2024 Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan presidential election

2024 Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan presidential election

← 2021 23 September 2024 2027 →

740 points for the first round
371 points needed to avoid a runoff
 
Candidate Yoshihiko Noda Yukio Edano
Seat Chiba 4th Saitama 5th
First round 267 (36.18%) 206 (27.91%)
Runoff 232 (56.31%) 180 (43.69%)

 
Candidate Kenta Izumi Harumi Yoshida
Seat Kyoto 3rd Tokyo 8th
First round 143 (19.38%) 122 (16.53%)
Runoff Eliminated Eliminated

Leader before election

Kenta Izumi

Elected Leader

Yoshihiko Noda

The 2024 Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan presidential election took place on 23 September 2024, electing the next president of the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan for a 3-year term at the expiration of the current party leader Kenta Izumi's term. The winner of this election, Yoshihiko Noda led the party in the 2024 Japanese general election, and will led them in the 2025 Japanese House of Councillors election.

Former Prime Minister and President of the Democratic Party of Japan Yoshihiko Noda won the election in a second round runoff, defeating opponent Yukio Edano, former party president and the party's founder.[1][2][3]

Election procedure

The Rules for Election of Constitutional Democratic Party Presidents establish the election process for the CDP president.[4] To qualify as a candidate officially, a candidate must be a CDP member of the National Diet and receive a nomination from at least 20 fellow CDP Diet members.

The CDP selects its leader via a two-round election involving CDP members of the Diet, local lawmakers in all 47 prefectures, and dues-paying party members from across Japan. A total of 740 points will be distributed amongst the electorate. 370 points are allocated to national lawmakers and prospective candidates; 272 of those points are assigned to the party's 136 Diet members, including the vice speaker of both houses of the Diet, at 2 points each, while 98 points are allocated to prospective candidates in national elections, at 1 point each. Meanwhile, groups of 1,236 local assembly members across the country and 114,792 rank-and-file party members and supporters are allocated 185 points each. If any candidate wins a majority (over 50%) of votes in the first round, that candidate is elected party president.

If no candidate receives a majority of votes in the first round, a runoff is held immediately between the top two candidates. The candidate who wins the most votes in the runoff is then elected president.

Election Administration Committee

Chair
Members

Background

Following the resignation of the then-party president Yukio Edano after the party's poor performance in the 2021 Japanese general election, former 2020 leadership contender and Parliamentary Secretary of the Cabinet Office Kenta Izumi was elected in 2021, defeating former Mayor of Niseko and fellow Diet member Seiji Osaka in a second round runoff.

The main issues expected to be discussed during the presidential election are the nature of the opposition parties' joint struggle to rebuild the party and the pros and cons of the “realistic course” of Izumi's fundamental policies, such as security and energy.[5][6]

Campaign

The race formally begun on September 7, with four candidate able to qualify with 20 sponsors: former Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda, former party president Yukio Edano, incumbent party president Kenta Izumi and first-term diet member Harumi Yoshida.[7]

Candidates

Declared

Candidate(s) Date of birth Current position Party faction Electoral district Reference(s)
Yukio Edano
(1964-05-31)31 May 1964
(age 60)
Member of the House of Representatives
(since 1993)
Previous offices held
Sanctuary
(Kondō)
Kuni no Katachi Kenkyūkai
(Kan)
Saitama 5th district
[8][9][10][11][12][13][14]
Kenta Izumi
(1974-07-29)29 July 1974
(age 50)
President of the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan
(since 2021)
Member of the House of Representatives
(since 2003)
Previous offices held
Shin Seiken Kenkyūkai
(Izumi)
Kyoto 3rd district
[15][16][17][18]
Yoshihiko Noda
(1957-05-20)20 May 1957
(age 67)
Member of the House of Representatives
(since 2000; 1993-1996)
Previous offices held
Kasaikai
(Noda)
Chiba 4th district
[19][20][21][22]
Harumi Yoshida
(1972-01-01)1 January 1972
(age 52)
Member of the House of Representatives
(since 2021)
None
Tokyo 8th district
[23][24][7]

Supporters

Party regulations require at least 20 Diet members’ support to run.

Yukio Edano
List of supporters[25]
Kenta Izumi
List of supporters[26]
Yoshihiko Noda
List of supporters[27]
Harumi Yoshida
List of supporters[28]

Declined

Pre-election endorsements

Endorsements of Chinami Nishimura[a]
Former Prime Ministers
  • Naoto Kan (Chairman of the Kuni no Katachi Kenkyūkai; Prime Minister, 2010–2011; Deputy Prime Minister, 2009–2010; Minister of Finance, 2010; Minister of Health and Welfare, 1996; Member of the House of Representatives for Tokyo 18th district)[33]
Endorsements of Yoshihiko Noda
Members of the National Diet
Party factions

Opinion polls

(Figures in parentheses are approval ratings of Constitutional Democratic Party supporters)

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Yoshihiko
Noda
Yukio
Edano
Kenta
Izumi
Harumi
Yoshida
Kenji
Eda
Sumio
Mabuchi
Chinami
Nishimura
Junya
Ogawa
Seiji
Osaka
Others NOT/

UD/NA

21–22 Sep 2024 ANN 1,012 39 18 9 8 26
21 Sep 2024 SSRC 2,044 30
(58)
10
(18)
5
(9)
6
(11)
49
(4)
15–16 Sep 2024 Kyodo News N/A (58.8) (20.9) (7.6) (7.8) (4.8)
14–15 Sep 2024 go2senkyo/JX 992 38.1 11.4 6.1 9.5 34.9
14–15 Sep 2024 Sankei/FNN 1,012 30.8 15.3 7.3 6.3 40.3
14–15 Sep 2024 go2senkyo/JX N/A 38.1
(53.9)
11.4
(22.7)
6.1
(7.1)
9.5
(7.8)
34.9
(8.5)
14–15 Sep 2024 Asahi 1,070 29 15 6 5 45
13–15 Sep 2024 Nikkei/TV Tokyo 902 40
(58)
18 9 6 27
13–15 Sep 2024 Yomiuri/NNN 1,040 32 14 8 9 37[b]
7–8 Sep 2024 JNN 1,011 30.9
(53.3)
11.3
(17.9)
9.7
(8.1)
7.1
(6.5)
41
(14.2)
6–9 Sep 2024 Jiji Press 1,170 27.5
(46.8)
14.5
(23.4)
8.5
(14.9)
3
(4.3)
46.5[c]
(10.6)
6–8 Sep 2024 NHK 1,220 35.3 14.4 9 5.6 4.9 30.7[d]
7 Sep 2024 Nomination period closes. Official campaign period begins.
31 Aug–1 Sep 2024 go2senkyo 1,000 15.4 9.2 3.8 0.9 1.6 1.1 68
24–25 Aug 2024 SSRC 1,752 21 13 5 2 1 1 1 55
24–25 Aug 2024 ANN 1,015 27 14 9 4 2 1 43
24–25 Aug 2024 Mainichi 950 27
(32)
14
(37)
7
(6)
4
(6)
2 2 19 24
24–25 Aug 2024 Sankei/FNN 1,017[e] 20.1
(37.8)
16.4
(36.1)
6.6
(9.5)
2.5
(6)
2.1
(0.4)
1.2
(0.6)
1.2
(1.1)
50
(8.5)
23–25 Aug 2024 Yomiuri/NNN 1,056 25 15 8 3 3 3 43[f]
17–18 Aug 2024 go2senkyo/JX 987 22.8 10.6 10.7 2.2 2.7 14.9[g] 36
2–5 Aug 2024 Jiji Press 1,194 14.9 14.6 9.3 61.2
15–16 Jun 2024 go2senkyo/JX 984 19.2 8.4 11.4 2 1.3 0.5 1.5 1.3 11.1 43.3

Results

Full results by round[35]
Candidate First Round Second Round
Diet members and candidates Local assembly members Party members Total points Diet members and candidates Prefectural chapters Total points
Votes cast % Points % Votes cast % Points % Votes cast % Points % Total votes % Votes cast % Votes cast % Total votes %
Yoshihiko Noda 83[h] 36.62% 128 34.78% 348 31.21% 58 31.35% 24,087 43.59% 81 43.79% 267 36.18% 132[i] 57.39% 28 59.57% 232 56.31%
Yukio Edano 50[j] 21.46% 83 22.55% 426 38.21% 71 38.38% 15,459 27.98% 52 28.11% 206 27.91% 98[k] 42.61% 19 42.43% 180 43.69%
Kenta Izumi 55[l] 23.61% 84 22.83% 200 17.94% 33 17.84% 7,932 14.36% 26 14.05% 143 19.38% Eliminated
Harumi Yoshida 45[m] 19.31% 73 19.84% 141 12.64% 23 12.43% 7,776 14.07% 26 14.05% 122 16.53% Eliminated
Total 233 100.00% 368 100.00% 1,115 100.00% 185 100.00% 55,254 100.00% 185 100.00% 738 100.00% 230 100.00% 47 100.00% 412 100.00%
Valid votes 233 100.00% 368 100.00% 1,115 100.00% 185 100.00% 55,254 99.91% 185 100.00% 738 100.00% 230 100.00% 47 100.00% 412 100.00%
Invalid and blank votes 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 493 0.09% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00%
Turnout 233 99.57% 368 99.46% 1,115 90.21% 185 100.00% 55,254 48.13% 185 100.00% 738 99.73% 230 98.29% 47 100.00% 412 98.80%
Registered electors 234 100.00% 370 100.00% 1,236 100.00% 185 100.00% 111,792 100.00% 185 100.00% 740 100.00% 234 100.00% 47 100.00% 417 100.00%
First round points (Diet members and candidates)
Noda
34.78%
Izumi
22.83%
Edano
22.55%
Yoshida
19.84%
First round points (Local assembly members)
Edano
38.38%
Noda
31.35%
Izumi
17.84%
Yoshida
12.43%
First round points (Party members)
Noda
43.79%
Edano
28.11%
Izumi
14.05%
Yoshida
14.05%
First round points (Total)
Noda
36.18%
Edano
27.91%
Izumi
19.38%
Yoshida
16.53%
Second round points (Diet members and candidates)
Noda
57.39%
Edano
42.61%
Second round points (Prefectural chapters)
Noda
59.57%
Edano
42.43%
Second round points (Total)
Noda
56.31%
Edano
43.69%

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Declined to run.
  2. ^ None of these: 12%; Don't know: 25%
  3. ^ None of these: 11.6%; Don't know: 32.3%
  4. ^ None of these: 8.1%; Don't know: 22.6%
  5. ^ 42.8% of respondents indicated an interest in the CDP presidential race and answered the related question.
  6. ^ None of these: 15%
  7. ^ Akira Nagatsuma: 4.1%; Kiyomi Tsujimoto: 3%; Kazuhiko Shigetoku: 0.2%; Others: 7.6%
  8. ^ 45 Diet members and 38 candidates.
  9. ^ 72 Diet members and 60 candidates.
  10. ^ 33 Diet members and 17 candidates.
  11. ^ 63 Diet members and 35 candidates.
  12. ^ 29 Diet members and 26 candidates.
  13. ^ 28 Diet members and 17 candidates.

References

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