
–
40% –
–
–
–
–
35%(Bolsonaro)
–
26%
–
–
–
37% (Silva)
–
–
–
36%(Bolsonaro)
–
27%
–
–
–
–
–
–
37% (Alckmin)
36%(Bolsonaro)
–
26%
Vox Populi
7–11 September 2018
2,000
32% (Haddad)
–
–
16%(Silva)
–
–
–
–
–
51%
33% (Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
15%(Alckmin)
–
–
52%
37% (Haddad , supported by Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
13%(Alckmin)
–
–
50%
34% (Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
24%(Bolsonaro)
–
42%
36% (Haddad , supported by Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
24%(Bolsonaro)
–
40%
–
33% –
15%(Silva)
–
–
–
–
–
52%
–
34% –
–
–
–
11%(Alckmin)
–
–
55%
–
32% –
–
–
–
–
22%(Bolsonaro)
–
46%
–
–
–
24% (Silva)
–
–
16%(Alckmin)
–
–
61%
–
–
–
26% (Silva)
–
–
–
24%(Bolsonaro)
–
49%
–
–
–
–
–
–
18%(Alckmin)
25% (Bolsonaro)
–
56%
Datafolha
10 September 2018
2,804
29%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
43% (Alckmin)
–
–
28%
39% (Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
38%(Bolsonaro)
–
23%
–
39% –
–
–
–
35%(Alckmin)
–
–
26%
–
45% –
–
–
–
–
35%(Bolsonaro)
–
20%
–
–
–
38% (Silva)
–
–
37%(Alckmin)
–
–
25%
–
–
–
43% (Silva)
–
–
–
37%(Bolsonaro)
–
20%
–
–
–
–
–
–
43% (Alckmin)
34%(Bolsonaro)
–
23%
–
41% (Gomes )
–
35%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
24%
31%(Haddad )
–
–
42% (Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
28%
Ibope
8-10 September 2018
2,002
36%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
40% (Bolsonaro)
–
24%
–
40% –
–
–
–
–
37%(Bolsonaro)
–
22%
–
–
–
38%(Silva)
–
–
–
38%(Bolsonaro)
–
24%
–
–
–
–
–
–
38% (Alckmin)
37%(Bolsonaro)
–
25%
RealTime Big Data
7-9 September 2018
3,200
33%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
36% (Bolsonaro)
–
–
37% –
–
–
–
–
34%(Bolsonaro)
–
–
–
–
46% (Silva)
–
–
–
34%(Bolsonaro)
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
38% (Alckmin)
35%(Bolsonaro)
–
On 6 September 2018, Jair Bolsonaro was stabbed while he was campaigning in Juiz de Fora, Minas Gerais.
Ibope
1–3 September 2018
2,002
–
44% (Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
33%(Bolsonaro )
–
23%
–
–
–
–
–
–
41% (Alckmin)
32%(Bolsonaro )
–
27%
–
–
–
43% (Silva)
–
–
–
33%(Bolsonaro )
–
23%
36%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
37% (Bolsonaro)
–
27%
On 31 August 2018, the Superior Electoral Court votes to officially reject Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's candidacy. [ 1]
XP/Ipespe
27–29 August 2018
1,000
24%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
36% (Alckmin)
–
–
40%
34%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
37% (Bolsonaro)
–
29%
45% (Lula)
–
–
–
–
–
–
34%(Bolsonaro)
–
21%
–
29%
–
–
–
–
34% (Alckmin)
–
–
37%
–
34% –
–
–
–
–
32%(Bolsonaro)
–
34%
–
–
–
37% (Silva)
–
–
–
34%(Bolsonaro)
–
29%
–
–
–
–
–
–
35%(Alckmin)
35%(Bolsonaro)
–
30%
XP/Ipespe
20–22 August 2018
1,000
25%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
36% (Alckmin)
–
–
41%
32%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
38% (Bolsonaro)
–
30%
45% (Lula)
–
–
–
–
–
–
33%(Bolsonaro)
–
22%
–
28%
–
–
–
–
33% (Alckmin)
–
–
39%
–
32%
–
–
–
–
–
32%(Bolsonaro)
–
36%
–
–
–
37% (Silva)
–
–
–
33%(Bolsonaro)
–
30%
–
–
–
–
–
–
33%(Alckmin)
34% (Bolsonaro)
–
33%
Globo/Datafolha
20–21 August 2018
8,433
25%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
36% (Alckmin)
–
–
41%
29%(Haddad)
–
–
–
–
–
–
38% (Bolsonaro)
–
33%
51% (Lula)
–
–
29%(Silva)
–
–
–
–
–
20%
53% (Lula)
–
–
–
–
–
29%(Alckmin)
–
–
18%
52% (Lula)
–
–
–
–
–
–
32%(Bolsonaro)
–
16%
–
31%
–
–
–
–
37% (Alckmin)
–
–
32%
–
38% –
–
–
–
–
35%(Bolsonaro)
–
27%
–
–
–
41% (Silva)
–
–
33%(Alckmin)
–
–
26%
–
–
–
45% (Silva)
–
–
–
34%(Bolsonaro)
–
21%
–
–
–
–
–
–
38% (Alckmin)
33%(Bolsonaro)
–
29%
CNT/MDA
15–18 August 2018
2,002
49.4% (Lula )
18.5%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
32.1%
49.8% (Lula )
–
–
18.8%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
31.4%
49.5% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
20.4%(Alckmin )
–
–
30.1%
50.1% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
26.4%(Bolsonaro )
–
23.5%
–
26.1% (Gomes )
–
25.2%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
48.7%
–
25.3% (Gomes )
–
–
–
–
22.0%(Alckmin )
–
–
52.7%
–
28.2%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
29.4% (Bolsonaro )
–
42.4%
–
–
–
26.7% (Silva )
–
–
23.9%(Alckmin )
–
–
49.4%
–
–
–
29.1%(Silva )
–
–
–
29.3% (Bolsonaro )
–
41.6%
–
–
–
–
–
–
26.4%(Alckmin )
29.4% (Bolsonaro )
–
44.2%
Ipespe
13–15 August 2018
1,000
25%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
35% (Alckmin )
–
–
41%
32%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
–
37% (Bolsonaro )
–
31%
43% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
34%(Bolsonaro )
–
24%
–
27%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
32% (Alckmin )
–
–
42%
–
30%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
33% (Bolsonaro )
–
36%
–
–
–
36% (Silva )
–
–
–
34%(Bolsonaro )
–
29%
–
–
–
–
–
–
32%(Alckmin )
34% (Bolsonaro )
–
29%
Ipespe
6–8 August 2018
1,000
25%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
36% (Alckmin )
–
–
41%
29%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
–
37% (Bolsonaro )
–
34%
41% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
32%(Bolsonaro )
–
26%
–
28%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
33% (Alckmin )
–
–
40%
–
30%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
32% (Bolsonaro )
–
37%
–
–
–
38% (Silva )
–
–
–
32%(Bolsonaro )
–
30%
–
–
–
–
–
–
33%(Alckmin )
33%(Bolsonaro )
–
33%
Ipespe
30 July–1 August 2018
1,000
23%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
34% (Alckmin )
–
–
43%
28%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
–
37% (Bolsonaro )
–
35%
41% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
33%(Bolsonaro )
–
26%
–
29%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
32% (Alckmin )
–
–
39%
–
32%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
33% (Bolsonaro )
–
35%
–
–
–
37% (Silva )
–
–
–
32%(Bolsonaro )
–
31%
–
–
–
–
–
–
33%(Alckmin )
34% (Bolsonaro )
–
33%
Ipespe
23–25 July 2018
1,000
22%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
36% (Alckmin )
–
–
43%
27%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
–
38% (Bolsonaro )
–
36%
40% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
34%(Bolsonaro )
–
26%
–
29%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
34% (Alckmin )
–
–
37%
–
32%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
34% (Bolsonaro )
–
34%
–
–
–
36% (Silva )
–
–
–
34%(Bolsonaro )
–
30%
–
–
–
–
–
–
34%(Alckmin )
35% (Bolsonaro )
–
32%
Ideia Big Data
20–23 July 2018
2,036
10%(Haddad )
–
–
32% (Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
58%
16%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
20% (Alckmin )
–
–
64%
15%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
–
31% (Bolsonaro )
–
54%
31% (Lula )
–
–
24%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
45%
33% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
18%(Alckmin )
–
–
49%
37% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
30%(Bolsonaro )
–
33%
–
22% (Gomes )
–
–
–
16%(Dias )
–
–
–
61%
–
25%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
25%(Alckmin )
–
–
50%
–
25%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
27% (Bolsonaro )
–
48%
–
–
–
33% (Silva )
–
–
20%(Alckmin )
–
–
47%
–
–
–
30% (Silva )
–
–
–
28%(Bolsonaro )
–
42%
–
–
–
–
–
14%(Dias )
–
31% (Bolsonaro )
–
55%
–
–
–
–
–
–
26% (Alckmin )
25%(Bolsonaro )
–
49%
Vox Populi
18–20 July 2018
2,000
50% (Lula )
11%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
40%
50% (Lula )
–
–
12%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
38%
52% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
10%(Alckmin )
–
–
38%
50% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
16%(Bolsonaro )
–
33%
Ipespe
16–18 July 2018
1,000
20%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
29% (Alckmin )
–
–
42%
28%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
–
38% (Bolsonaro )
–
35%
41% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
34%(Bolsonaro )
–
25%
–
31%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
32% (Alckmin )
–
–
37%
–
33%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
34% (Bolsonaro )
–
33%
–
–
–
37% (Silva )
–
–
–
34%(Bolsonaro )
–
29%
–
–
–
–
–
–
33%(Alckmin )
35% (Bolsonaro )
–
32%
Ipespe Archived 2018-07-13 at the Wayback Machine
9–11 July 2018
1,000
20%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
30% (Alckmin )
–
–
44%
40% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
33%(Bolsonaro )
–
27%
–
30%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
32% (Alckmin )
–
–
38%
–
31%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
33% (Bolsonaro )
–
36%
–
–
–
37% (Silva )
–
–
–
33%(Bolsonaro )
–
29%
–
–
–
–
–
–
32%(Alckmin )
34% (Bolsonaro )
–
35%
Ipespe
2–4 July 2018
1,000
20%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
28% (Alckmin )
–
–
45%
39% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
33%(Bolsonaro )
–
29%
–
31%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
33% (Alckmin )
–
–
37%
–
31%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
34% (Bolsonaro )
–
34%
–
–
–
36% (Silva )
–
–
–
33%(Bolsonaro )
–
31%
–
–
–
–
–
–
32%(Alckmin )
34% (Bolsonaro )
–
35%
DataPoder360
25–29 June 2018
5,500
23%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
–
36% (Bolsonaro )
–
41%
–
26%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
36% (Bolsonaro )
–
38%
–
–
–
31%(Silva )
–
–
–
36% (Bolsonaro )
–
34%
–
–
–
–
–
–
25%(Alckmin )
35% (Bolsonaro )
–
40%
Ipespe
25–27 June 2018
1,000
19%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
29% (Alckmin )
–
–
45%
40% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
33%(Bolsonaro )
–
27%
–
32%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
32%(Alckmin )
–
–
35%
–
32%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
33% (Bolsonaro )
–
35%
–
–
–
35% (Silva )
–
–
–
32%(Bolsonaro )
–
33%
–
–
–
–
–
–
32%(Alckmin )
33% (Bolsonaro )
–
36%
Ipespe
18–20 June 2018
1,000
19%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
28% (Alckmin )
–
–
48%
41% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
33%(Bolsonaro )
–
26%
–
30%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
32% (Alckmin )
–
–
38%
–
32%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
33% (Bolsonaro )
–
35%
–
–
–
36% (Silva )
–
–
–
32%(Bolsonaro )
–
31%
–
–
–
–
–
–
31%(Alckmin )
32% (Bolsonaro )
–
37%
Ipespe
11–13 June 2018
1,000
19%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
29% (Alckmin )
–
–
48%
42% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
34%(Bolsonaro )
–
24%
–
30%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
31% (Alckmin )
–
–
39%
–
33%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
34% (Bolsonaro )
–
34%
–
–
–
38% (Silva )
–
–
–
34%(Bolsonaro )
–
28%
–
–
–
–
–
–
31%(Alckmin )
33% (Bolsonaro )
–
35%
Datafolha
6–7 June 2018
2,824
19%(Haddad )
38% (Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
42%
20%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
36% (Alckmin )
–
–
44%
27%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
–
36% (Bolsonaro )
–
37%
46% (Lula )
–
–
31%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
22%
49% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
27%(Alckmin )
–
–
23%
49% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
32%(Bolsonaro )
–
18%
–
29%(Gomes )
–
41% (Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
30%
–
32% (Gomes )
–
–
–
–
31%(Alckmin )
–
–
37%
–
36% (Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
34%(Bolsonaro )
–
31%
–
–
–
42% (Silva )
–
–
27%(Alckmin )
–
–
31%
–
–
–
42% (Silva )
–
–
–
32%(Bolsonaro )
–
26%
–
–
–
–
–
–
33%(Alckmin )
33%(Bolsonaro )
–
35%
Ipespe
4–6 June 2018
1,000
20%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
30% (Alckmin )
–
–
48%
40% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
35%(Bolsonaro )
–
26%
–
32% (Gomes )
–
–
–
–
29%(Alckmin )
–
–
40%
–
33%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
35% (Bolsonaro )
–
31%
–
–
–
36% (Silva )
–
–
–
35%(Bolsonaro )
–
29%
–
–
–
–
–
–
29%(Alckmin )
34% (Bolsonaro )
–
37%
DataPoder360
25–31 May 2018
10,500
20%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
–
35% (Bolsonaro )
–
45%
–
21%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
34% (Bolsonaro )
–
45%
–
–
–
25%(Silva )
–
–
–
35% (Bolsonaro )
–
41%
–
–
–
–
–
–
20%(Alckmin )
31% (Bolsonaro )
–
48%
Ipespe
21–23 May 2018
1,000
25%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
28% (Alckmin )
–
–
55%
36%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
38% (Bolsonaro )
–
26%
–
27%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
30% (Alckmin )
–
–
43%
–
29%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
38% (Bolsonaro )
–
32%
–
–
–
31%(Silva )
–
–
–
37% (Bolsonaro )
–
32%
–
–
–
–
–
–
28%(Alckmin )
35% (Bolsonaro )
–
37%
Vox Populi
19–23 May 2018
2,000
45% (Lula )
–
–
14%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
40%
47% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
11%(Alckmin )
–
–
42%
47% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
16%(Bolsonaro )
–
37%
Ipespe
15–18 May 2018
1,000
15%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
31% (Alckmin )
–
–
53%
35%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
37% (Bolsonaro )
–
28%
–
27%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
32% (Alckmin )
–
–
41%
–
29%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
36% (Bolsonaro )
–
36%
–
–
–
31%(Silva )
–
–
–
35% (Bolsonaro )
–
34%
–
–
–
–
–
–
29%(Alckmin )
33% (Bolsonaro )
–
38%
MDA Archived 2018-08-16 at the Wayback Machine
9–12 May 2018
2,002
10.0%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
25.0% (Alckmin )
–
–
65.0%
14.0%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
–
31.5% (Bolsonaro )
–
54.5%
44.4% (Lula )
–
–
21.0%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
34.6%
47.1% (Lula )
–
–
–
13.3%(Meirelles )
–
–
–
–
39.6%
49.0% (Lula )
–
–
–
8.3%(Temer )
–
–
–
–
42.7%
44.9% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
19.6%(Alckmin )
–
–
35.5%
45.7% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
25.9%(Bolsonaro )
–
28.4%
–
25.7% (Gomes )
–
–
9.0%(Meirelles )
–
–
–
–
65.3%
–
30.4% (Gomes )
–
–
5.6%(Temer )
–
–
–
–
64.0%
–
20.9% (Gomes )
–
–
–
–
20.4%(Alckmin )
–
–
58.7%
–
24.2%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
28.2% (Bolsonaro )
–
47.6%
–
–
–
26.6% (Silva )
–
–
18.9%(Alckmin )
–
–
54.5%
–
–
–
27.2%(Silva )
–
–
–
27.2%(Bolsonaro )
–
45.6%
–
–
–
–
11.7%(Meirelles )
–
–
30.8% (Bolsonaro )
–
57.5%
–
–
–
–
5.3%(Temer )
–
–
34.7% (Bolsonaro )
–
60.0%
–
–
–
–
–
20.2%(Alckmin )
27.8% (Bolsonaro )
–
52.0%
DataPoder360
16–19 April 2018
2,000
–
–
37% (Barbosa )
–
–
–
–
32%(Bolsonaro )
–
31%
–
–
–
–
–
–
18%(Alckmin )
41% (Bolsonaro )
–
41%
Vox Populi
13–15 April 2018
2,000
54% (Lula )
–
20%(Barbosa )
–
–
–
–
–
–
26%
54% (Lula )
–
–
16%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
30%
56% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
12%(Alckmin )
–
–
32%
55% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
17%(Bolsonaro )
–
28%
Datafolha
9–13 April 2018
4,260
21%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
37% (Alckmin )
–
–
41%
26%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
–
37% (Bolsonaro )
–
37%
46% (Lula )
–
–
32%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
21%
48% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
27%(Alckmin )
–
–
24%
48% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
31%(Bolsonaro )
–
20%
17%(Wagner )
–
–
–
–
–
41% (Alckmin )
–
–
43%
23%(Wagner )
–
–
–
–
–
–
39% (Bolsonaro )
–
38%
–
32%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
32%(Alckmin )
–
–
36%
–
35%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
35%(Bolsonaro )
–
31%
–
–
–
44% (Silva )
–
–
27%(Alckmin )
–
–
29%
–
–
–
44% (Silva )
–
–
–
31%(Bolsonaro )
–
25%
–
–
–
–
–
–
33% (Alckmin )
32%(Bolsonaro )
–
34%
After Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is sentenced to 12 years in prison by the Regional Federal Court of the 4th Region, the Supreme Federal Court rules to reject Lula's plea and an arrest warrant is given. The ruling of the TRF-4 bars Lula from running in the election
MDA Archived 2018-08-03 at the Wayback Machine
28 February–3 March 2018
2,002
43.8% (Lula )
–
–
20.3%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
35.9%
47.5% (Lula )
–
–
–
6.8%(Temer )
–
–
–
–
45.7%
44.5% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
22.5%(Alckmin )
–
–
33.0%
44.1% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
25.8%(Bolsonaro )
–
30.1%
–
–
–
36.8% (Silva )
5.3%(Temer )
–
–
–
–
57.9%
–
–
–
26.3% (Silva )
–
–
24.6%(Alckmin )
–
–
49.1%
–
–
–
26.6%(Silva )
–
–
–
27.7% (Bolsonaro )
–
45.7%
–
–
–
–
3.8%(Temer )
–
36.6% (Alckmin )
–
–
59.6%
–
–
–
–
5.7%(Temer )
–
–
36.0% (Bolsonaro )
–
58.3%
–
–
–
–
–
–
24.3%(Alckmin )
26.7% (Bolsonaro )
–
49.0%
#PESQUISA365
2–7 February 2018
2,000
8.8%(Haddad )
–
28.3% (Barbosa )
–
–
–
–
–
–
63.0%
11.7% (Haddad )
–
–
–
11.5%(Meirelles )
–
–
–
–
76.9%
8.8%(Wagner )
–
–
30.5% (Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
60.8%
9.1%(Wagner )
–
–
–
–
17.3% (Dias )
–
–
–
73.6%
10.9%(Wagner )
–
–
–
–
–
23.8% (Alckmin )
–
–
65.4%
–
25.6% (Gomes )
–
–
8.4%(Meirelles )
–
–
–
–
66.1%
–
25.5% (Gomes )
–
–
–
–
6.9%(Virgílio )
–
–
67.6%
–
22.0% (Gomes )
–
–
–
–
17.9%(Alckmin )
–
–
60.2%
–
23.2%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
25.8% (Bolsonaro )
–
51.1%
–
–
–
27.8% (Silva )
–
–
17.6%(Alckmin )
–
–
54.7%
–
–
–
31.2% (Silva )
–
–
6.8%(Virgílio )
–
–
62.1%
–
–
–
25.9% (Silva )
–
–
–
25.6%(Bolsonaro )
–
48.6%
–
–
–
–
–
–
17.6%(Alckmin )
25.3% (Bolsonaro )
–
57.2%
Datafolha
29–30 January 2018
2,826
47% (Lula )
–
–
32%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
21%
49% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
30%(Alckmin )
–
–
22%
49% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
32%(Bolsonaro )
–
20%
–
32%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
34% (Alckmin )
–
–
34%
–
–
–
42% (Silva )
–
–
–
32%(Bolsonaro )
–
27%
–
–
–
–
–
–
35% (Alckmin )
33%(Bolsonaro )
–
32%
Vox Populi
9–12 December 2017
2,000
50% (Lula )
–
–
13%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
37%
50% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
14%(Alckmin )
–
–
35%
49% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
18%(Bolsonaro )
–
33%
DataPoder360
8–11 December 2017
2,210
41% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
28%(Alckmin )
–
–
31%
41% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
30%(Bolsonaro )
–
29%
Datafolha
29–30 November 2017
2,765
48% (Lula )
–
–
35%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
17%
52% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
30%(Alckmin )
–
–
18%
51% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
33%(Bolsonaro )
–
16%
–
33%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
35% (Alckmin )
–
–
32%
–
–
–
46% (Silva )
–
–
–
32%(Bolsonaro )
–
22%
Vox Populi
27–30 October 2017
2,000
48% (Lula )
–
–
16%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
35%
50% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
14%(Alckmin )
–
–
36%
51% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
14%(Doria )
–
–
35%
49% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
21%(Bolsonaro )
–
31%
50% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
14%(Huck )
36%
Datafolha
27–28 September 2017
17%(Haddad )
–
–
–
–
–
44% (Alckmin )
–
–
39%
44% (Lula )
–
–
36%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
20%
46% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
32%(Alckmin )
–
–
21%
48% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
32%(Doria )
–
–
20%
47% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
33%(Bolsonaro )
–
21%
44% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
42%(Moro )
14%
–
29%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
37% (Alckmin )
–
–
33%
–
32%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
34% (Doria )
–
–
35%
–
–
–
47% (Silva )
–
–
–
29%(Bolsonaro )
–
24%
MDA
13–16 September 2017
2,002
39.8% (Lula )
–
–
25.8%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
34.4%
40.6% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
23.2%(Alckmin )
–
–
36.2%
41.6% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
25.2%(Doria )
–
–
33.2%
41.8% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
14.8%(Neves )
–
–
43.4%
40.5% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
28.5%(Bolsonaro )
–
31.0%
–
–
–
28.4% (Silva )
–
–
23.6%(Alckmin )
–
–
48.0%
–
–
–
30.5% (Silva )
–
–
22.7%(Doria )
–
–
46.8%
–
–
–
33.6% (Silva )
–
–
13.0%(Neves )
–
–
53.4%
–
–
–
29.2% (Silva )
–
–
–
27.9%(Bolsonaro )
–
42.9%
–
–
–
–
–
–
23.8%(Alckmin )
28.0% (Bolsonaro )
–
48.2%
–
–
–
–
–
–
23.9%(Doria )
28.5% (Bolsonaro )
–
47.6%
–
–
–
–
–
–
13.9%(Neves )
32.0% (Bolsonaro )
–
54.1%
Vox Populi
29–31 July 2017
1,999
52% (Lula )
–
–
15%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
33%
52% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
15%(Alckmin )
–
–
34%
53% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
15%(Doria )
–
–
33%
53% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
17%(Bolsonaro )
–
30%
Paraná Pesquisas
24–27 July 2017
2,020
36.3% (Lula )
–
–
29.0%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
34.7%
39.0% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
26.9%(Alckmin )
–
–
34.1%
38.5% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
32.2%(Doria )
–
–
29.3%
38.7% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
32.3%(Bolsonaro )
–
29.1%
37.1% (Lula )
–
31.1%(Barbosa )
–
–
–
–
–
–
31.8%
Datafolha
21–23 June 2017
2,771
40%(Lula )
–
–
40%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
20%
45% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
32%(Alckmin )
–
–
24%
45% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
34%(Doria )
–
–
20%
45% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
32%(Bolsonaro )
–
22%
42%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
44% (Moro )
14%
–
31%(Gomes )
–
–
–
–
34% (Alckmin )
–
–
36%
–
34% (Gomes )
–
–
–
–
32%(Doria )
–
–
34%
–
–
–
49% (Silva )
–
–
–
27%(Bolsonaro )
–
25%
Vox Populi
2–4 June 2017
2,000
50% (Lula )
–
–
15%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
36%
52% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
11%(Alckmin )
–
–
37%
51% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
13%(Doria )
–
–
36%
53% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
5%(Neves )
–
–
43%
Datafolha
26–27 April 2017
2,781
38%(Lula )
–
–
41% (Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
31%
43% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
29%(Alckmin )
–
–
28%
43% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
32%(Doria )
–
–
25%
43% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
27%(Neves )
–
–
30%
43% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
31%(Bolsonaro )
–
26%
40%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
42% (Moro )
18%
–
24%(Gomes )
–
50% (Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
26%
–
34% (Gomes )
–
–
–
–
28%(Alckmin )
–
–
37%
–
36% (Gomes )
–
–
–
–
29%(Doria )
–
–
35%
–
36% (Gomes )
–
–
–
–
26%(Neves )
–
–
38%
–
–
–
50% (Silva )
–
–
22%(Alckmin )
–
–
28%
–
–
–
50% (Silva )
–
–
24%(Doria )
–
–
26%
–
–
–
49% (Silva )
–
–
21%(Neves )
–
–
29%
Vox Populi
6–10 April 2017
2,000
49% (Lula )
–
–
19%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
32%
51% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
17%(Alckmin )
–
–
32%
53% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
16%(Doria )
–
–
31%
50% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
17%(Neves )
–
–
33%
MDA Archived 2019-01-09 at the Wayback Machine
8–11 February 2017
2,002
38.9% (Lula )
–
–
27.4%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
28%
42.9% (Lula )
–
–
–
19.0%(Temer )
–
–
–
–
38.1%
39.7% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
26.5%(Neves )
–
–
33.8%
–
–
–
34.4% (Silva )
16.8%(Temer )
–
–
–
–
48.8%
–
–
–
28.3%(Silva )
–
–
28.6% (Neves )
–
–
43.1%
–
–
–
–
13.1%(Temer )
–
34.1% (Neves )
–
–
52.8%
Vox Populi
10–14 December 2016
2,500
42% (Lula )
–
–
21%(Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
37%
45% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
20%(Alckmin )
–
–
35%
43% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
20%(Neves )
–
–
37%
Datafolha
7–8 December 2016
2,828
34%(Lula )
–
–
43% (Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
23%
38% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
34%(Alckmin )
–
–
28%
38% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
34%(Neves )
–
–
28%
37% (Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
35%(Serra )
–
–
27%
–
–
–
48% (Silva )
–
–
25%(Alckmin )
–
–
27%
–
–
–
47% (Silva )
–
–
25%(Neves )
–
–
28%
–
–
–
47% (Silva )
–
–
27%(Serra )
–
–
26%
MDA Archived 2017-03-14 at the Wayback Machine
13–16 October 2016
2,002
33.2%(Lula )
–
–
35.8% (Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
31.0%
37.3% (Lula )
–
–
–
28.5%(Temer )
–
–
–
–
34.2%
33.8%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
37.1% (Neves )
–
–
29.1%
–
–
–
38.1% (Silva )
23.7%(Temer )
–
–
–
–
38.2%
–
–
–
29.5%(Silva )
–
–
35.4% (Neves )
–
–
35.1%
–
–
–
–
16.4%(Temer )
–
38.2% (Neves )
–
–
45.4%
Datafolha
14–15 July 2016
2,792
32%(Lula )
–
–
44% (Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
24%
36%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
38% (Alckmin )
–
–
26%
36%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
38% (Neves )
–
–
26%
35%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
40% (Serra )
–
–
26%
–
–
–
47% (Silva )
–
–
27%(Alckmin )
–
–
25%
–
–
–
46% (Silva )
–
–
28%(Neves )
–
–
26%
–
–
–
46% (Silva )
–
–
30%(Serra )
–
–
25%
MDA
2–5 June 2016
2,002
28.9%(Lula )
–
–
35% (Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
36.1%
31.7% (Lula )
–
–
–
27.3%(Temer )
–
–
–
–
41%
29.9%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
34.3% (Neves )
–
–
35.8%
–
–
–
33.7% (Silva )
20.9%(Temer )
–
–
–
–
45.4%
–
–
–
28%(Silva )
–
–
29.7% (Neves )
–
–
42.3%
–
–
–
–
15.8%(Temer )
–
32.3% (Neves )
–
–
51.9%
Paraná Pesquisas
28 February–2 March 2016
2,022
22.6%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
53.5% (Neves )
–
–
24.0%
–
–
–
36.1%(Silva )
–
–
41.7% (Neves )
–
–
22.2%
MDA Archived 2017-03-02 at the Wayback Machine
18–21 February 2016
2,002
28.2%(Lula )
29.1% (Gomes )
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
42.7%
26.3%(Lula )
–
–
36.6% (Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
37.1%
27.5%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
40.6% (Neves )
–
–
31.9%
–
16.7%(Gomes )
–
–
–
43.1% (Neves )
–
–
40.2%
–
–
–
26.6%(Silva )
–
–
38.4% (Neves )
–
–
35.0%
–
24.0%(Gomes )
–
33.0% (Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
43.0%
Datafolha
25–26 November 2015
3,541
31%(Lula )
–
–
52% (Silva )
–
–
–
–
–
16%
34%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
45% (Alckmin )
–
–
21%
32%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
51% (Neves )
–
–
17%
–
–
–
49% (Silva )
–
–
33%(Alckmin )
–
–
18%
–
–
–
41%(Silva )
–
–
42% (Neves )
–
–
16%
Paraná Pesquisas
October 2015
–
24.3%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
56.7% (Neves )
–
–
19.0%
–
–
–
34.1%(Silva )
–
–
47.7% (Neves )
–
–
18.2%
MDA Archived 2017-04-24 at the Wayback Machine
20–24 October 2015
2,002
30.2%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
36.4% (Alckmin )
–
–
33.4%
28.3%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
45.9% (Neves )
–
–
25.8%
30.9%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
35.2% (Serra )
–
–
33.9%
–
–
–
39.7% (Silva )
–
–
25.9%(Alckmin )
–
–
34.4%
–
–
–
32.9%(Silva )
–
–
37.7% (Neves )
–
–
29.4%
–
–
–
39.6% (Silva )
–
–
26.8%(Serra )
–
–
33.6%
Paraná Pesquisas
August 2015
–
28.3%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
54.7% (Neves )
–
–
17.0%
–
–
–
35.2%(Silva )
–
–
49.2% (Neves )
–
–
15.7%
IBOPE Archived 2017-11-07 at the Wayback Machine
15–19 August 2015
2,002
37%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
41% (Alckmin )
–
–
23%
31%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
50% (Neves )
–
–
19%
36%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
43% (Serra )
–
–
21%
MDA Archived 2017-04-25 at the Wayback Machine
12–16 July 2015
2,002
32.3%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
39.9% (Alckmin )
–
–
27.8%
28.5%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
49.6% (Neves )
–
–
21.9%
31.8%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
40.3% (Serra )
–
–
27.9%
IBOPE Archived 2017-11-07 at the Wayback Machine
13–17 June 2015
2,002
39%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
40% (Alckmin )
–
–
21%
33%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
48% (Neves )
–
–
18%
Paraná Pesquisas
26–31 March 2015
2,022
27.2%(Lula )
–
–
–
–
–
51.5% (Neves )
–
–
21.4%
19.4%(Rousseff )
–
–
–
–
–
57.2% (Neves )
–
–
23.4%
2014 election
26 October 2014
112,683,879
51.6%(Rousseff )
–
–
–
–
–
48.4%(Neves )
–
–
21.1%
See also
Graphical summaries
Graph showing 5 poll average trend lines of Brazilian opinion polls for the second round Fernando Haddad (PT) and Bolsonaro (PSL) from April 2018 to the most recent one. Graph showing 5 poll average trend lines of Brazilian opinion polls for the second round Ciro Gomes (PDT) and Bolsonaro (PSL) from June 2017 to the most recent one. Graph showing 5 poll average trend lines of Brazilian opinion polls for the second round Marina Silva (REDE) and Bolsonaro (PSL) from June 2017 to the most recent one.
References
